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Lazio v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 19:45 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Lazio are in Serie A action on Sunday evening, as Maurizio Sarri looks to get one over on Massimiliano Allegri and his Milan side at the Stadio Olimpico. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lazio
23%
3/1-
Draw
26%
11/5-
Milan
51%
19/20-
Milan 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Milan 2-0
10%
15/2-
Milan 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1-
Lazio 1-0
8%
9/1-
Lazio 2-1
6%
14/1-
Milan 3-0
5%
16/1-
Milan 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Lazio 2-0
4%
20/1-
Milan 3-2
2%
28/1-
Milan 4-0
2%
33/1-
Milan 4-1
2%
40/1-
Lazio 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/4-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
8/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
7/2-
Home/draw
49%
4/5-
Away/draw
77%
2/9-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Home DNB
41%
2/1-
Away DNB
69%
4/11-
Lazio win to nil
13%
11/2-
Milan win to nil
30%
2/1-
Lazio / Lazio
12%
6/1-
Lazio / Milan
3%
25/1-
Lazio / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Lazio
10%
15/2-
Draw / Milan
18%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Milan / Lazio
2%
33/1-
Milan / Milan
27%
21/10-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lazio have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Lazio have conceded 17 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lazio have played 13 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 2nd place on 57 points in the Serie A league table having played 27 matches. Milan are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 9 and losing 2 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Milan have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lazio
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2722144367 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
2
Milan2716922357 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Napoli2716561353 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
4
Roma2616281850 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
5
Como 19072713952448 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
6
Juventus2613761846 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
7
Atalanta2612951445 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
d
 
1-1F
8
Bologna2610610336 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
9
Sassuolo2610511-335 
Mar 9
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 3
10
Lazio268108134 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
11
Parma278910-1233 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Udinese269512-1132 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
13
Cagliari277911-730 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 24
w
 
0-1F
14
Genoa276912-727 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
15
Torino267613-2227 
d
 
3-3A
Mar 1
Mar 21
w
 
2-3A
16
Cremonese275913-1724 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
Fiorentina265912-924 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Lecce276615-1824 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Pisa2611213-2315 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
20
Verona272916-2815 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
Lazio 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Lazio3 - 2Genoa
Lazio0 - 3Como 1907
Lazio2 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio0 - 2Napoli
Lazio0 - 0Cremonese
Lazio1 - 1Bologna
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Cagliari
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
Lazio3 - 3Torino
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Lazio4 - 0Verona
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Lazio1 - 1Juventus
Lazio2 - 2Parma
Lazio1 - 1Roma
Lazio1 - 1Torino
Lazio1 - 1Udinese
Lazio2 - 2Napoli
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALazio0 - 0Cagliari
HLazio0 - 2Atalanta
ALazio2 - 2Juventus
HLazio3 - 2Genoa
ALazio0 - 0Lecce
HLazio0 - 3Como 1907
ALazio1 - 0Verona
HLazio2 - 2Fiorentina
HLazio0 - 2Napoli
ALazio1 - 1Udinese
HLazio0 - 0Cremonese
ALazio1 - 0Parma
HLazio1 - 1Bologna
ALazio0 - 1Milan
HLazio2 - 0Lecce
ALazio0 - 2Inter
HLazio2 - 0Cagliari
ALazio0 - 0Pisa
HLazio1 - 0Juventus
ALazio0 - 0Atalanta
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pisa1 - 2Milan
Bologna0 - 3Milan
Roma1 - 1Milan
Como 19071 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 1Milan
Cagliari0 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 3Milan
Inter0 - 1Milan
Parma2 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Roma3 - 1Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
AMilan3 - 0Bologna
AMilan1 - 1Roma
HMilan1 - 0Lecce
AMilan3 - 1Como 1907
AMilan1 - 1Fiorentina
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
AMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
LAZ
4
D
3
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Milan
Lazio4 - 0
1 - 2Milan
Lazio3 - 0
0 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Milan
Lazio3 - 1
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Lazio
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
12 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
0 / 12
LAZ
2
D
1
ACM
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan1 - 0
1 - 2Lazio
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan3 - 2
1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Milan's defensive record is to be admired, M. Allegri's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Lazio makes sense in this context.

Milan's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Lazio have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for M. Allegri's side suggests that run should continue.

Lazio 10th Milan 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Lazio scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Lazio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Milan have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
LAZ
ACM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LAZ
ACM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Lazio v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26337
I ProvedelD CataldiD CataldiM Zaccagni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK26
1
-
A Marusic DEF241
1
1
M Gila  DEF24
3
1
D Cataldi MID2333
5
-
A Romagnoli DEF22
6
-
L Pellegrini DEF20
6
-
G Isaksen FWD2031
-
M Zaccagni FWD203
6
1
M Cancellieri FWD1931
4
-
T Noslin FWD192
1
1
Pedro FWD1931
2
-
M Lazzari  DEF16
2
-
T Basic MID1612
1
B Dia FWD151
-
O Provstgaard DEF14
2
-
N Tavares DEF13
1
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID12
-
R Belahyane MID101
1
1
N Rovella MID81
2
-
K Taylor MID71
2
-
Patric DEF6
-
P Ratkov FWD6
-
E Hysaj DEF4
-
D Maldini MID41
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25845
M Maignan R LeãoA RabiotA Rabiot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK25
3
-
L Modric MID2523
3
-
M Gabbia DEF24
3
-
A Saelemaekers MID2423
4
-
F Tomori DEF232
4
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2331
1
-
S Pavlovic DEF2221
2
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF212
2
-
S Ricci MID2113
1
-
Y Fofana MID2112
4
-
C Nkunku  FWD2052
-
R Leão FWD1982
3
-
C Pulisic FWD1982
-
K Winter DEF181
1
-
A Rabiot MID1844
4
1
Z. Athekame DEF1711
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF131
2
1
N Füllkrug FWD101
-
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
A Jashari MID81
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF1
-