Toluca's team badge Juárez's team badge

Toluca v Juárez : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 01:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

We’ve Liga MX action to enjoy on Sunday morning, as Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich and his Toluca side host Martín Varini Di Zioli’s Juárez at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Toluca to win

As training goes on this week and the Toluca players prepare themselves for this clash, the bookmakers have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Estadio Nemesio Díez has not been a happy hunting ground for for Juarez in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday morning. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
65%
-4/11
Draw
18%
-18/5
Juarez
18%
-5/1
Toluca 2-1
9%
-13/2
Toluca 3-1
8%
-8/1
Draw 1-1
7%
-8/1
Toluca 2-0
7%
-13/2
Draw 2-2
6%
-12/1
Toluca 3-0
6%
-8/1
Toluca 1-0
5%
-7/1
Toluca 3-2
5%
-14/1
Toluca 4-1
5%
-12/1
Juarez 2-1
5%
-14/1
Toluca 4-0
4%
-12/1
Toluca 4-2
3%
-20/1
Juarez 1-0
3%
-16/1
Juarez 3-2
3%
-28/1
Toluca 5-1
3%
-20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
-4/9
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
-29/20
Home 1st Goal
55%
-4/11
Away 1st Goal
44%
-9/4
No 1st Goal
1%
-14/1
BTTS - Yes
67%
-4/6
BTTS - No
32%
-11/10
BTTS - Home Win
40%
-8/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
-19/4
BTTS - Away Win
12%
-17/2
Home/draw
82%
-1/10
Away/draw
35%
-15/8
Home/away
82%
-1/6
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
-1/50
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
-19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
-11/10
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
-8/13
Over 4.5 Goals
35%
-12/5
Under 4.5 Goals
65%
-1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
20%
-19/4
Under 5.5 Goals
80%
-1/11
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
-1/300
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
-12/1
Home DNB
77%
-2/15
Away DNB
30%
-17/4
Toluca win to nil
25%
--
Juarez win to nil
6%
--
Toluca / Toluca
38%
-21/20
Toluca / Juarez
2%
-33/1
Toluca / Draw
5%
-14/1
Draw / Toluca
19%
-16/5
Draw / Juarez
7%
-11/1
Draw / Draw
11%
-6/1
Juarez / Toluca
5%
-14/1
Juarez / Juarez
8%
-9/1
Juarez / Draw
5%
-14/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
7
Toluca have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 2Leon
HToluca3 - 1Mazatlan
HToluca6 - 2Monterrey
AToluca3 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca3 - 1Puebla
AToluca3 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Juarez
HToluca3 - 4Tigres
AToluca4 - 2S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
Juarez 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tijuana3 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 2Juarez
Monterrey4 - 2Juarez
Atlas3 - 1Juarez
Cruz Azul3 - 2Juarez
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Guadalajara1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana1 - 1Juarez
Tigres1 - 0Juarez
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Juarez
Atlas1 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 0Juarez
Tigres0 - 1Juarez
Tijuana1 - 2Juarez
America4 - 0Juarez
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Mazatlan1 - 1Juarez
Pachuca0 - 1Juarez
Queretaro1 - 2Juarez
Cruz Azul4 - 0Juarez
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HJuarez2 - 1Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Tijuana
HJuarez1 - 2Queretaro
AJuarez2 - 1A. San Luis
HJuarez4 - 4Puebla
AJuarez2 - 4Monterrey
HJuarez2 - 2Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Atlas
HJuarez2 - 0Leon
HJuarez3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AJuarez2 - 3Cruz Azul
AJuarez1 - 1Necaxa
HJuarez1 - 0Mazatlan
HJuarez2 - 1S. Laguna
AJuarez2 - 1Guadalajara
HJuarez0 - 2Toluca
AJuarez1 - 1Tijuana
AJuarez0 - 1Tigres
HJuarez1 - 1America
HJuarez1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Toluca have beaten Juarez in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2020
Toluca
Juarez
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
TOL
2
D
1
JUA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca3 - 2
2 - 4Juarez
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca3 - 0
0 - 1Juarez
0 - 1Juarez
League games at Juarez since 2019
Juarez
Toluca
Goals: Scored
6
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
TOL
3
D
2
JUA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
0 - 2Toluca
0 - 4Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 0
Juarez2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Toluca 3rd Juarez 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
26%
There is a 25% probability that Toluca will score 4 or more goals in this match
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Juarez will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Toluca have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-12
Juarez have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Juarez
2.6
1.3
Attack rating
6%
better
TOL
JUA
view stats
Games scored14
17
Failed to score3
2
Scored first10
10
Goals scored43
30
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.6
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
39%
better
TOL
JUA
view stats
Games conceded11
17
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded18
32
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against11%
18%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+39%

Toluca v Juarez Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1512106
N CastroPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Castro MID1737
1
-
F Pereira DEF161
4
-
F Romero MID161
2
-
M Ruíz MID1522
4
-
J Uriarte MID1554
-
H Herrera MID151
1
R Morales FWD1533
-
J Gallardo DEF1441
6
-
B Méndez DEF141
1
1
Paulinho FWD14122
1
-
D Barbosa DEF13
2
-
A Vega FWD13410
3
-
J Domínguez FWD1311
2
-
H González GLK10
1
-
E López DEF10
1
-
S Simón MID102
1
-
L García GLK8
1
-
A Briseño DEF81
-
O. Virgen FWD811
1
-
Helinho  FWD642
1
-
F Arce MID5
-
M Isaís DEF4
1
-
A Bermúdez FWD2
1
-
Luan DEF1
-
V Camarena MID1
-
Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19946
S RocaÓscar EstupiñánJ FrancisA Mayorga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roca GLK19
-
D García MID191
4
-
Ángel Zaldívar FWD1921
4
-
J Francis FWD1924
4
-
R Pizarro MID1831
1
-
A Mayorga DEF173
5
1
Madson FWD173
2
-
H Martínez MID161
6
-
R Fulgencio MID1612
2
-
G Castilho MID1632
5
-
J Manríquez DEF15
-
Óscar Estupiñán FWD1591
4
-
R. Oliveira António FWD141
2
1
M Mosquera  DEF13
2
-
J Murillo DEF1111
4
-
D Villalpando MID11
-
D Valoyes FWD61
-
D. Ochoa DEF51
-
J Torres FWD511
2
1
F Nevárez DEF4
-
J González MID4
1
-