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Hamburger SV v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 13th Jan, 19:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV and their manager Merlin Polzin will be hoping for victory against Kasper Hjulmand and his Bayer Leverkusen side on Tuesday evening, as the pair meet at the Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both happiness and sadness to both sets of fans. We predict both Hamburg and Leverkusen to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the match seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Leverkusen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hamburg 38%	12/5 3%	-
Draw 23%	27/10	-
Leverkusen 39%	21/20	-
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2 7%	-
Leverkusen 2-1 8%	8/1	-
Hamburg 2-1 8%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1 8%	-
Leverkusen 1-0 6%	9/1 10%	-
Hamburg 1-0 6%	12/1	-
Leverkusen 2-0 5%	11/1 9%	-
Hamburg 2-0 5%	18/1	-
Leverkusen 3-1 5%	14/1	-
Hamburg 3-1 5%	22/1 12%	-
Leverkusen 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Hamburg 3-2 4%	25/1 10%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 13%	-
Leverkusen 3-0 3%	18/1	-
Hamburg 3-0 3%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	8/13 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	13/10 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	6/5	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	8/11	-
No 1st Goal 2%	14/1 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 66%	4/7 4%	-
BTTS - No 34%	5/4 11%	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	9/2 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 23%	13/5 3%	-
Home/draw 61%	4/5	-
Away/draw 62%	3/10 1%	-
Home/away 77%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1/5 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	7/2 11%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	13/8 10%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	1/2 5%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 24%	7/2 4%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	1/5 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	8/1 11%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/14 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 13%	-
Home DNB 54%	6/4	-
Away DNB 55%	1/2	-
Hamburg win to nil 15%	6/1 14%	-
Leverkusen win to nil 15%	3/1	-
Hamburg / Hamburg 15%	9/2	-
Hamburg / Leverkusen 4%	20/1	-
Hamburg / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Hamburg 10%	7/1	-
Draw / Leverkusen 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 8%	-
Leverkusen / Hamburg 3%	25/1	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 26%	11/5	-
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Hamburg have conceded 20 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Leverkusen lay in 3rd place on 29 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leverkusen have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Leverkusen have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hamburg Leverkusen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	15	13	2	0	44	41	Jan 31	l 5-0A	Mar 14	l 3-0A
2	Dortmund	15	9	5	1	14	32	d 1-1A	Mar 21	l 1-2A	Apr 11
3	Leverkusen	15	9	2	4	13	29	Jan 13	May 16	-	-
4	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	11	29	Mar 1	l 2-1A	May 2	w 1-3A
5	Hoffenheim	15	8	3	4	9	27	Apr 25	l 4-1A	l 1-2F	Jan 17
6	Stuttgart	15	8	2	5	3	26	w 2-1F	Apr 11	Jan 10	May 9
7	E.Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	0	25	d 1-1F	May 2	w 3-1F	Jan 31
8	Union Berlin	15	6	3	6	-3	21	Feb 14	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	Feb 21
9	Freiburg	15	5	5	5	-1	20	May 9	Jan 10	w 2-0F	Mar 7
10	W.Bremen	15	4	5	6	-10	17	w 3-2A	Apr 18	Jan 24	d 3-3F
11	Köln	15	4	4	7	-2	16	Mar 14	l 4-1A	w 2-0F	Apr 25
12	B. M'gladbach	15	4	4	7	-6	16	Jan 17	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	Feb 7
13	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-9	16	-	-	May 16	Jan 13
14	Wolfsburg	15	4	3	8	-5	15	l 0-1A	Mar 7	Apr 4	w 1-3F
15	Augsburg	15	4	2	9	-11	14	Apr 4	l 1-0A	Apr 18	l 2-0A
16	St. Pauli	15	3	3	9	-13	12	l 0-2A	Jan 23	Feb 14	w 1-2F
17	Heidenheim	15	3	2	10	-21	11	w 2-1F	Feb 7	w 6-0F	Mar 21
18	Mainz	15	1	5	9	-13	8	w 4-0F	Feb 20	Feb 28	w 3-4F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
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	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
Hamburg	0 - 0	Elversberg
Hamburg	4 - 1	Dusseldorf
Hamburg	3 - 0	Kaiserslautern
Hamburg	2 - 2	Hannover
Hamburg	1 - 0	Köln
Hamburg	5 - 0	Greuther
Hamburg	2 - 2	Darmstadt
Hamburg	2 - 2	Schalke
Hamburg	1 - 1	Nurnberg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Hoffenheim
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Hamburg	0 - 1	Augsburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Köln
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	Union Berlin
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Hamburg	0 - 5	Bayern
H	Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Greuther
H	Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
A	Hamburg	4 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
A	Hamburg	2 - 2	Schalke

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig	1 - 3	Leverkusen
Augsburg	2 - 0	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Leverkusen
Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 4	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
W.Bremen	3 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Freiburg	2 - 2	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Heidenheim	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Stuttgart	3 - 4	Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt	1 - 4	Leverkusen
Holstein	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	0 - 0	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Dortmund	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Augsburg	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	1 - 2	Leverkusen
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Köln
A	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Augsburg
H	Leverkusen	1 - 2	Dortmund
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Leverkusen	6 - 0	Heidenheim
A	Leverkusen	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	4 - 3	Mainz
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Leverkusen	2 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Leverkusen	3 - 3	W.Bremen
H	Leverkusen	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Mainz
H	Leverkusen	2 - 4	Dortmund
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Freiburg
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Augsburg
A	Leverkusen	1 - 1	St. Pauli

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hamburg

Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

HSV

B04

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
	1 - 2	Leverkusen
Hamburg	1 - 0
Hamburg	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Leverkusen

Leverkusen

Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

1 / 5

Clean sheets

4 / 5

0 / 5

B04

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen
Leverkusen		3 - 0
Leverkusen		3 - 1
Leverkusen		1 - 0
Leverkusen		4 - 0
Leverkusen		3 - 0

Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Bundesliga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Hamburger SV on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Hamburg 13th	Leverkusen 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+11 Hamburg have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted	+15 Leverkusen have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

better

HSV

B04

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

HSV

B04

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Hamburg v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	3	5
D Fernandes	R Philippe	M Muheim	N Remberg

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	15			1 -
M Muheim DEF	15		3	2 -
R Philippe FWD	15	4		2 -
R Königsdörffer FWD	15	1	2	1 -
N Remberg MID	14		1	5 -
L. Vušković DEF	13	2		3 -
N Capaldo MID	13		1	4 -
G Gocholeishvili DEF	12		1	1 1
W Mikelbrencis DEF	12			-
A Lokonga MID	12	4		1 -
D Elfadli DEF	11			2 -
M Dompé FWD	11	2		-
F Vieira MID	10	1	3	2 2
F. Uri Baldé FWD	10		1	-
R Glatzel FWD	9	1		-
Y Poulsen FWD	8	1		3 -
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	8		1	1 1
J Torunarigha DEF	7			-
G Ramos DEF	6			-
W Omari DEF	5			-
I Pherai MID	5			1 1
A. Souhmahoro DEF	4			1 -
J Meffert MID	4			-
B Jatta FWD	3			-
E Sahiti FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	3	5
R Philippe	R Philippe	M Muheim	M Dompé

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Philippe FWD	4	12		1
A Lokonga MID	4	7
L. Vušković DEF	2	2
M Dompé FWD	2	9		5
R Königsdörffer FWD	1	10	2	1
F Vieira MID	1	5	3	4
R Glatzel FWD	1	3
Y Poulsen FWD	1	3
M Muheim DEF		3	3	3
N Remberg MID		3	1	1
N Capaldo MID		1	1	2
G Gocholeishvili DEF		2	1	1
W Mikelbrencis DEF		4		1
D Elfadli DEF		1
F. Uri Baldé FWD		2	1	2
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD		1	1	1
G Ramos DEF		1
B Jatta FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
767	34	98
L. Vušković	N Capaldo	L. Vušković

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Vušković DEF	767	10	98
D Fernandes GLK	753		2
M Muheim DEF	609	31	76
N Remberg MID	584	33	84
D Elfadli DEF	477	15	36
N Capaldo MID	404	34	76
J Torunarigha DEF	355	17	41
A Lokonga MID	354	18	49
W Omari DEF	234	3	10
F Vieira MID	232	2	20
M Dompé FWD	206	4	28
R Königsdörffer FWD	180	1	42
G Gocholeishvili DEF	167	10	38
W Mikelbrencis DEF	156	8	17
R Philippe FWD	151	15	35
J Meffert MID	81	4	7
Y Poulsen FWD	72	4	26
F. Uri Baldé FWD	62	6	17
A. Souhmahoro DEF	60	1	1
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	58	8	20
B Jatta FWD	39	4	9
G Ramos DEF	34		5
E Sahiti FWD	31		5
R Glatzel FWD	28		9
I Pherai MID	22	1	4

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	6	4	5
M Flekken	P Schick	A García	J Quansah

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Flekken GLK	15			-
A García MID	15		4	2 -
L Badé DEF	14			3 -
E Tapsoba DEF	14	3	2	3 -
R Andrich MID	14	1		2 1
C. Kofane FWD	14	3		3 -
E Poku FWD	13	4	2	-
J Quansah DEF	12	1		5 -
I Maza MID	12	2	1	1 -
J Hofmann MID	12	2	1	1 -
P Schick FWD	12	6	2	-
A Grimaldo DEF	11	4	4	2 -
M Tillman MID	11	3	1	1 -
Arthur DEF	8		3	2 -
M Terrier FWD	8	3		-
N Tella FWD	8		2	2 -
J Belocian DEF	7			-
E Seghir FWD	7			2 -
E Fernández MID	6			2 1
C Echeverri MID	6			-
L Vázquez DEF	5		1	2 -
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	5			1 -
E Palacios MID	2			-
A. Sarco FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	4	7
P Schick	C. Kofane	A García	A García

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Schick FWD	6	10	2	2
E Poku FWD	4	7	2	1
A Grimaldo DEF	4	7	4	7
E Tapsoba DEF	3	5	2	2
C. Kofane FWD	3	11
M Tillman MID	3	4	1	4
M Terrier FWD	3	3		1
I Maza MID	2	7	1	2
J Hofmann MID	2	6	1	3
R Andrich MID	1	2
J Quansah DEF	1	3
M Flekken GLK				1
A García MID		2	4	7
L Badé DEF		2
Arthur DEF		1	3	2
N Tella FWD		2	2	3
E Seghir FWD		1		2
E Fernández MID				1
L Vázquez DEF			1	2
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1475	23	58
A García	R Andrich	L Badé

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A García MID	1475	10	21
E Tapsoba DEF	1199	16	45
L Badé DEF	962	20	58
R Andrich MID	758	23	47
A Grimaldo DEF	685	17	52
J Quansah DEF	652	12	46
M Flekken GLK	499		7
M Tillman MID	412	20	52
I Maza MID	403	13	49
J Hofmann MID	341	9	24
E Fernández MID	298	10	23
E Poku FWD	290	6	31
Arthur DEF	213	12	34
P Schick FWD	177	4	40
J Belocian DEF	168	4	9
M Terrier FWD	112	6	16
E Seghir FWD	112	3	17
N Tella FWD	95	4	22
L Vázquez DEF	91	6	15
C. Kofane FWD	84	5	29
C Echeverri MID	73	1	4
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	61	1	14
E Palacios MID	25	1	2
A. Sarco FWD	14	1	3