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Hamburger SV v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 17:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

the Volksparkstadion faithful welcome Bayern Munich's supporters on Saturday evening, as Merlin Polzin's Hamburger SV clash with Vincent Kompany's troops in the Bundesliga. Stats power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
22%
--
Draw
21%
--
Bayern
57%
--
Bayern 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Bayern 2-0
8%
--
Bayern 1-0
8%
--
Bayern 3-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Hamburg 2-1
6%
--
Bayern 3-0
6%
--
Hamburg 1-0
5%
--
Bayern 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Bayern 4-1
4%
--
Bayern 4-0
3%
--
Hamburg 2-0
3%
--
Hamburg 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
54%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
13%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
31%
--
Home/draw
43%
--
Away/draw
78%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
36%
--
Away DNB
72%
--
Hamburg win to nil
9%
--
Bayern win to nil
26%
--
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Hamburg have conceded 23 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 47 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 17 matches. Bayern are unbeaten in 17 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 17 games. Bayern are unbeaten away after 8 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 66 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 13 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 8 away games, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 3.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1715205347 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
-
-
2
Dortmund1811611839 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
w
 
2-1F
Feb 28
3
Hoffenheim1710341433 
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
Feb 8
w
 
1-4F
4
RB Leipzig1610241332 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-5A
5
Stuttgart171025732 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
Apr 18
w
 
0-5F
6
Leverkusen17926929 
-
May 16
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
7
E.Frankfurt18765-127 
d
 
1-1F
May 2
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
8
Freiburg17656-223 
May 9
l
 
2-1F
w
 
6-2A
Apr 4
9
Union Berlin17656-323 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
10
Köln18558-320 
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
May 16
w
 
1-3A
11
B. M'gladbach18558-620 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
12
Wolfsburg18549-1119 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
w
 
8-1F
May 9
13
W.Bremen17467-1318 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
w
 
4-0F
Feb 14
14
Hamburg17458-1017 
-
-
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
15
Augsburg174310-1515 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
Jan 24
w
 
2-3F
16
Heidenheim183411-2213 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
May 2
w
 
0-4F
17
Mainz182610-1312 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 20
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
18
St. Pauli173311-1512 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 23
w
 
3-1A
Apr 11
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
75
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Bayern
Goals: Scored
2
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
FCB
5
League games at Bayern since 2013
Bayern
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
33
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
FCB
5
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 25 consecutive Bundesliga outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Hamburg 13th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Hamburg have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Bayern’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
2.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.2
2.1
Attack rating
%
better
HSV
FCB
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
HSV
FCB
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Hamburg v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16445
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK16
2
-
M Muheim DEF164
2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD1612
1
-
N Remberg MID151
5
-
R Philippe FWD154
2
-
L. Vušković DEF143
4
-
N Capaldo  MID141
4
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF131
1
1
A Lokonga MID134
1
-
D Elfadli DEF12
3
1
W Mikelbrencis DEF12
-
M Dompé FWD122
-
F Vieira MID1113
2
2
F. Uri Baldé FWD101
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD91
2
1
R Glatzel FWD91
-
J Torunarigha DEF8
-
Y Poulsen FWD81
3
-
G Ramos DEF7
-
W Omari DEF5
-
I Pherai MID5
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
B Jatta FWD4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1520105
H KaneH KaneM OliseK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olise FWD17910
3
-
H Kane FWD17204
-
K Laimer DEF1624
5
-
L Goretzka MID161
4
-
L Díaz  FWD1699
5
-
L. Karl MID1542
-
M Neuer  GLK14
-
J Tah DEF1412
2
-
D Upamecano DEF141
3
-
A Pavlović MID1411
2
-
T Bischof MID143
2
-
J Kimmich MID1314
3
-
S Gnabry FWD1355
1
-
N Jackson FWD123
-
R Guerreiro DEF1132
-
J Stanisic DEF1122
1
-
M Kim DEF1011
-
S Boey DEF9
1
-
H Ito DEF63
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD4
-
J Urbig GLK3
-
A Davies DEF2
1
-