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Benfica v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 20:30 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Benfica and Arouca meet at the Estádio da Luz on Saturday night, with both Jose Mourinho and Vasco Seabra seeking a win in the Liga NOS. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds. Access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Benfica to win

We're predicting Benfica will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home supporters when that final whistle blows at Estádio da Luz.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 80% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.18.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
80%
3/20
1%
2/11
1%
Draw
13%
6/1
7%
13/2
Arouca
7%
12/114/1
Benfica 2-0
12%
11/211/2
Benfica 3-0
11%
13/26/1
8%
Benfica 2-1
8%
9/115/2
Benfica 1-0
8%
8/1
5%
7/1
Benfica 3-1
8%
10/117/2
Benfica 4-0
7%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Draw 1-1
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Benfica 4-1
5%
14/111/1
Benfica 5-0
4%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Benfica 5-1
3%
22/1
13%
18/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/116/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Arouca 2-1
2%
33/125/1
10%
Arouca 1-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
4/9
3%
2/5
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
17/10
6%
7/4
Home 1st Goal
64%
1/4
2%
1/5
Away 1st Goal
35%
11/418/5
4%
No 1st Goal
1%
20/116/1
BTTS - Yes
48%
21/20
2%
21/20
2%
BTTS - No
52%
7/10
2%
7/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
35%
7/417/10
BTTS - Draw
10%
15/2
11%
15/2
6%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
20/118/1
Home/draw
93%
1/251/50
Away/draw
20%
7/2
10%
19/5
4%
Home/away
87%
1/101/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/81/8
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/19/2
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
11/10
5%
1/1
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
4/6
3%
8/11
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
5/2
3%
11/5
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
2/7
1%
3/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
11/29/2
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/91/8
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/661/150
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/116/1
Home DNB
89%
1/201/33
Away DNB
16%
10/19/1
9%
Benfica win to nil
45%
10/11-
Arouca win to nil
3%
20/1-
Benfica / Benfica
50%
8/13
3%
8/13
3%
Benfica / Arouca
2%
50/150/1
Benfica / Draw
4%
20/1
9%
20/1
Draw / Benfica
21%
3/129/10
3%
Draw / Arouca
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
5%
Arouca / Benfica
5%
18/116/1
Arouca / Arouca
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
11%
Arouca / Draw
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 7 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 13 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 3 goals at home.

Arouca are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 9 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 8 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Arouca have conceded 13 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto87101822 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
2
S. Lisbon86111519 
Dec 5
Apr 18
Jan 25
l
 
6-0A
3
Benfica8530918 
-
-
Mar 15
Oct 25
4
Gil Vicente8512616 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
Dec 28
May 9
5
Moreirense8503115 
Apr 25
Dec 14
Nov 2
Mar 22
6
Famalicao8341413 
Dec 21
May 2
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
7
V. Guimaraes8323-311 
Mar 22
Nov 1
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
8
Braga8242410 
May 9
Dec 28
Dec 1
Apr 11
9
Alverca8314-110 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
Dec 14
Apr 25
10
Nacional8314-310 
Apr 11
Nov 29
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
11
Arouca8233-99 
Oct 25
Mar 15
-
-
12
Rio Ave8152-28 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
13
Santa Clara8224-48 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
May 2
Dec 21
14
Casa Pia8224-58 
Nov 9
Apr 3
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
15
Estrela Amadora8143-27 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
Apr 18
Dec 7
16
Estoril8134-36 
Jan 4
May 16
Apr 3
Nov 7
17
Tondela8125-105 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
May 16
Jan 4
18
AVS8017-151 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Jan 18
Win / draw / win form
23
Benfica have not lost in 23 consecutive league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
23
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 0Nacional
HBenfica3 - 0Boavista
Arouca 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente1 - 1Arouca
Santa Clara2 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Braga2 - 1Arouca
AVS0 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
Boavista1 - 3Arouca
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao0 - 0Arouca
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
HArouca4 - 1Boavista
AArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AArouca0 - 2Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Benfica
HArouca1 - 2Famalicao
AArouca1 - 2Braga
HArouca1 - 1Estoril
AArouca1 - 0AVS
HArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Benfica have not lost to Arouca in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Arouca
Goals: Scored
19
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
BEF
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Draw2 - 2Draw
Benfica5 - 0
Benfica4 - 0
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica3 - 1
League games at Arouca since 2015
Arouca
Benfica
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
BEF
5
ARO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 3Benfica
0 - 3Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
1 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Benfica 3rd Arouca 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Arouca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Benfica have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Arouca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
2.8
0.7
Attack rating
27%
better
BEF
ARO
view stats
Games scored7
5
Failed to score1
3
Scored first6
3
Goals scored13
10
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for2
0.7
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
69%
better
BEF
ARO
view stats
Games conceded4
8
Clean sheets4
0
Conceded first1
5
Goals conceded4
19
Avg. goals conceded0.5
2.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
4
Conversion rate against6%
22%
Avg. XG against1
1.7
KickOff rating
+69%

Benfica v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8524
N OtamendiV PavlidisV PavlidisN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF8
1
-
N Otamendi DEF8
4
-
R Ríos MID8
4
-
F Aursnes MID811
-
L Barreiro MID81
-
V Pavlidis FWD852
-
A Dedic DEF711
3
1
A Silva DEF7
1
-
E Barrenechea MID7
4
-
F Ivanovic FWD72
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD711
-
A Trubin GLK6
-
T Araújo DEF6
-
H Sudakov MID52
-
G Prestianni FWD51
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID3
-
D Lukébakio FWD31
-
H Araújo FWD3
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8426
J ValidoA TrezzaA TrezzaJ Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Valido GLK8
-
T Fukui MID81
1
-
A Trezza FWD842
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD831
-
A Dante DEF7
-
T Esgaio DEF7
2
-
J Fontán DEF71
4
2
B Pinto MID7
2
-
Barbero FWD71
1
-
M Puche FWD7
2
-
B Mansilla FWD71
1
-
B Popovic DEF61
1
-
H. Lee MID62
1
-
D Nandin FWD6
1
1
A Solà DEF5
1
-
P Santos MID5
-
P Gozálbez MID5
1
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
-
A Pinto DEF3
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID3
-
E. van Ee MID31
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-