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CD Nacional v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Jan, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Sunday afternoon sees Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido’s CD Nacional and Sotiris Silaidopoulos’s Rio Ave go head to head in a Liga NOS clash at the Estadio da Madeira. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a smart selection is shown below. Switch between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
38%
--
Draw
23%
--
Rio Ave
39%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Rio Ave 2-1
8%
--
Nacional 2-1
8%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Rio Ave 1-0
6%
--
Nacional 1-0
6%
--
Rio Ave 2-0
5%
--
Nacional 2-0
5%
--
Rio Ave 3-1
5%
--
Nacional 3-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Rio Ave 3-2
4%
--
Nacional 3-2
4%
--
Rio Ave 3-0
3%
--
Nacional 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
64%
--
BTTS - No
36%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
55%
--
Nacional win to nil
16%
--
Rio Ave win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 18 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 8 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Rio Ave lay in 10th place on 20 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches. Rio Ave are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 8 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Rio Ave have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Rio Ave have played 9 away games, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1716103249 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
2
S. Lisbon1713313842 
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
May 10
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica1711602539 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
Jan 17
d
 
1-1A
4
Gil Vicente177731028 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 17
May 3
d
 
2-2A
5
Braga177641327 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
6
Moreirense17836027 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
7
V. Guimaraes17746-425 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
8
Famalicao17656623 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
9
Estoril17557-120 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-4A
Mar 22
10
Rio Ave17485-720 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
-
-
11
Alverca17629-1020 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
12
Estrela Amadora17476-419 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
13
Nacional17458-517 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
14
Santa Clara17458-517 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
15
Casa Pia17359-1514 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
May 17
16
Arouca17359-2414 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
Feb 1
d
 
3-3A
17
Tondela173311-1712 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
18
AVS170413-324 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
Gil Vicente2 - 2Rio Ave
AVS1 - 2Rio Ave
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Famalicao0 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 2Rio Ave
Gil Vicente1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara1 - 0Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
ARio Ave0 - 4S. Lisbon
ARio Ave2 - 2Gil Vicente
HRio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave2 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave1 - 1Alverca
HRio Ave0 - 4Estoril
ARio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave3 - 0Tondela
ARio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave1 - 1Benfica
HRio Ave0 - 3Porto
ARio Ave1 - 3Moreirense
HRio Ave2 - 2Braga
ARio Ave3 - 3Arouca
HRio Ave1 - 1Nacional
HRio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
ARio Ave3 - 3Nacional
HRio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Rio Ave have not lost to Nacional in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
NAC
1
D
1
RIO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2Rio Ave
0 - 1Rio Ave
0 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 0
League games at Rio Ave since 2015
Rio Ave
Nacional
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
D
3
RIO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rio Ave2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Rio Ave2 - 1
Rio Ave1 - 0
Goal Statistics

CD Nacional's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Rio Ave have conceded in each of their last 9 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.6 for T. Carvalho Margarido's side suggests that run should continue.

Nacional 13th Rio Ave 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Rio Ave will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Nacional have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Rio Ave have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.6
1.6
Attack rating
NAC
RIO
1%
better
view stats
Games scored13
12
Failed to score4
5
Scored first7
7
Goals scored21
22
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
1%
better
NAC
RIO
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded26
29
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+1%

Nacional v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171246
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Liziero  MID174
4
-
Chuchu FWD1712
4
-
P Bóia FWD1722
3
-
L Santos DEF162
6
-
M Dias MID16
2
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1513
1
-
Z Vitor DEF153
3
1
C. Abidi MID1511
3
-
Witi FWD15
2
-
J Aurélio DEF14
2
-
K Azarias GLK11
2
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD11
2
1
F Soares MID10
2
-
L João FWD101
-
J Silva MID7
-
L França GLK6
1
-
L Vallier DEF6
1
-
M Baeza MID6
-
A Sousa MID61
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF4
1
-
A Duarte DEF4
-
D Jr MID2
1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161057
C MisztaClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Liavas MID171
2
-
A Luiz FWD1775
3
-
C Miszta GLK16
5
-
M Vrousai  DEF1611
1
1
N Athanasiou DEF161
1
-
B Aguilera MID161
4
-
Clayton FWD16104
6
1
A Ndoj DEF151
5
-
F. Petrasso DEF15
4
-
O Pohlmann MID151
-
J Panzo DEF13
3
1
D Spikic FWD132
1
-
N Abby DEF12
2
-
J Brabec DEF10
2
-
T. Nikitscher MID101
2
1
M Gual FWD10
-
A. Papakanellos MID9
-
J Tomé DEF6
1
-
J Graça MID6
-
J DEF4
1
-
O Richards DEF3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
K. Zoabi FWD3
1
-
K Chamorro GLK1
-
T. Medina FWD1
-