RB Leipzig's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

RB Leipzig v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 14:30 BST, Red Bull Arena Salzburg, Wals-Siezenheim

Bo Henriksen pays counterpart Ole Werner a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Bundesliga, as their 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig sides face each other at the Red Bull Arena Salzburg. Analysing both teams' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
63%
--
Draw
19%
--
Mainz
18%
--
RB Leipzig 2-1
10%
--
RB Leipzig 2-0
9%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
RB Leipzig 1-0
8%
--
RB Leipzig 3-1
7%
--
RB Leipzig 3-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Mainz 2-1
5%
--
RB Leipzig 4-1
4%
--
RB Leipzig 3-2
4%
--
Mainz 1-0
4%
--
RB Leipzig 4-0
4%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
RB Leipzig 4-2
2%
--
Mainz 2-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
34%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
37%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
31%
--
RB Leipzig win to nil
29%
--
Mainz win to nil
7%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. RB Leipzig have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 8 games at home winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Mainz are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 12 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Mainz have conceded 31 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1715205347 
l
 
1-5F
l
 
6-0A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
2
Dortmund1811611839 
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 13
3
Hoffenheim1710341433 
Mar 21
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
4
RB Leipzig1610241332 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 31
5
Stuttgart171025732 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 14
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
6
Leverkusen17926929 
l
 
1-3F
May 2
l
 
3-4A
Feb 28
7
E.Frankfurt18765-127 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 18
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
8
Freiburg17656-223 
w
 
2-0F
May 16
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
9
Union Berlin17656-323 
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
May 9
d
 
2-2F
10
Köln18558-320 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 8
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
11
B. M'gladbach18558-620 
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
12
Wolfsburg18549-1119 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
13
W.Bremen17467-1318 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
14
Hamburg17458-1017 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Feb 20
l
 
4-0A
15
Augsburg174310-1515 
Mar 7
w
 
0-6F
Feb 7
w
 
1-4F
16
Heidenheim183411-2213 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 24
w
 
2-1F
May 16
17
Mainz182610-1312 
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
-
-
18
St. Pauli173311-1512 
May 9
Jan 27
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
RB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
RB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
RB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
RB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
RB Leipzig1 - 1Holstein
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
RB Leipzig2 - 2Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig2 - 1E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig1 - 5Wolfsburg
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
HRB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
ARB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HRB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig6 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Dortmund
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Mainz
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 6Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig0 - 0W.Bremen
HRB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
ARB Leipzig0 - 4E.Frankfurt
Mainz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin2 - 2Mainz
Bayern2 - 2Mainz
Freiburg4 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Augsburg1 - 4Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 1Mainz
VfL Bochum1 - 4Mainz
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz2 - 1Heidenheim
AMainz2 - 2Union Berlin
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz0 - 4Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz0 - 4Hamburg
HMainz0 - 2Dortmund
AMainz4 - 1Augsburg
HMainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
AMainz1 - 1Wolfsburg
HMainz0 - 1Köln
HMainz2 - 2Leverkusen
AMainz4 - 1VfL Bochum
HMainz1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Goals: Scored
25
11
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
RBL
5
D
2
M05
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
1 - 2Mainz
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig4 - 1
RB Leipzig3 - 1
RB Leipzig8 - 0
RB Leipzig4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
RB Leipzig3 - 1
League games at Mainz since 2017
Mainz
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
7 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
3 / 10
RBL
4
D
2
M05
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
0 - 1RB Leipzig
0 - 2RB Leipzig
Mainz2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Mainz1 - 0
Mainz3 - 2
0 - 5RB Leipzig
Draw3 - 3Draw
Mainz3 - 0
2 - 3RB Leipzig
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for RB Leipzig in their meeting with 1. FSV Mainz 05, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 60 consecutive Bundesliga games.

RB Leipzig 4th Mainz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that RB Leipzig will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
RB Leipzig have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
2.3
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
RBL
M05
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RBL
M05
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

RB Leipzig v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16674
P Gulácsi C BaumgartnerC BaumgartnerD Raum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK16
-
D Raum DEF1622
4
-
W Orbán DEF161
2
-
N Seiwald MID161
-
C Baumgartner MID1667
3
-
C Lukeba DEF151
1
-
Y. Diomande FWD1562
2
-
R Baku DEF142
3
-
C Harder FWD1412
3
-
E Banzuzi MID131
2
-
A Nusa FWD1311
-
A Ouédraogo MID1233
-
X Schlager MID1221
2
-
R Rômulo FWD1254
-
J Bakayoko FWD122
1
-
T. Gomis FWD81
-
A. Maksimović MID6
-
K. Nedeljković DEF5
-
L Klostermann DEF4
-
E Bitshiabu DEF4
-
K Kampl MID3
-
T Werner FWD3
-
M Finkgräfe DEF2
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17527
K SanoN AmiriJ LeeD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF171
3
-
K Sano MID1711
1
-
N Amiri MID1551
5
-
J Lee MID1522
1
-
A Sieb FWD142
1
-
P Mwene DEF13
3
-
D Kohr DEF131
5
2
D Hoof DEF131
2
-
N Veratschnig DEF131
2
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
P Nebel MID131
2
2
N Weiper FWD13
-
S Widmer  DEF122
3
-
B Hollerbach FWD1212
-
A Nordin FWD12
-
L Maloney MID10
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
S Kawasaki MID6
1
-
D Batz GLK5
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
W Bøving FWD41
1
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-