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Puebla v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

Martín Varini Di Zioli is aiming for a crucial away win in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, as he takes his Necaxa side to the Estadio Cuauhtémoc to visit Puebla and Rolando Hernán Cristante Mandarino. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Puebla
34%
--
Draw
21%
--
Necaxa
44%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
--
Necaxa 2-1
8%
--
Puebla 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Necaxa 3-1
6%
--
Necaxa 1-0
5%
--
Necaxa 2-0
5%
--
Necaxa 3-2
5%
--
Puebla 1-0
4%
--
Puebla 3-1
4%
--
Puebla 3-2
4%
--
Puebla 2-0
4%
--
Necaxa 3-0
3%
--
Necaxa 4-1
3%
--
Draw 3-3
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
71%
--
BTTS - No
29%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
29%
--
Home/draw
56%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
--
Home DNB
49%
--
Away DNB
59%
--
Puebla win to nil
11%
--
Necaxa win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Puebla 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla0 - 4America
Puebla2 - 3Pumas UNAM
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Puebla2 - 1Mazatlan
Puebla0 - 3Cruz Azul
Puebla4 - 3Tijuana
Puebla0 - 2Guadalajara
Puebla2 - 2Pachuca
Puebla2 - 4Monterrey
Puebla0 - 2A. San Luis
Puebla1 - 0S. Laguna
Puebla2 - 3Atlas
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Puebla0 - 0Tigres
Puebla0 - 3Toluca
Puebla1 - 3Pumas UNAM
Puebla2 - 0Tijuana
Puebla1 - 2America
Puebla0 - 1Mazatlan
Puebla1 - 2A. San Luis
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APuebla1 - 0A. San Luis
HPuebla0 - 4America
HPuebla2 - 3Pumas UNAM
APuebla0 - 0Tijuana
HPuebla0 - 0Toluca
APuebla0 - 1Cruz Azul
HPuebla2 - 1Mazatlan
APuebla0 - 1Atlas
APuebla2 - 1Leon
HPuebla0 - 3Cruz Azul
APuebla4 - 4Juarez
APuebla1 - 2America
HPuebla4 - 3Tijuana
APuebla1 - 3Queretaro
HPuebla0 - 2Guadalajara
HPuebla2 - 2Pachuca
APuebla0 - 1Necaxa
APuebla1 - 3Toluca
HPuebla2 - 4Monterrey
APuebla0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Necaxa 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon2 - 1Necaxa
Juarez1 - 2Necaxa
America2 - 0Necaxa
S. Laguna1 - 3Necaxa
Mazatlan1 - 1Necaxa
A. San Luis3 - 4Necaxa
Tigres5 - 3Necaxa
Atlas3 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara3 - 1Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 0Necaxa
Monterrey3 - 0Necaxa
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Necaxa
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Tigres2 - 2Necaxa
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Juarez2 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Atlas0 - 4Necaxa
America2 - 3Necaxa
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa1 - 2Leon
HNecaxa0 - 3Toluca
ANecaxa2 - 1Juarez
HNecaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
ANecaxa0 - 2America
HNecaxa0 - 1Atlas
HNecaxa0 - 2Monterrey
ANecaxa3 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa1 - 1Mazatlan
HNecaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa4 - 3A. San Luis
HNecaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
ANecaxa3 - 5Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 1Pachuca
ANecaxa2 - 3Atlas
ANecaxa1 - 3Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 0Puebla
HNecaxa1 - 1Juarez
ANecaxa0 - 3Tijuana
ANecaxa0 - 3Monterrey
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Necaxa have beaten Puebla in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Puebla since 2019
Puebla
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
PUE
2
D
1
NEC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
0 - 1Necaxa
1 - 2Necaxa
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Necaxa
Puebla1 - 0
Puebla3 - 0
1 - 4Necaxa
League games at Necaxa since 2018
Necaxa
Puebla
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
PUE
3
D
2
NEC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa1 - 0
Necaxa4 - 1
1 - 2Puebla
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Puebla
0 - 1Puebla
Necaxa2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Puebla's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Necaxa have conceded in each of their last 16 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.7 for R. Cristante Mandarino's side suggests that run should continue.

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Necaxa in their clash with Puebla, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 26 consecutive Liga MX matches.

Puebla 18th Necaxa 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Puebla will score 1 or more goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Puebla have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
+29
Necaxa have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Puebla
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
1.7
2
Attack rating
PUE
NEC
15%
better
view stats
Games scored14
17
Failed to score11
8
Scored first8
8
Goals scored26
34
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
11%
better
PUE
NEC
view stats
Games conceded20
24
Clean sheets5
1
Conceded first14
17
Goals conceded52
45
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+11%

Puebla v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21658
A OrozcoE GómezE GómezN Huincales
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Orozco MID2511
3
-
E Gómez FWD2465
1
-
N Huincales DEF211
7
1
E Solana FWD203
2
-
L Mejía DEF192
3
-
E Guerra FWD1931
5
-
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF1813
2
1
C Baltazar MID1832
-
M Pérez MID15
-
J Martinez DEF141
-
A. Gamarra MID13
3
1
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD13
-
I Moreno DEF12
1
-
J González GLK11
1
-
B Garnica FWD101
-
R Castillo MID9
2
1
R Gutiérrez GLK8
4
-
J Rodríguez GLK7
1
-
Ángelo Araos MID71
-
K Velasco FWD71
2
-
A Jiménez MID6
2
-
J Vargas DEF51
-
I Puch FWD4
1
-
E Torres FWD3
-
U. Torres Méndez DEF1
-
Ángel Robles FWD1
-
L Cavallini FWD1
1
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25545
E UnsainT BadaloniF. Rossano ErchukR Monreal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK25
3
-
T Badaloni FWD2552
1
-
K Rosero  FWD2423
4
-
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF234
3
-
R Monreal FWD2331
4
1
C Calderón DEF2111
4
-
A Peña DEF211
1
-
A Oliveros DEF152
2
-
E Lara DEF11
2
-
R Pineda FWD10
1
-
D Leyva MID82
-
L Faravelli MID8
1
-
K Gutiérrez MID7
1
1
A Almendra MID7
-
J Carranza FWD63
2
1
R Ruiz DEF5
1
-
E González DEF5
-
I. Tello Robles FWD51
-
J. Ruiz MID31
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF1
-