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Toluca v Juárez : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 9th Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Monday morning sees Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich’s Toluca and Pedro Miguel Faria Caixinha’s Juárez go head to head in a Liga MX clash at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. Statistics drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
60%
--
Draw
21%
--
Juarez
19%
--
Toluca 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Toluca 2-0
10%
--
Toluca 1-0
9%
--
Toluca 3-1
7%
--
Toluca 3-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Juarez 2-1
5%
--
Juarez 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Toluca 3-2
4%
--
Toluca 4-1
3%
--
Toluca 4-0
3%
--
Juarez 2-0
3%
--
Juarez 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
81%
--
Away/draw
40%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
75%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Toluca win to nil
31%
--
Juarez win to nil
9%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Toluca 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca0 - 0Puebla
AToluca0 - 0Tigres
HToluca3 - 1S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 2Leon
HToluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Juarez 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca2 - 0Juarez
S. Laguna2 - 2Juarez
Mazatlan1 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Tijuana3 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 2Juarez
Monterrey4 - 2Juarez
Atlas3 - 1Juarez
Cruz Azul3 - 2Juarez
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Guadalajara1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana1 - 1Juarez
Tigres1 - 0Juarez
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Juarez
Atlas1 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 0Juarez
Tigres0 - 1Juarez
Tijuana1 - 2Juarez
America4 - 0Juarez
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HJuarez1 - 2Necaxa
AJuarez0 - 2Pachuca
HJuarez3 - 4Cruz Azul
AJuarez2 - 2S. Laguna
HJuarez0 - 1Guadalajara
AJuarez2 - 1Mazatlan
AJuarez0 - 0Toluca
HJuarez1 - 2Toluca
HJuarez2 - 1Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Tijuana
HJuarez1 - 2Queretaro
AJuarez2 - 1A. San Luis
HJuarez4 - 4Puebla
AJuarez2 - 4Monterrey
HJuarez2 - 2Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Atlas
HJuarez2 - 0Leon
HJuarez3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AJuarez2 - 3Cruz Azul
AJuarez1 - 1Necaxa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Toluca have not lost to Juarez in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2020
Toluca
Juarez
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
TOL
2
D
2
JUA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Toluca3 - 2
2 - 4Juarez
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca3 - 0
0 - 1Juarez
0 - 1Juarez
League games at Juarez since 2019
Juarez
Toluca
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
TOL
4
D
2
JUA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
1 - 2Toluca
0 - 2Toluca
0 - 4Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 0
Juarez2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Juárez have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 4 consecutive Liga MX matches. This run could continue, with Toluca's PG an impressive 2.0.

Toluca's defensive record is to be admired, A. Mohamed Matijevich's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Liga MX matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Juárez makes sense in this context.

Toluca 4th Juarez 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Juarez will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Toluca have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Juarez have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Juarez
2
1
Attack rating
8%
better
TOL
JUA
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score8
5
Scored first15
13
Goals scored59
39
Avg. goals scored2
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
36%
better
TOL
JUA
view stats
Games conceded18
24
Clean sheets12
3
Conceded first10
13
Goals conceded26
46
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
17%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+36%

Toluca v Juarez Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27191011
F PereiraPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF293
8
-
N Castro MID2838
1
-
J Uriarte MID2854
1
-
F Romero MID282
3
-
M Ruíz MID2733
8
-
J Gallardo DEF2642
11
-
Paulinho FWD26192
3
-
D Barbosa DEF241
6
-
E López DEF22
1
-
S Simón DEF213
3
-
B Méndez DEF201
3
1
H González GLK19
2
-
Helinho  FWD1585
4
-
A Vega FWD14410
3
-
A Briseño DEF1311
-
L García GLK12
1
-
O. Virgen FWD1111
1
-
F Arce MID8
1
-
P Pérez FWD7
-
M Isaís DEF6
1
-
S Córdova MID61
1
-
J Price MID52
-
Luan DEF3
-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD3
-
A Bermúdez FWD3
1
-
V Camarena MID1
-
Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2711610
S RocaÓscar EstupiñánJ FrancisH Martínez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roca GLK27
-
D García MID2721
4
-
J Francis FWD2736
5
-
R Pizarro MID2641
3
-
H Martínez MID241
10
-
A Mayorga DEF233
7
1
G Castilho MID2342
7
-
Óscar Estupiñán FWD23112
5
-
R Fulgencio MID2212
2
-
R. Oliveira António FWD2011
2
1
Madson FWD2031
2
-
J Murillo DEF1921
6
-
M Mosquera  DEF19
2
-
J Manríquez DEF18
-
F Nevárez DEF101
1
-
E. López Castro DEF8
1
-
D. Ochoa DEF71
1
-
J Torres FWD711
2
1
J Aquino DEF4
-
E Ayon FWD4
-
L Dupuy FWD3
-
Monchu MID2
-