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Roma v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 17:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma side are on home soil in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as Eusebio Di Francesco's Lecce travel to the Stadio Olimpico. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Roma to win

A Serie A win on home turf for Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for the opposition. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Roma win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Roma are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
64%
4/114/11
3%
Draw
23%
17/518/5
Lecce
14%
8/18/1
13%
Roma 1-0
15%
9/217/4
Roma 2-0
14%
9/29/2
Draw 1-1
10%
15/215/2
6%
Roma 2-1
9%
8/115/2
Draw 0-0
9%
17/28/1
Roma 3-0
8%
15/213/2
6%
Lecce 1-0
6%
16/114/1
15%
Roma 3-1
5%
12/110/1
8%
Roma 4-0
4%
14/112/1
Lecce 2-1
4%
25/120/1
11%
Draw 2-2
3%
25/118/1
Roma 4-1
2%
22/118/1
Lecce 2-0
2%
40/128/1
Roma 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Roma 5-0
1%
33/120/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
59%
4/111/3
Away 1st Goal
35%
11/416/5
8%
No 1st Goal
6%
17/28/1
BTTS - Yes
41%
11/829/20
3%
BTTS - No
59%
8/151/2
2%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/129/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
14%
6/111/2
BTTS - Away Win
5%
20/114/1
Home/draw
86%
1/141/14
1%
Away/draw
36%
2/12/1
4%
Home/away
77%
1/52/11
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/33/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
12/511/5
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5/2
7%
23/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/101/10
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/111/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
Home DNB
80%
1/101/11
2%
Away DNB
29%
6/111/2
13%
Roma win to nil
42%
10/11-
Lecce win to nil
8%
12/1-
Roma / Roma
40%
21/201/1
2%
Roma / Lecce
2%
50/145/1
12%
Roma / Draw
5%
16/116/1
Draw / Roma
21%
11/414/5
3%
Draw / Lecce
5%
16/114/1
15%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/15/1
Lecce / Roma
4%
22/120/1
11%
Lecce / Lecce
6%
16/111/1
9%
Lecce / Draw
4%
20/116/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Roma have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 1 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Roma have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Roma have played 14 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Lecce are in 16th position in the Serie A on 27 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Lecce have conceded 34 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Roma
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2822154267 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
2
Milan2817922460 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Napoli2817561456 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 14
4
Roma2816391751 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
5
Como 19072814952551 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
6
Juventus2814862250 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
7
Atalanta28121061346 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
Apr 4
l
 
4-1A
8
Bologna2811611339 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
9
Sassuolo2811512-338 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
10
Lazio289109037 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
11
Udinese2810612-836 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
12
Parma2981011-1534 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
13
Torino299614-1833 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
14
Genoa287912-630 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
15
Cagliari287912-830 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
16
Lecce287615-1727 
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
-
-
17
Fiorentina2851013-1225 
May 3
w
 
1-2A
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
18
Cremonese285914-1824 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
19
Verona283916-2718 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
20
Pisa2811215-2815 
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 3
Win / draw / win form
7
Roma have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Roma 4TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma3 - 3Juventus
Roma3 - 0Cremonese
Roma2 - 0Cagliari
Roma1 - 1Milan
Roma2 - 0Sassuolo
Roma3 - 1Genoa
Roma1 - 0Como 1907
Roma0 - 1Napoli
Roma2 - 0Udinese
Roma2 - 1Parma
Roma0 - 1Inter
Roma2 - 0Verona
Roma0 - 1Torino
Roma1 - 0Bologna
Roma3 - 1Milan
Roma1 - 0Fiorentina
Roma1 - 0Verona
Roma1 - 1Juventus
Roma1 - 0Cagliari
Roma2 - 1Como 1907
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARoma1 - 2Genoa
HRoma3 - 3Juventus
HRoma3 - 0Cremonese
ARoma2 - 2Napoli
HRoma2 - 0Cagliari
ARoma0 - 1Udinese
HRoma1 - 1Milan
ARoma2 - 0Torino
HRoma2 - 0Sassuolo
ARoma2 - 0Lecce
ARoma0 - 1Atalanta
HRoma3 - 1Genoa
ARoma1 - 2Juventus
HRoma1 - 0Como 1907
ARoma0 - 1Cagliari
HRoma0 - 1Napoli
ARoma3 - 1Cremonese
HRoma2 - 0Udinese
ARoma0 - 1Milan
HRoma2 - 1Parma
Lecce 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Como 19073 - 1Lecce
Cagliari0 - 2Lecce
Torino1 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 0Lecce
Inter1 - 0Lecce
Juventus1 - 1Lecce
Cremonese2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 1Lecce
Udinese3 - 2Lecce
Parma0 - 1Lecce
Atalanta4 - 1Lecce
Genoa0 - 0Lecce
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Verona1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Juventus2 - 1Lecce
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLecce2 - 1Cremonese
ALecce1 - 3Como 1907
HLecce0 - 2Inter
ALecce2 - 0Cagliari
HLecce2 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 1Torino
HLecce0 - 0Lazio
ALecce0 - 1Milan
ALecce0 - 1Inter
HLecce1 - 2Parma
HLecce0 - 2Roma
ALecce1 - 1Juventus
HLecce0 - 3Como 1907
HLecce1 - 0Pisa
ALecce0 - 2Cremonese
HLecce2 - 1Torino
ALecce0 - 2Lazio
HLecce0 - 0Verona
ALecce1 - 0Fiorentina
HLecce0 - 1Napoli
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Roma have beaten Lecce in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
Roma have not lost to Lecce in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Roma since 2020
Roma
Lecce
Goals: Scored
12
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
RMA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
Roma4 - 1
Roma2 - 1
Roma2 - 1
Roma4 - 0
League games at Lecce since 2019
Lecce
Roma
Goals: Scored
1
5
Games: Scored
1 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
4 / 5
RMA
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 2Roma
0 - 1Roma
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Roma
Goal Statistics

Roma have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Lecce on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Roma 4th Lecce 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
There is a 83% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Lecce will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Roma’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Lecce have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.8
0.7
Attack rating
35%
better
RMA
LEC
view stats
Games scored21
14
Failed to score7
14
Scored first17
12
Goals scored38
20
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
25%
better
RMA
LEC
view stats
Games conceded16
20
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded21
37
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.5
KickOff rating
+25%

Roma v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Roma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28649
M SvilarM MalvanoM MalvanoG Mancini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK28
-
G Mancini DEF272
9
-
B Cristante MID2721
6
-
Wesley DEF254
5
-
Z Celik DEF2512
1
1
M Koné MID2522
2
-
M Malvano FWD2564
1
-
E Ndicka DEF233
5
-
L Pellegrini MID2032
2
-
N Aynaoui MID181
4
-
M Hermoso DEF171
5
-
P Dybala FWD1723
-
E Ferguson FWD1632
1
-
D Rensch DEF151
-
N Pisilli MID1512
-
K Tsimikas DEF14
1
-
D Ghilardi DEF14
-
A Dovbyk FWD1331
-
S Shaarawy FWD132
2
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF12
2
-
D Malen FWD86
1
-
L. Venturino FWD6
-
A Angeliño DEF5
1
-
R. Vaz FWD5
-
B Zaragoza FWD41
1
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28337
W FalconeN StulicL BandaY Ramadani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK28
2
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF281
4
-
A Gallo DEF282
2
-
Y Ramadani MID271
7
-
S Pierotti FWD271
1
-
D Veiga DEF261
7
-
N Stulic FWD263
1
-
L Coulibaly  MID2431
2
-
L Banda FWD2233
6
1
K Gaspar DEF21
6
1
R Sottil  FWD2112
1
-
K N’Dri FWD182
2
-
F. Camarda FWD171
1
-
M Berisha MID1323
-
J Siebert DEF11
1
-
C Ndaba DEF10
-
O Gendelman MID102
-
Álex Sala MID71
-
W Cheddira FWD7
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID6
-
O Ngom MID5
-
G Jean DEF2
-
S Fofana MID2
-
M. Pérez Sepúlveda DEF1
-