1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge Hamburger SV's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 20th Feb, 19:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

Merlin Polzin leads his Hamburger SV charges to the Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga on Friday evening, with Urs Fischer's 1. FSV Mainz 05 their rivals. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
48%
--
Draw
26%
--
Hamburg
26%
--
Mainz 1-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Mainz 2-0
9%
--
Mainz 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Hamburg 1-0
8%
--
Hamburg 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Mainz 3-0
5%
--
Mainz 3-1
5%
--
Hamburg 2-0
4%
--
Mainz 3-2
2%
--
Hamburg 3-1
2%
--
Mainz 4-0
2%
--
Mainz 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
74%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Mainz win to nil
28%
--
Hamburg win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Mainz have conceded 32 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 7 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Hamburg lay in 13th place on 19 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 19 matches. Hamburg are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 9 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hamburg have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Hamburg have played 9 away games, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2016315651 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund2013612245 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 13
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
3
Hoffenheim2013342042 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
4
Stuttgart2012351139 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
5
RB Leipzig2011361136 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
6
Leverkusen1911261235 
l
 
3-4A
Feb 28
Mar 4
May 16
7
E.Frankfurt21777-528 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
May 2
8
Freiburg20767-227 
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
May 9
l
 
2-1F
9
Union Berlin21678-825 
May 9
d
 
2-2F
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
10
Köln20659-323 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
11
Augsburg206410-1322 
Feb 7
w
 
1-4F
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
12
B. M'gladbach20569-921 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
13
Hamburg19478-1019 
Feb 20
l
 
4-0A
-
-
14
Wolfsburg205411-1419 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
15
W.Bremen20479-1619 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
16
Mainz204610-1018 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Feb 20
17
St. Pauli203512-1614 
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Heidenheim203413-2613 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Win / draw / win form
Mainz 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
Mainz2 - 1Heidenheim
Mainz0 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 4Leverkusen
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Mainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 1Köln
Mainz2 - 2Leverkusen
Mainz1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Mainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
Mainz1 - 1Holstein
Mainz2 - 2Freiburg
Mainz2 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 0Augsburg
Mainz2 - 0Stuttgart
Mainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
Mainz2 - 1Bayern
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
AMainz1 - 2Köln
HMainz2 - 1Heidenheim
AMainz2 - 2Union Berlin
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz0 - 4Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz0 - 4Hamburg
HMainz0 - 2Dortmund
AMainz4 - 1Augsburg
HMainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
AMainz1 - 1Wolfsburg
HMainz0 - 1Köln
Hamburg 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
Augsburg1 - 0Hamburg
Köln4 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Schalke2 - 2Hamburg
Nurnberg0 - 3Hamburg
Magdeburg0 - 3Hamburg
Paderborn2 - 0Hamburg
Regensburg1 - 1Hamburg
Preussen Munster1 - 2Hamburg
H.Berlin2 - 3Hamburg
Ulm1 - 1Hamburg
Karlsruher1 - 3Hamburg
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AHamburg1 - 4Hoffenheim
HHamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
HHamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
AHamburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HHamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
HHamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
AHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg2 - 3Greuther
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
M05
3
HSV
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz3 - 2
Mainz3 - 1
1 - 2Hamburg
Mainz3 - 2
1 - 2Hamburg
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
M05
2
D
2
HSV
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1
2 - 3Mainz
Hamburg1 - 0
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05 have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.5 against Hamburger SV on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is very strong, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Bundesliga games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Hamburger SV makes sense in this context.

Mainz 18th Hamburg 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Hamburg scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Mainz have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
1.5
1
Attack rating
10%
better
M05
HSV
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score8
8
Scored first6
6
Goals scored23
19
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for15
10
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
M05
HSV
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
14
Clean sheets1
5
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded33
29
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+23%

Mainz v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20738
K SanoN AmiriB HollerbachD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF2011
3
-
K Sano MID2011
1
-
J Lee MID1822
2
-
N Amiri MID1772
5
-
D Hoof DEF1621
4
-
P Nebel MID161
2
2
P Mwene DEF15
3
-
S Widmer  DEF152
4
-
D Kohr DEF151
6
2
A Sieb FWD152
1
-
N Weiper FWD14
-
B Hollerbach FWD1413
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
N Veratschnig DEF131
2
-
L Maloney MID13
-
A Nordin FWD13
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
D Batz GLK8
1
-
S Kawasaki MID6
1
-
W Bøving FWD61
1
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19447
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK19
3
-
M Muheim DEF194
3
-
R Königsdörffer FWD1912
1
-
N Remberg MID181
7
-
R Philippe FWD184
2
-
L. Vušković DEF174
4
-
N Capaldo  MID171
5
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF151
2
1
A Lokonga MID154
2
-
F Vieira MID1423
2
2
M Dompé FWD142
-
D Elfadli DEF13
3
1
W Mikelbrencis DEF131
-
R Glatzel FWD121
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD111
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD111
2
1
J Torunarigha DEF10
1
-
G Ramos DEF8
-
Y Poulsen FWD81
3
-
B Jatta FWD7
-
W Omari DEF6
-
I Pherai MID6
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-