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FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 17:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

the An der Alten Forsterei plays host on Saturday evening, as Steffen Baumgart's FC Union Berlin welcome Niko Kovač's Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Analysing both teams' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
34%
--
Draw
24%
--
Dortmund
42%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Dortmund 2-1
9%
--
Union Berlin 2-1
8%
--
Dortmund 1-0
8%
--
Union Berlin 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Dortmund 2-0
6%
--
Dortmund 3-1
5%
--
Union Berlin 2-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Union Berlin 3-1
4%
--
Dortmund 3-2
4%
--
Dortmund 3-0
3%
--
Union Berlin 3-2
3%
--
Union Berlin 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
50%
--
Away DNB
59%
--
Union Berlin win to nil
15%
--
Dortmund win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Union Berlin have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Union Berlin have conceded 16 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Union Berlin have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 2nd place on 33 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 16 matches. Dortmund are unbeaten in 15 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 15 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 0 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 13 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1513204441 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
2
Dortmund169611433 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
RB Leipzig159241129 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
4
Leverkusen169251029 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
Apr 11
w
 
1-2F
5
Stuttgart16925629 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
6
Hoffenheim15834927 
l
 
2-4A
Jan 31
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
7
E.Frankfurt16754026 
Feb 6
w
 
3-4F
May 9
d
 
3-3F
8
Freiburg16655023 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
9
Union Berlin16646-322 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
10
Köln16457-217 
May 2
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
11
W.Bremen15456-1017 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
Jan 13
May 16
12
B. M'gladbach15447-616 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
w
 
2-0F
May 2
13
Hamburg16448-1016 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
14
Wolfsburg15438-515 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
15
Augsburg15429-1114 
May 16
Jan 15
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
16
St. Pauli15339-1312 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
Jan 17
d
 
3-3F
17
Heidenheim163310-2112 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
18
Mainz16169-139 
d
 
2-2A
May 9
Feb 13
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
5
Dortmund have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
Union Berlin 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin2 - 2Mainz
Union Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
Union Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Union Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Union Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Union Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
Union Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 1Holstein
Union Berlin1 - 2B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin0 - 2Augsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Mainz
AUnion Berlin1 - 0Köln
HUnion Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Wolfsburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
AUnion Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Bayern
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
AUnion Berlin0 - 1W.Bremen
HUnion Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AUnion Berlin0 - 2Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
AUnion Berlin4 - 3E.Frankfurt
HUnion Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
AUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
HUnion Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
AUnion Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt3 - 3Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 1Dortmund
Leverkusen1 - 2Dortmund
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg0 - 1Dortmund
Bayern2 - 1Dortmund
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Heidenheim0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Hoffenheim2 - 3Dortmund
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
VfL Bochum2 - 0Dortmund
Heidenheim1 - 2Dortmund
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund
Holstein4 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HDortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
ADortmund1 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
ADortmund2 - 1Leverkusen
HDortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
ADortmund1 - 1Hamburg
ADortmund1 - 0Augsburg
HDortmund1 - 0Köln
ADortmund1 - 2Bayern
HDortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund2 - 0Mainz
HDortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund2 - 0Heidenheim
HDortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund3 - 3St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0Holstein
ADortmund4 - 2Leverkusen
HDortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund3 - 2Hoffenheim
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Union Berlin since 2019
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
FCU
4
BVB
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Union Berlin2 - 1
0 - 2Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 0
0 - 3Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin3 - 1
League games at Dortmund since 2020
Dortmund
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
26
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
BVB
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund3 - 0
Dortmund6 - 0
Dortmund4 - 2
Dortmund2 - 1
Dortmund4 - 2
Dortmund2 - 0
Dortmund5 - 0
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 24 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against FC Union Berlin on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Union Berlin 8th Dortmund 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Union Berlin will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Union Berlin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Dortmund have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
FCU
BVB
39%
better
view stats
Games scored10
16
Failed to score5
0
Scored first8
14
Goals scored20
29
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
20
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
FCU
BVB
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first5
2
Goals conceded23
15
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+34%

Union Berlin v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16576
F RönnowD DoekhiA IlićC Trimmel 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK16
1
-
D Köhn DEF162
2
-
L Querfeld DEF16
3
-
D Doekhi DEF165
3
-
I Ansah FWD1652
-
C Trimmel  DEF152
6
-
J Haberer  MID151
5
-
R Khedira MID153
5
-
A Ilić FWD157
3
-
O Burke FWD154
2
-
A Kemlein MID14
2
-
W Jeong MID1411
-
T Rothe DEF121
1
1
D Leite DEF12
2
-
A Schäfer  MID121
1
-
T Skarke FWD121
-
A Kral MID9
1
-
J Juranovic DEF3
1
-
R Skov MID3
-
L. Burcu FWD3
-
S Nsoki DEF21
-
M Ljubicic FWD1
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16544
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonJ Ryerson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK16
1
-
D Svensson MID1611
-
F Nmecha MID1622
-
K Adeyemi  FWD1641
2
-
J Ryerson DEF154
4
-
S Guirassy  FWD1552
2
-
W Anton DEF141
2
-
J Bellingham MID14
1
M Beier FWD1452
2
-
C Chukwuemeka MID132
-
J Brandt MID1342
-
M Sabitzer  MID131
1
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF1211
3
-
R Bensebaini DEF111
3
-
P Groß MID111
-
Y Couto MID1013
4
-
F Silva FWD103
1
-
A Anselmino DEF51
-
E Can DEF51
2
-
N Süle DEF41
1
-
S Özcan MID3
-
F. Mane DEF2
1
W Campbell FWD1
-