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FC St. Pauli v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 16:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Alexander Blessin welcomes Julian Schuster to the Millerntor-Stadion on Sunday afternoon, as their FC St. Pauli and Sport-Club Freiburg charges do battle in the Bundesliga. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Bundesliga match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 75% probability of St. Pauli and Freiburg serving up a minimum of 2 goals in this Bundesliga tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
44%
29/20
9%
6/4
Draw
26%
21/1011/5
Freiburg
30%
9/5
10%
19/10
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
St. Pauli 1-0
10%
13/26/1
St. Pauli 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
15/2
Freiburg 1-0
8%
15/2
13%
13/2
St. Pauli 2-0
8%
11/1
8%
9/1
Freiburg 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2
6%
13/2
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Freiburg 2-0
5%
12/1
8%
11/1
St. Pauli 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
St. Pauli 3-0
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
Freiburg 3-1
3%
22/118/1
St. Pauli 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Freiburg 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Freiburg 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
6/5
4%
23/20
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/6
3%
13/20
Home 1st Goal
50%
20/21
5%
19/20
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/10
5%
23/20
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
6%
13/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/11
2%
17/20
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
6%
17/20
BTTS - Home Win
20%
9/2
8%
4/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5/119/4
Home/draw
70%
2/5
7%
2/5
Away/draw
56%
8/15
6%
8/15
Home/away
74%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/11
3%
4/11
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/5
7%
19/10
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/1
8%
14/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/4
2%
2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1
11%
13/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12
1%
1/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/80
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/2
6%
13/2
Home DNB
62%
8/11
9%
8/11
Away DNB
49%
1/1
11%
1/1
St. Pauli win to nil
24%
3/1
8%
-
Freiburg win to nil
16%
7/2
13%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
21%
3/1
11%
14/5
St. Pauli / Freiburg
3%
28/122/1
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / St. Pauli
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Freiburg
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
Freiburg / St. Pauli
3%
28/122/1
Freiburg / Freiburg
18%
15/4
10%
17/5
Freiburg / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 37 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Freiburg lay in 8th place on 34 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 13 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2521316866 
Apr 11
l
 
3-1F
Apr 4
l
 
6-2F
2
Dortmund2516722755 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
3
Hoffenheim2515462049 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
4
Stuttgart2514561647 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
RB Leipzig2514561447 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
May 16
l
 
2-0A
6
Leverkusen2513571644 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
7
E.Frankfurt25988-135 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
8
Freiburg25979-534 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
-
-
9
Augsburg259412-1231 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
10
Hamburg257810-829 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
May 9
11
Union Berlin257711-1228 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
12
B. M'gladbach256712-1525 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 13
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
13
W.Bremen256712-1625 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
14
Köln256613-924 
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-1A
15
Mainz255911-1224 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
16
St. Pauli256613-1724 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
17
Wolfsburg255515-2120 
May 16
l
 
2-1A
May 2
w
 
3-4F
18
Heidenheim253517-3314 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Freiburg have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
Freiburg have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
3
Freiburg have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
St. Pauli 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
St. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
St. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli0 - 4Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Augsburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1W.Bremen
Freiburg 8TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Freiburg
Hoffenheim3 - 0Freiburg
Stuttgart1 - 0Freiburg
Augsburg2 - 2Freiburg
RB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
Wolfsburg3 - 4Freiburg
Heidenheim2 - 1Freiburg
Bayern6 - 2Freiburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Leverkusen2 - 0Freiburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Freiburg
W.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
Köln4 - 1Freiburg
Holstein1 - 2Freiburg
Wolfsburg0 - 1Freiburg
B. M'gladbach1 - 2Freiburg
Mainz2 - 2Freiburg
Augsburg0 - 0Freiburg
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
VfL Bochum0 - 1Freiburg
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFreiburg3 - 3Leverkusen
AFreiburg0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HFreiburg2 - 1B. M'gladbach
AFreiburg0 - 3Hoffenheim
HFreiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
AFreiburg0 - 1Stuttgart
HFreiburg2 - 1Köln
AFreiburg2 - 2Augsburg
AFreiburg0 - 2RB Leipzig
HFreiburg2 - 1Hamburg
AFreiburg4 - 3Wolfsburg
HFreiburg1 - 1Dortmund
AFreiburg1 - 2Heidenheim
HFreiburg4 - 0Mainz
AFreiburg2 - 6Bayern
HFreiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
AFreiburg0 - 0Union Berlin
AFreiburg0 - 2Leverkusen
HFreiburg2 - 2E.Frankfurt
AFreiburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St. Pauli since 2015
St. Pauli
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
STP
1
SCF
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Pauli
0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 0
League games at Freiburg since 2016
Freiburg
St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
STP
1
SCF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Freiburg
Freiburg2 - 1
0 - 3St. Pauli
Freiburg4 - 3
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 16th Freiburg 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that St. Pauli will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-38
St. Pauli have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Freiburg have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
STP
SCF
27%
better
view stats
Games scored15
18
Failed to score10
7
Scored first7
11
Goals scored23
37
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
STP
SCF
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
20
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first15
12
Goals conceded40
42
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+4%

St. Pauli v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25435
N VasiljD SinaniJ FujitaA Dzwigala
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK25
-
J Fujita MID2413
4
-
J Sands MID241
4
-
M Lage FWD2312
3
-
A Pyrka DEF221
3
-
E Smith DEF2222
3
1
D Sinani MID2243
3
-
H Wahl DEF212
-
M Kaars FWD203
1
-
L. Oppie DEF181
-
K Mets DEF18
2
-
C Metcalfe MID161
1
-
J Irvine MID16
-
M Saliakas DEF1513
3
-
A Dzwigala DEF1511
5
-
A. Ceesay FWD15
2
-
L Ritzka DEF14
1
-
A Hountondji FWD124
1
-
R Jade-Jones FWD82
1
-
O Afolayan FWD7
1
-
Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25736
N AtuboluV GrifoM GinterJ. Manzambi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Atubolu GLK25
-
V Grifo MID2571
-
M Eggestein MID252
3
-
M Ginter DEF2423
1
-
L Höler FWD2411
1
-
I Matanovic FWD2261
-
D Scherhant  FWD2241
1
-
P Treu DEF2112
2
-
Y Suzuki FWD2043
2
-
J. Manzambi MID1932
4
2
P Osterhage MID191
4
-
J Beste FWD1913
5
-
C Günter DEF183
2
-
L Kübler DEF1621
2
-
J Makengo DEF14
1
-
P Lienhart DEF121
3
1
M Rosenfelder DEF12
-
A Jung DEF10
2
-
B. Ogbus DEF9
-
C Adamu FWD911
1
-
E Dinkçi FWD8
1
-
N Höfler MID7
-
C. Irié FWD5
3
-