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Fiorentina v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 19:45 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

the Artemio Franchi masses welcome Inter Milan's supporters on Sunday evening, as Paolo Vanoli's Fiorentina go head to head with Cristian Eugen Chivu's charges in the Serie A. Analysing both sides' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 76% chance of Fiorentina and Inter no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
20%
17/4
5%
18/5
4%
Draw
25%
14/5
1%
3/1
Inter
55%
8/13
2%
4/6
Inter 1-0
14%
13/2
6%
6/1
Draw 1-1
12%
13/26/1
Inter 2-0
11%
7/1
6%
13/2
6%
Inter 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
9%
11/1
8%
10/1
Fiorentina 1-0
7%
14/110/1
8%
Inter 3-0
6%
12/110/1
Fiorentina 2-1
5%
16/112/1
Inter 3-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Fiorentina 2-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Inter 4-0
2%
22/118/1
12%
Inter 3-2
2%
22/118/1
Inter 4-1
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
Fiorentina 3-1
1%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
4/5
4%
3/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
40%
13/87/4
2%
Away 1st Goal
55%
8/158/15
2%
No 1st Goal
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/5
6%
4/5
3%
BTTS - No
54%
19/20
5%
19/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
8/113/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
12/5
5%
23/10
3%
Home/draw
45%
5/4
2%
23/20
2%
Away/draw
80%
1/62/11
Home/away
75%
1/42/9
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3/1
8%
11/4
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
2/1
9%
15/8
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/5
3%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/7
3%
2/15
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/201/33
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/1
8%
10/1
Home DNB
38%
11/412/5
3%
Away DNB
72%
1/42/7
3%
Fiorentina win to nil
12%
9/1-
Inter win to nil
34%
7/4
8%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
10%
15/26/1
Fiorentina / Inter
4%
20/116/1
Fiorentina / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Draw / Fiorentina
8%
9/117/2
5%
Draw / Inter
18%
7/218/5
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
Inter / Fiorentina
3%
33/128/1
Inter / Inter
32%
6/429/20
2%
Inter / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 9 and won 3. Fiorentina have conceded 40 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Fiorentina have played 14 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 1st place on 67 points in the Serie A league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored 64 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Inter have played 14 away games, winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Inter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2822154267 
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
-
-
2
Milan2817922460 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Napoli2817561456 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
4
Roma2816391751 
l
 
1-2F
May 3
Apr 5
w
 
0-1F
5
Como 19072814952551 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
6
Juventus2814862250 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-3A
7
Atalanta28121061346 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
8
Bologna2811611339 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
May 24
9
Sassuolo2811512-338 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-5F
10
Lazio289109037 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
11
Udinese2810612-836 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
12
Parma2981011-1534 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-2F
13
Torino299614-1833 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
5-0F
Apr 26
14
Genoa287912-630 
May 10
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
Cagliari287912-830 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
16
Lecce287615-1727 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Fiorentina2851013-1225 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Mar 22
18
Cremonese285914-1824 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
19
Verona283916-2718 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
May 17
w
 
1-2F
20
Pisa2811215-2815 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
6-2A
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Fiorentina 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Fiorentina1 - 0Pisa
Fiorentina2 - 2Torino
Fiorentina1 - 2Cagliari
Fiorentina1 - 1Milan
Fiorentina1 - 0Cremonese
Fiorentina5 - 1Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 2Verona
Fiorentina1 - 1Juventus
Fiorentina0 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina2 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina1 - 2Roma
Fiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina3 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina2 - 1Empoli
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFiorentina0 - 0Parma
AFiorentina0 - 3Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 0Pisa
AFiorentina2 - 1Como 1907
HFiorentina2 - 2Torino
AFiorentina1 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina1 - 2Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 1Milan
AFiorentina2 - 2Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 0Cremonese
AFiorentina0 - 1Parma
HFiorentina5 - 1Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 2Verona
AFiorentina1 - 3Sassuolo
AFiorentina0 - 2Atalanta
HFiorentina1 - 1Juventus
AFiorentina2 - 2Genoa
HFiorentina0 - 1Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 3Inter
Inter 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 0Inter
Lecce0 - 2Inter
Sassuolo0 - 5Inter
Cremonese0 - 2Inter
Udinese0 - 1Inter
Parma0 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 1Inter
Genoa1 - 2Inter
Pisa0 - 2Inter
Verona1 - 2Inter
Napoli3 - 1Inter
Roma0 - 1Inter
Cagliari0 - 2Inter
Juventus4 - 3Inter
Como 19070 - 2Inter
Torino0 - 2Inter
Bologna1 - 0Inter
Parma2 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 2Inter
Napoli1 - 1Inter
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInter0 - 1Milan
HInter2 - 0Genoa
AInter2 - 0Lecce
HInter3 - 2Juventus
AInter5 - 0Sassuolo
AInter2 - 0Cremonese
HInter6 - 2Pisa
AInter1 - 0Udinese
HInter1 - 0Lecce
HInter2 - 2Napoli
AInter2 - 0Parma
HInter3 - 1Bologna
AInter1 - 0Atalanta
AInter2 - 1Genoa
HInter4 - 0Como 1907
AInter2 - 0Pisa
HInter0 - 1Milan
HInter2 - 0Lazio
AInter2 - 1Verona
HInter3 - 0Fiorentina
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2014
Fiorentina
Inter
Goals: Scored
22
20
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
FIO
4
D
3
INT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina3 - 0
0 - 1Inter
3 - 4Inter
1 - 3Inter
0 - 2Inter
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fiorentina5 - 4
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina3 - 0
League games at Inter since 2015
Inter
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
24
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
3 / 12
FIO
3
D
2
INT
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Inter
Inter3 - 0
Inter2 - 1
Inter4 - 0
0 - 1Fiorentina
Draw1 - 1Draw
Inter4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
Inter2 - 1
Inter3 - 0
Inter4 - 2
1 - 4Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
Goal Statistics
Fiorentina 17th Inter 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Fiorentina scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Fiorentina’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Inter’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
0.9
1.6
Attack rating
FIO
INT
43%
better
view stats
Games scored20
26
Failed to score8
2
Scored first11
23
Goals scored30
64
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.3
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.5
2.1
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
FIO
INT
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
13
Clean sheets5
15
Conceded first14
5
Goals conceded42
22
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+43%

Fiorentina v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28839
D GeaM KeanN FagioliM Pongracic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK28
-
Dodô DEF272
6
-
R Mandragora  MID2761
6
-
M Pongracic  DEF26
9
-
L Ranieri DEF251
7
-
N Fagioli MID2513
4
-
R Piccoli FWD242
-
A Gudmundsson FWD2443
3
-
M Kean FWD2481
3
-
C Ndour MID231
1
-
P. Comuzzo DEF211
2
-
F Parisi DEF181
5
-
R Gosens DEF172
2
-
N. Fortini DEF16
-
J Fazzini MID14
1
-
M Brescianini MID91
-
M Solomon FWD92
-
G Fabbian MID6
2
-
J Harrison FWD61
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
-
D Rugani DEF1
1
-
A Sabiri MID1
-
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2614146
Y SommerL MartínezF DimarcoA Bastoni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK26
-
F Dimarco DEF26614
2
-
M Akanji DEF262
3
-
F. Esposito FWD2644
1
-
C Augusto DEF2511
3
-
P. Sučić MID2512
2
-
N Barella  MID2515
5
-
P Zielinski MID2551
1
-
L Martínez FWD25144
3
-
A Bastoni DEF2414
6
-
L Henrique MID2312
1
-
A Bonny FWD2353
-
H Mkhitaryan MID2121
3
-
M Thuram FWD2173
2
-
H Calhanoglu  MID1882
6
-
Y Bisseck DEF1722
2
-
D Frattesi MID16
-
A Diouf MID14
-
F Acerbi DEF131
2
-
D Dumfries DEF121
2
-
S Vrij DEF7
1
-
M Darmian DEF3
-
J Martínez GLK2
-