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Sporting Braga v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 19:00 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

It's an away match for João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira's Casa Pia side on Saturday evening, as they make their way to the Estádio Municipal de Braga for a Liga NOS meeting with Carlos Vicens's Sporting Braga. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting there's minimal chance that this fixture will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Braga and Casa Pia have rarely treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Liga NOS individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Braga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
51%
39/100
7%
2/5
Draw
25%
7/2
5%
18/5
4%
Casa Pia
24%
13/2
12%
13/2
6%
Braga 1-0
12%
5/119/4
Draw 1-1
12%
15/2
11%
7/1
6%
Braga 2-0
9%
5/15/1
4%
Braga 2-1
9%
8/113/2
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Casa Pia 1-0
7%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Braga 3-0
5%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Braga 3-1
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
Draw 2-2
5%
22/116/1
Casa Pia 2-0
4%
40/125/1
10%
Braga 3-2
3%
33/120/1
9%
Braga 4-0
2%
16/1
13%
12/1
Braga 4-1
2%
22/1
10%
16/1
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
17/205/6
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
19/2010/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
53%
2/5
5%
4/11
2%
Away 1st Goal
42%
12/5
3%
13/5
5%
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
8%
9/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/10
5%
23/20
BTTS - No
50%
4/6
3%
13/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
13/5
3%
12/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Home/draw
76%
1/10
2%
1/11
2%
Away/draw
49%
7/4
15%
9/5
7%
Home/away
75%
2/112/11
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/42/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
9/421/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/31/3
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2
8%
19/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9
2%
1/8
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Home DNB
69%
1/7
3%
1/8
2%
Away DNB
41%
9/2
15%
9/2
8%
Braga win to nil
29%
11/10
5%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
13%
10/1
15%
-
Braga / Braga
39%
11/10
5%
11/10
5%
Braga / Casa Pia
2%
40/1
20%
40/1
Braga / Draw
5%
16/114/1
12%
Draw / Braga
21%
3/1
7%
29/10
Draw / Casa Pia
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Casa Pia / Braga
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
Casa Pia / Draw
4%
20/116/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Braga have outscored their opponents by 12 goals to 8 goals.

Home League Performance

Braga have played 4 games at home winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 4 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 8 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 11 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto87101822 
Mar 22
Nov 2
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon86111519 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
3
Benfica8530918 
Dec 28
May 9
Apr 3
Nov 9
4
Gil Vicente8512616 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 15
Dec 14
Apr 25
5
Moreirense8503115 
Nov 9
Apr 3
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
6
Famalicao8341413 
Apr 18
Dec 6
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
7
V. Guimaraes8323-311 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Dec 28
May 9
8
Braga8242410 
-
-
Mar 15
Oct 25
9
Alverca8314-110 
Jan 25
w
 
0-3F
Nov 29
Apr 11
10
Nacional8314-310 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
11
Arouca8233-99 
Apr 11
Dec 1
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
12
Rio Ave8152-28 
Feb 8
d
 
2-2A
May 16
Jan 4
13
Santa Clara8224-48 
Dec 14
Apr 25
Apr 18
Dec 6
14
Casa Pia8224-58 
Oct 25
Mar 15
-
-
15
Estrela Amadora8143-27 
May 16
Jan 4
Nov 1
Mar 22
16
Estoril8134-36 
May 2
Dec 21
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
17
Tondela8125-105 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
May 2
Dec 21
18
AVS8017-151 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
6
Braga have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Braga 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga2 - 2AVS
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Santa Clara
Braga4 - 1AVS
Braga2 - 1Arouca
Braga1 - 0Porto
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Braga2 - 0Gil Vicente
Braga3 - 0Boavista
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga3 - 3Famalicao
Braga2 - 2Estoril
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 0Sporting Farense
Braga4 - 0Rio Ave
Braga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Braga3 - 1Moreirense
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga0 - 1Nacional
ABraga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HBraga0 - 1Gil Vicente
ABraga2 - 2Rio Ave
HBraga2 - 2AVS
ABraga3 - 0Alverca
HBraga3 - 0Tondela
HBraga1 - 1Benfica
ABraga1 - 2Casa Pia
HBraga1 - 1Santa Clara
ABraga1 - 1Famalicao
ABraga2 - 0Estoril
HBraga4 - 1AVS
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga2 - 1Arouca
ABraga1 - 0Sporting Farense
HBraga1 - 0Porto
ABraga1 - 2Rio Ave
HBraga1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia2 - 1Braga
ACasa Pia0 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
ACasa Pia0 - 0Sporting Farense
HCasa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
ACasa Pia1 - 3Nacional
HCasa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Braga since 2022
Braga
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
BRG
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 3
0 - 1Casa Pia
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
Braga
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
BRG
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Casa Pia2 - 1
1 - 3Braga
0 - 1Braga
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Casa Pia on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Sporting Braga's defensive record is to be admired, C. Vicens's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Casa Pia makes sense in this context.

Braga 8th Casa Pia 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Braga’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Casa Pia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.6
1
Attack rating
21%
better
BRG
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score2
3
Scored first4
3
Goals scored12
8
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
17%
better
BRG
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded8
13
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

Braga v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8243
L HornicekR Zalazar L LeloGorby
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK8
-
V Gómez DEF8
1
-
Gorby MID8
3
-
L Lelo MID84
-
P Victor FWD81
-
G Lagerbielke DEF7
1
-
R Zalazar  MID72
2
-
G Martínez FWD71
2
-
J Moutinho MID6
-
F Navarro FWD62
1
-
R Horta FWD62
-
A Ouazzani FWD62
-
P Oliveira DEF5
1
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF4
-
S Niakaté DEF4
1
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID41
-
G Salles MID4
-
F Grillitsch  MID3
1
-
V Carvalho MID31
2
-
M Dorgeles MID3
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD3
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8333
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantR. Nhaga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Geraldes DEF8
1
-
G Larrazabal DEF81
2
-
Cassiano FWD81
2
-
J Livolant FWD833
1
-
P Sequeira GLK7
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF7
2
-
J Fonte DEF7
-
S Pérez MID7
2
-
R. Nhaga MID7
3
-
T Morais FWD7
1
-
I Mohamed MID6
2
-
O Osundina FWD61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
J Goulart DEF5
1
-
M Sousa MID5
2
-
D Sousa  DEF41
3
-
D Tchamba  DEF41
1
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD4
1
-
R Brito MID3
1
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK2
1
-
A Conté DEF21
-
K Rocha DEF21
-
K. Prieto Machado MID2
-
Y Oukili MID2
-
K Nsona  FWD1
-