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Toluca v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Diez,

the Estadio Nemesio Diez crowd welcome Atlas's travelling contingent on Sunday morning, as Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich's Toluca go head to head with Diego Martín Cocca Pera's charges in the Liga MX. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toluca 68%	-	-
Draw 20%	-	-
Atlas 12%	-	-
Toluca 2-0 13%	-	-
Toluca 1-0 13%	-	-
Toluca 2-1 10%	-	-
Draw 1-1 9%	-	-
Toluca 3-0 9%	-	-
Toluca 3-1 7%	-	-
Draw 0-0 6%	-	-
Toluca 4-0 5%	-	-
Atlas 1-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Atlas 2-1 3%	-	-
Toluca 4-1 3%	-	-
Toluca 3-2 2%	-	-
Toluca 5-0 2%	-	-
Atlas 2-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 60%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 36%	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	-	-
BTTS - No 54%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 27%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 13%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	-	-
Home/draw 88%	-	-
Away/draw 32%	-	-
Home/away 80%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Home DNB 82%	-	-
Away DNB 26%	-	-
Toluca win to nil 42%	-	-
Atlas win to nil 7%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
Toluca	1 - 0	Tijuana
Toluca	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
Toluca	3 - 1	S. Laguna
Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	0 - 0	Juarez
Toluca	2 - 0	America
Toluca	2 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	4 - 0	Queretaro
Toluca	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Toluca	6 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	3 - 1	Puebla
Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	3 - 4	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	2 - 0	America
Toluca	3 - 0	Tigres
Toluca	2 - 1	Monterrey
Toluca	2 - 2	Cruz Azul

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Toluca	3 - 0	Necaxa
H	Toluca	1 - 0	Tijuana
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Puebla
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Tigres
H	Toluca	3 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Toluca	1 - 0	Monterrey
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Monterrey
H	Toluca	0 - 0	Juarez
A	Toluca	2 - 1	Juarez
H	Toluca	2 - 0	America
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Atlas
H	Toluca	2 - 2	Pachuca
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Tijuana
H	Toluca	4 - 0	Queretaro
A	Toluca	4 - 2	Leon

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez	3 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
Cruz Azul	2 - 0	Atlas
Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
Guadalajara	4 - 1	Atlas
A. San Luis	2 - 0	Atlas
Tigres	2 - 0	Atlas
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Atlas
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Atlas
Queretaro	3 - 3	Atlas
Monterrey	3 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
Queretaro	1 - 2	Atlas
Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
Tijuana	3 - 4	Atlas
S. Laguna	2 - 0	Atlas
Tigres	2 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	0 - 0	Atlas
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlas	1 - 3	Juarez
H	Atlas	3 - 2	A. San Luis
A	Atlas	1 - 3	Pachuca
H	Atlas	2 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	1 - 0	Mazatlan
A	Atlas	1 - 0	Necaxa
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Atlas	1 - 0	Puebla
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tijuana
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Atlas	1 - 4	Guadalajara
H	Atlas	2 - 0	Leon
A	Atlas	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Atlas	3 - 1	Juarez
H	Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tigres
A	Atlas	1 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Atlas	2 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Atlas	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	2 - 4	America

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toluca have beaten Atlas in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Toluca have not lost to Atlas in 7 consecutive league meetings

Toluca

Atlas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

TOL

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca	4 - 1
Toluca	4 - 1
Toluca	3 - 2
	2 - 4	Atlas
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Atlas
Toluca	2 - 0

Atlas

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 8

Clean sheets

5 / 8

TOL

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Toluca
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Toluca
	0 - 1	Toluca
Atlas	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Atlas have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 4 consecutive Liga MX games. This run could continue, with Toluca's PG an impressive 2.1.

With a PG of just 0.7, Atlas look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Toluca haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Liga MX games, and it could be a long morning for D. Cocca Pera's men.

	Toluca 2nd	Atlas 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 15% There is a 61% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 48% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Atlas scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 Toluca have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-8 Atlas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.4 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

18%

better

TOL

ATL

view stats

Games scored	23		18
Failed to score	8		7
Scored first	16		9
Goals scored	61		34
Avg. goals scored	2		1.4
Avg. shots per game	13		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		17
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+18%

36%

better

TOL

ATL

view stats

Games conceded	18		20
Clean sheets	13		5
Conceded first	10		15
Goals conceded	26		47
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		6
Conversion rate against	11%		17%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.7
KickOff rating		+36%

Toluca v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	19	10	12
F Pereira	Paulinho	A Vega	J Gallardo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Pereira DEF	30	3		8 -
J Uriarte MID	29	5	4	1 -
F Romero MID	29		2	4 -
N Castro MID	28	3	8	1 -
M Ruíz MID	28	3	3	9 -
J Gallardo DEF	27	5	2	12 -
Paulinho FWD	27	19	3	3 -
D Barbosa DEF	25		1	7 -
E López DEF	23			1 -
S Simón DEF	22		3	3 -
B Méndez DEF	21	1		3 1
H González GLK	19			2 -
Helinho FWD	16	8	5	4 -
A Vega FWD	14	4	10	3 -
L García GLK	13			1 -
A Briseño DEF	13	1	1	-
O. Virgen FWD	11	1	1	1 -
F Arce MID	9			1 -
P Pérez FWD	8			-
M Isaís DEF	6			1 -
S Córdova MID	6		1	1 -
J Price MID	6	1	2	-
Luan DEF	4			-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	3			-
A Bermúdez FWD	3			1 -
V Camarena MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	36	10	11
Paulinho	Paulinho	A Vega	Helinho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Paulinho FWD	19	36	3	6
Helinho FWD	8	15	5	11
J Uriarte MID	5	14	4	9
J Gallardo DEF	5	12	2	7
A Vega FWD	4	9	10	9
F Pereira DEF	3	8		2
N Castro MID	3	26	8	8
M Ruíz MID	3	16	3	10
B Méndez DEF	1	3		2
A Briseño DEF	1	1	1	1
O. Virgen FWD	1	3	1
J Price MID	1	5	2	2
F Romero MID		1	2	1
D Barbosa DEF		3	1	2
E López DEF		3		1
S Simón DEF		1	3	7
F Arce MID		2
P Pérez FWD		1		1
S Córdova MID		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1747	70	201
F Pereira	M Ruíz	M Ruíz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Pereira DEF	1747	32	135
F Romero MID	1499	58	91
M Ruíz MID	1462	70	201
J Gallardo DEF	1187	53	126
N Castro MID	1065	34	101
E López DEF	847	17	40
B Méndez DEF	834	21	56
J Uriarte MID	832	21	61
S Simón DEF	738	29	62
D Barbosa DEF	577	63	107
H González GLK	529	2	11
A Vega FWD	440	8	70
Helinho FWD	378	12	58
L García GLK	367		3
Paulinho FWD	338	14	65
A Briseño DEF	301	7	34
P Pérez FWD	146	10	34
F Arce MID	107	10	17
M Isaís DEF	106	8	18
J Price MID	79	4	15
Luan DEF	70	1	4
S Córdova MID	59	2	5
O. Virgen FWD	40	3	7
V Camarena MID	30
A Bermúdez FWD	29	6	7
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	3	1	5

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	6	5
G Ferrareis	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz	G Aguirre

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Ferrareis DEF	25		3	2 -
G Aguirre DEF	24	1	1	5 -
D Alcaraz FWD	23	6	6	3 -
C Vargas GLK	22		1	2 -
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	22			4 -
A Rocha MID	20		2	4 1
A González FWD	20	3		-
S. Hernández Flores MID	19		1	2 -
E Lara FWD	19	2	2	2 -
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	17	1		3 1
M García FWD	16	3	1	1 -
A Mora DEF	15	2		3 -
G Prete FWD	11	2	1	1 -
J Lozano DEF	9	1	1	3 1
R Schlegel DEF	8		1	1 -
M Capasso DEF	8	1		1 -
E Zaldívar MID	7			1 -
J Rodríguez DEF	6			-
C Orrantía DEF	6			-
R Pier DEF	5		1	-
A Sánchez GLK	2			1 -
A Rodríguez FWD	2	1		-
C Becerra GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	6	10
D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Alcaraz FWD	6	15	6	10
A González FWD	3	7		1
M García FWD	3	8	1	1
E Lara FWD	2	6	2	1
A Mora DEF	2	4
G Prete FWD	2	3	1
G Aguirre DEF	1	1	1	1
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	1	3		1
J Lozano DEF	1	1	1	2
M Capasso DEF	1	1
A Rodríguez FWD	1	2
G Ferrareis DEF		9	3	4
C Vargas GLK			1	1
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID		3
A Rocha MID			2	1
S. Hernández Flores MID		3	1	1
R Schlegel DEF		1	1	1
R Pier DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
906	49	103
G Aguirre	G Aguirre	D Alcaraz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Aguirre DEF	906	49	102
A Rocha MID	884	24	67
G Ferrareis DEF	733	34	91
C Vargas GLK	702	1	6
D Alcaraz FWD	562	25	103
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	507	36	81
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	433	25	46
M Capasso DEF	425	9	32
A Mora DEF	424	24	51
R Schlegel DEF	407	19	37
M García FWD	392	19	59
S. Hernández Flores MID	372	35	83
A González FWD	364	17	48
R Pier DEF	204	1	6
E Lara FWD	202	14	55
G Prete FWD	134	5	22
E Zaldívar MID	132	2	6
J Lozano DEF	131	10	38
J Rodríguez DEF	68	4	12
A Sánchez GLK	61		1
C Orrantía DEF	45	3	5
C Becerra GLK	29		1
A Rodríguez FWD	9		1