RB Leipzig's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

RB Leipzig v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Red Bull Arena Salzburg, Wals-Siezenheim

RB Leipzig and their manager Ole Werner will be hoping for victory against Urs Fischer and his 1. FSV Mainz 05 side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Red Bull Arena Salzburg in the Bundesliga. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for RB Leipzig to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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RB Leipzig's next match is v Köln at 14:30 on Sunday 8th February
1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v Dortmund at 19:30 on Friday 13th February
The last German Bundesliga meeting between RB Leipzig and Mainz was on Saturday 31st January 2026
German Bundesliga
January 31st 2026
RB Leipzig 1
2 Mainz
 
C. Harder 40'45' N. Amiri
49' S. Wamangituka
 
RBL
M05
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
5
4
Possession
70%
30%
Fouls
4
13
Yellow/red cards
4/0
 
RB LeipzigMainz
 
P. Gulácsi
W. Orban
E. Bitshiabu (E. Banzuzi 59')
R. Baku (B. Henrichs 59')
N. Seiwald (J. Bakayoko 86')
A. Nordby Nusa
C. Harderfootball icon
D. Raum
X. Schlager
R. Cardoso da Cruz (T. Gomis 72')
Y. Diomande
S. Posch
K. Sano
J. Lee
(L. Maloney 72') football iconN. Amiri
S. Bell
D. Batz
D. Vieira da Costa
(P. Mwene 82') S. Widmer
K. Potulski
(S. Wamangituka 14') B. Hollerbach
(N. Weiper 82') P. Tietz

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: RB Leipzig to win

A Bundesliga victory in front of their own fans for Ole Werner's RB Leipzig team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A RB Leipzig win is our recommendation, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
62%
11/20
1%
55/1
Draw
20%
7/2
10%
13/2
2%
Mainz
19%
17/4
5%
1/12
5%
RB Leipzig 2-1
10%
15/217/5
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
6%
4/1
RB Leipzig 2-0
8%
8/119/5
RB Leipzig 1-0
7%
9/1
5%
9/2
RB Leipzig 3-1
7%
10/16/1
RB Leipzig 3-0
6%
11/113/2
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
10/3
Mainz 2-1
5%
16/14/9
RB Leipzig 3-2
4%
20/1
10%
20/1
RB Leipzig 4-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Mainz 1-0
4%
18/1
10%
17/2
RB Leipzig 4-0
3%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
12%
13/2
RB Leipzig 4-2
2%
33/180/1
13%
Mainz 2-0
2%
33/1
15%
16/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1/2
2%
1/7
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
13/8
5%
4/1
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/98/13
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
1%
9/5
1%
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
12%
6/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/134/5
BTTS - No
38%
6/519/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
34%
7/4
5%
18/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/116/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/2
11%
2/9
Home/draw
81%
1/6
3%
6/1
2%
Away/draw
38%
11/81/1000
Home/away
80%
2/11
3%
1/14
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/61/8
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
4/19/2
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
13/1017/4
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
8/132/15
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
3/133/1
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/41/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/1125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/101/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
12%
13/2
Home DNB
75%
2/9
2%
14/1
Away DNB
33%
3/1
8%
1/150
3%
RB Leipzig win to nil
27%
2/1-
Mainz win to nil
7%
10/1-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
36%
5/43/10
RB Leipzig / Mainz
3%
33/112/1
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
14/15/1
Draw / RB Leipzig
17%
15/412/1
Draw / Mainz
7%
11/122/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
7%
16/1
Mainz / RB Leipzig
5%
18/170/1
Mainz / Mainz
10%
8/150/1
7%
Mainz / Draw
5%
16/170/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. RB Leipzig have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 9 games at home winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Mainz are in 16th position in the Bundesliga on 15 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Mainz have conceded 31 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2016315651 
l
 
1-5F
l
 
6-0A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
2
Dortmund2114612348 
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 13
3
Hoffenheim2013342042 
Mar 20
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
4
Stuttgart2112361039 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
5
Leverkusen2011361236 
l
 
1-3F
May 2
l
 
3-4A
Feb 28
6
RB Leipzig2011361136 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
7
Freiburg21867-130 
w
 
2-0F
May 16
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
8
E.Frankfurt21777-528 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 18
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
9
Union Berlin21678-825 
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
May 9
d
 
2-2F
10
Köln20659-323 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
11
Hamburg20578-822 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Feb 20
l
 
4-0A
12
B. M'gladbach21579-922 
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
13
Augsburg216411-1522 
Mar 7
w
 
0-6F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
14
Mainz215610-821 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
15
Wolfsburg215412-1519 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
16
W.Bremen214710-1719 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
17
St. Pauli214512-1517 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
18
Heidenheim213414-2813 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
May 16
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
RB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
RB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
RB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
RB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
RB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
RB Leipzig1 - 1Holstein
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
RB Leipzig2 - 2Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig1 - 1St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig3 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
HRB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
ARB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HRB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig6 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Dortmund
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Mainz
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 6Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
Mainz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Köln2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 2Mainz
Bayern2 - 2Mainz
Freiburg4 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Augsburg1 - 4Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 1Mainz
VfL Bochum1 - 4Mainz
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
AMainz1 - 2Köln
HMainz2 - 1Heidenheim
AMainz2 - 2Union Berlin
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz0 - 4Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz0 - 4Hamburg
HMainz0 - 2Dortmund
AMainz4 - 1Augsburg
HMainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
AMainz1 - 1Wolfsburg
HMainz0 - 1Köln
HMainz2 - 2Leverkusen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Goals: Scored
25
11
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
RBL
5
D
2
M05
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
1 - 2Mainz
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig4 - 1
RB Leipzig3 - 1
RB Leipzig8 - 0
RB Leipzig4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
RB Leipzig3 - 1
League games at Mainz since 2017
Mainz
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
7 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
3 / 10
RBL
4
D
2
M05
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
0 - 1RB Leipzig
0 - 2RB Leipzig
Mainz2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Mainz1 - 0
Mainz3 - 2
0 - 5RB Leipzig
Draw3 - 3Draw
Mainz3 - 0
2 - 3RB Leipzig
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for RB Leipzig in their clash with 1. FSV Mainz 05, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 60 consecutive Bundesliga games.

RB Leipzig 4th Mainz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that RB Leipzig will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
RB Leipzig have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
40%
better
RBL
M05
view stats
Games scored17
11
Failed to score2
8
Scored first16
6
Goals scored37
21
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for2.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
37%
better
RBL
M05
view stats
Games conceded10
18
Clean sheets9
1
Conceded first2
12
Goals conceded25
32
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+37%

RB Leipzig v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20744
P Gulácsi Y. DiomandeY. DiomandeD Raum
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK20
-
R Baku DEF1812
3
-
W Orbán DEF201
2
-
E Bitshiabu DEF7
-
D Raum DEF2033
4
-
X Schlager MID1621
2
-
N Seiwald MID202
1
-
A Nusa MID1722
-
Y. Diomande FWD1974
2
-
R Rômulo FWD1664
-
C Harder FWD1722
3
-
Subs
M Vandevoordt GLK
-
L Klostermann DEF4
-
K. Nedeljković DEF5
-
M Finkgräfe DEF3
-
B Henrichs DEF3
-
E Banzuzi MID171
2
-
A. Maksimović MID8
-
J Bakayoko FWD132
1
-
T. Gomis FWD121
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21936
K SanoN AmiriB HollerbachN Amiri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Batz GLK9
1
-
S Posch DEF3
2
-
D Hoof DEF1721
4
-
K. Potulski DEF71
2
-
D Costa MID2111
3
-
N Amiri MID1892
6
-
K Sano MID2111
1
-
J Lee MID1922
2
-
S Widmer  MID162
4
-
P Tietz FWD612
1
-
B Hollerbach FWD1413
-
Subs
L Rieß GLK4
-
P Mwene DEF16
3
-
P Nebel MID171
2
2
L Maloney MID14
-
D. Gleiber MID
-
W Bøving FWD61
1
-
Silas FWD41
-
N Weiper FWD14
1
-
A Nordin FWD13
-