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Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Nov, 18:00 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu take on one another in the Liga NOS on Saturday evening, as Casa Pia face Estrela Amadora at the Estádio Pina Manique. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
34%
--
Draw
32%
--
Estrela Amadora
33%
--
Draw 0-0
15%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
15%
--
Estrela Amadora 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
7%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-0
7%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
1%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
71%
--
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
11%
--
BTTS - Yes
37%
--
BTTS - No
63%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
68%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
44%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
85%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
15%
--
Home DNB
57%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
24%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
24%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Liga NOS league table. Casa Pia are unbeaten in 2 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games. Casa Pia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Casa Pia have outscored their opponents by 8 goals to 6 goals.

Home League Performance

Casa Pia have played 4 games at home winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 3 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 7 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games. Estrela Amadora are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 3 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Estrela Amadora have conceded 7 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto87101822 
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
Apr 25
Dec 14
2
S. Lisbon86111519 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
Apr 11
Nov 30
3
Benfica8530918 
Apr 3
Nov 9
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
4
Gil Vicente8512616 
Dec 14
Apr 25
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
5
Moreirense8503115 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
Dec 21
May 2
6
Famalicao8341413 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
May 9
Dec 28
7
V. Guimaraes8323-311 
Dec 28
May 9
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
8
Braga8242410 
Mar 15
Oct 25
Jan 4
May 16
9
Alverca8314-110 
Nov 29
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
10
Nacional8314-310 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
Nov 9
Apr 3
11
Arouca8233-99 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
Dec 7
Apr 18
12
Rio Ave8152-28 
May 16
Jan 4
Oct 25
Mar 15
13
Santa Clara8224-48 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
14
Casa Pia8224-58 
-
-
Mar 22
Nov 1
15
Estrela Amadora8143-27 
Nov 1
Mar 22
-
-
16
Estoril8134-36 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
17
Tondela8125-105 
May 2
Dec 21
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS8017-151 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
7
Estrela Amadora have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
3
Estrela Amadora have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Casa Pia 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia2 - 1Braga
ACasa Pia0 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
ACasa Pia0 - 0Sporting Farense
HCasa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
ACasa Pia1 - 3Nacional
HCasa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
6
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
6 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
14 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Estoril
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Estoril
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Goal Statistics
Casa Pia 14th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-64
Estrela Amadora have scored 64% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
0.9
0.9
Attack rating
32%
better
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score3
5
Scored first3
1
Goals scored8
6
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
12
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded13
8
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+22%

Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8333
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantR. Nhaga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Geraldes DEF8
1
-
G Larrazabal DEF81
2
-
Cassiano FWD81
2
-
J Livolant FWD833
1
-
P Sequeira GLK7
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF7
2
-
J Fonte DEF7
-
S Pérez MID7
2
-
R. Nhaga MID7
3
-
T Morais FWD7
1
-
I Mohamed MID6
2
-
O Osundina FWD61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
J Goulart DEF5
1
-
M Sousa MID5
2
-
D Tchamba  DEF41
1
-
D Sousa  DEF41
3
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD4
1
-
R Brito MID3
1
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK2
1
-
A Conté DEF21
-
K Rocha DEF21
-
K. Prieto Machado MID2
-
Y Oukili MID2
-
K Nsona  FWD1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8222
R RibeiroI StoicaS CabralL Patrick
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK8
1
-
L Patrick DEF8
2
-
B Schappo DEF8
2
-
S Cabral DEF812
1
-
A Chernev DEF8
2
-
I Stoica FWD82
1
-
P. Valente Moreira MID7
1
1
R Pinho FWD71
1
-
Kikas FWD72
-
A Marcus FWD71
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD6
-
J Encada DEF5
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF4
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID4
2
-
J. Gastão FWD41
2
-
J Cabral FWD4
2
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID2
-
O Ngom MID2
1
1
L Antonetti FWD2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-