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Benfica v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Jan, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

It's an away trip for João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu's Estrela Amadora side on Sunday evening, as they travel to the Estádio da Luz for a Liga NOS showdown with José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Benfica. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
62%
--
Draw
21%
--
Estrela Amadora
17%
--
Benfica 1-0
11%
--
Benfica 2-0
11%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Benfica 2-1
10%
--
Benfica 3-0
7%
--
Benfica 3-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Estrela Amadora 1-0
5%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Benfica 4-0
4%
--
Benfica 4-1
3%
--
Benfica 3-2
3%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-0
2%
--
Benfica 4-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
40%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
83%
--
Away/draw
38%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
32%
--
Benfica win to nil
34%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
8%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 15 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 15 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 19 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Estrela Amadora have conceded 22 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1716103249 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
2
S. Lisbon1713313842 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica1711602539 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
4
Gil Vicente177731028 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
5
Braga177641327 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
d
 
3-3A
May 17
6
Moreirense17836027 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
7
V. Guimaraes17746-425 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
8
Famalicao17656623 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
May 10
w
 
2-3A
9
Estoril17557-120 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
10
Rio Ave17485-720 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 17
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
11
Alverca17629-1020 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
12
Estrela Amadora17476-419 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
-
-
13
Nacional17458-517 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
14
Santa Clara17458-517 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
15
Casa Pia17359-1514 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
Mar 22
w
 
3-5A
16
Arouca17359-2414 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
17
Tondela173311-1712 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS170413-324 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
17
Benfica have not lost in 17 consecutive home league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
17
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
Estrela Amadora 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Benfica have beaten Estrela Amadora in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
Benfica have not lost to Estrela Amadora in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2023
Benfica
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
3
0
Games: Scored
2 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
0 / 2
BEF
2
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2024
Estrela Amadora
Benfica
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
BEF
3
Goal Statistics
Benfica 3rd Estrela Amadora 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Estrela Amadora have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
2
0.9
Attack rating
41%
better
BEF
view stats
Games scored16
10
Failed to score1
7
Scored first13
3
Goals scored36
23
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for2.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
47%
better
BEF
view stats
Games conceded9
13
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first3
11
Goals conceded11
27
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+47%

Benfica v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161746
S DahlV PavlidisV PavlidisR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF171
1
-
F Aursnes MID1733
-
V Pavlidis FWD17174
2
-
N Otamendi DEF162
5
-
R Ríos MID16
6
-
L Barreiro MID163
1
-
A Trubin GLK15
-
E Barrenechea MID15
5
-
F Ivanovic FWD153
1
-
A Dedic DEF1413
2
1
H Sudakov MID1441
2
-
T Araújo DEF131
1
-
G Prestianni FWD1321
3
1
A Silva DEF11
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1112
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID71
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
Manu MID4
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17635
R RibeiroKikasS CabralO Ngom
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK17
2
-
L Patrick DEF17
2
-
P. Valente Moreira MID1621
3
1
I Stoica FWD1622
2
-
Kikas FWD1661
-
A Marcus FWD1632
1
-
S Cabral DEF1553
3
-
B Schappo DEF15
4
-
R Pinho FWD1511
2
-
A Chernev DEF14
4
-
J Encada DEF131
2
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD132
-
J Cabral FWD123
4
-
O Ngom MID111
4
1
G. Serrão Montóia DEF10
2
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID7
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID7
2
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
L Antonetti FWD4
-
J. Gastão FWD31
2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-