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Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 14:30 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Kasper Hjulmand is aiming for a vital away win in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Bayer Leverkusen side to the Signal Iduna Park to visit Borussia Dortmund and Niko Kovač. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Bundesliga clash.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Bundesliga clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
51%
17/20
3%
10/11
Draw
22%
11/4
1%
3/1
Leverkusen
27%
13/5
6%
13/5
Draw 1-1
9%
13/2
6%
13/2
Dortmund 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
Leverkusen 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
Dortmund 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
8/1
Dortmund 2-0
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Dortmund 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Leverkusen 1-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Dortmund 3-2
4%
18/114/1
Dortmund 3-0
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
Leverkusen 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Draw 0-0
3%
16/1
19%
12/1
Leverkusen 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Leverkusen 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Dortmund 4-1
3%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
4/7
5%
8/15
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
11/8
10%
7/5
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/613/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4
2%
11/8
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
19%
12/1
BTTS - Yes
65%
8/15
6%
8/15
BTTS - No
35%
11/8
10%
7/5
BTTS - Home Win
30%
9/4
2%
21/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/1
20%
17/4
Home/draw
73%
2/7
1%
2/7
Away/draw
49%
10/11
4%
17/20
Home/away
78%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/6
3%
1/6
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4/1
9%
19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
11/8
8%
5/4
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/7
6%
4/7
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
10/3
15%
29/10
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/9
5%
2/9
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
7/1
23%
6/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/12
3%
1/12
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
19%
12/1
Home DNB
66%
2/5
3%
4/9
Away DNB
42%
7/4
5%
13/8
Dortmund win to nil
21%
3/1
8%
-
Leverkusen win to nil
10%
7/1-
Dortmund / Dortmund
28%
2/17/4
Dortmund / Leverkusen
3%
25/122/1
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Dortmund
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Leverkusen
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
Leverkusen / Dortmund
4%
18/116/1
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
Leverkusen / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Bundesliga league table. Dortmund are unbeaten in 25 games against teams below them in the league and kept 12 clean sheets out of 25 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 7 and lost no matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Dortmund have outscored their opponents by 58 goals to 52 goals.

Home League Performance

Dortmund have played 14 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 33 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Leverkusen are in 6th position in the Bundesliga on 46 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Leverkusen have conceded 14 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2722417270 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
2
Dortmund2718723061 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Apr 11
3
Stuttgart2716562053 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
l
 
1-4A
May 9
4
RB Leipzig2715571850 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 2
w
 
1-3A
5
Hoffenheim2715571550 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
6
Leverkusen2713771646 
Apr 11
w
 
1-2F
-
-
7
E.Frankfurt271089-138 
May 9
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
8
Freiburg2710710-537 
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
9
Union Berlin278712-1531 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Augsburg279414-1731 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
11
Mainz277911-930 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-4F
12
Hamburg277911-930 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 16
w
 
0-1F
13
B. M'gladbach277812-1329 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
W.Bremen277713-1728 
w
 
3-0F
May 16
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
15
Köln276813-926 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 25
16
St. Pauli276615-2024 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
17
Wolfsburg275616-2221 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 4
w
 
1-3F
18
Heidenheim273618-3415 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
6-0F
d
 
3-3F
Win / draw / win form
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Leverkusen 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dortmund since 2012
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
32
17
Games: Scored
11 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
2 / 13
BVB
8
D
1
B04
4
League games at Leverkusen since 2013
Leverkusen
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
22
27
Games: Scored
11 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
2 / 13
BVB
6
D
4
B04
3
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 13 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Dortmund 2nd Leverkusen 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Dortmund have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
+18
Leverkusen have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Leverkusen
2
1.4
Attack rating
23%
better
BVB
B04
view stats
Games scored27
23
Failed to score0
4
Scored first23
17
Goals scored58
52
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
27%
better
BVB
B04
view stats
Games conceded15
20
Clean sheets12
7
Conceded first4
10
Goals conceded28
36
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+27%

Dortmund v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2713136
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonJ Ryerson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK27
2
-
D Svensson DEF2722
-
F Nmecha MID2723
-
S Guirassy  FWD26132
2
-
W Anton DEF252
3
-
J Bellingham MID252
1
1
M Beier FWD2584
2
-
K Adeyemi  FWD2563
4
-
J Ryerson DEF2413
6
-
J Brandt MID2263
-
C Chukwuemeka MID222
1
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF2141
6
-
F Silva FWD2115
3
-
M Sabitzer  MID2012
2
-
R Bensebaini DEF174
5
-
Y Couto MID1713
4
-
P Groß MID111
-
E Can DEF93
3
-
N Süle DEF91
3
-
S Özcan MID7
-
A Anselmino DEF61
-
F. Mane DEF4
1
W Campbell FWD1
-
Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25977
A GarcíaP Schick A GrimaldoJ Quansah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A García MID2726
5
-
R Andrich MID261
5
1
E Poku FWD2554
-
C. Kofane FWD2453
3
-
J Quansah DEF233
7
-
A Grimaldo DEF2267
4
-
E Tapsoba DEF2242
5
-
M Tillman MID2251
1
-
I Maza MID2123
2
-
J Hofmann MID2122
3
-
P Schick  FWD2193
1
-
L Badé DEF19
5
-
M Flekken GLK18
1
-
M Terrier  FWD1841
-
E Fernández MID17
3
1
Arthur DEF1613
2
-
N Tella FWD122
2
-
E Palacios MID11
1
-
J Blaswich GLK10
-
L Vázquez DEF912
2
-
J Belocian DEF8
-
E Seghir FWD7
2
-
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF6
1
-
C Echeverri MID6
-
A. Sarco FWD3
-