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Estoril v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 19:00 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril and CD Nacional take on one another at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Saturday evening, with both Ian Cathro and Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido seeking a win in the Liga NOS. Liga NOS statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Ian Evatt and Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido to got all-out defensive here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as Estoril and Nacional go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.75 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 36% chance of Nacional coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
33%
23/206/5
Draw
30%
23/1012/5
3%
Nacional
36%
23/1011/5
Nacional 1-0
14%
9/115/2
Draw 1-1
14%
11/25/1
8%
Draw 0-0
13%
9/115/2
Estoril 1-0
13%
13/26/1
Nacional 2-0
7%
16/112/1
Nacional 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Estoril 2-1
7%
8/17/1
Estoril 2-0
6%
9/117/2
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
8%
Nacional 3-0
3%
33/125/1
Nacional 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Estoril 3-1
2%
16/114/1
Estoril 3-0
2%
20/114/1
Nacional 3-2
1%
33/125/1
Estoril 3-2
1%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
19/20
3%
19/20
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
17/20
3%
3/4
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
9%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
41%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
59%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
11%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/317/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/219/4
Home/draw
64%
1/37/20
Away/draw
67%
4/613/20
Home/away
70%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
2/7
1%
1/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
5/2
3%
11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
12/5
3%
12/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/101/10
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/20
1%
1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
10/1
10%
15/2
Home DNB
55%
4/74/7
Away DNB
58%
5/45/4
Estoril win to nil
22%
11/4-
Nacional win to nil
24%
9/2-
Estoril / Estoril
23%
5/212/5
Estoril / Nacional
3%
28/122/1
Estoril / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Estoril
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Nacional
11%
6/16/1
8%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Nacional / Estoril
3%
25/120/1
11%
Nacional / Nacional
15%
9/24/1
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league. Estoril are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Estoril have conceded 10 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Nacional lay in 10th place on 10 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Nacional have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Nacional have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto87101822 
Apr 11
Nov 30
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon86111519 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
3
Benfica8530918 
May 16
Jan 4
Nov 29
Apr 11
4
Gil Vicente8512616 
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
5
Moreirense8503115 
Dec 7
Apr 18
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
6
Famalicao8341413 
Apr 25
Dec 14
Nov 1
Mar 22
7
V. Guimaraes8323-311 
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
May 16
Jan 4
8
Braga8242410 
Dec 21
May 2
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
9
Alverca8314-110 
Dec 28
May 9
Apr 18
Dec 7
10
Nacional8314-310 
Oct 25
Mar 15
-
-
11
Arouca8233-99 
Nov 7
Apr 3
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
12
Rio Ave8152-28 
Mar 22
Nov 1
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
13
Santa Clara8224-48 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
Dec 28
May 9
14
Casa Pia8224-58 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
15
Estrela Amadora8143-27 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
Apr 3
Nov 9
16
Estoril8134-36 
-
-
Mar 15
Oct 25
17
Tondela8125-105 
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
Dec 14
Apr 25
18
AVS8017-151 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
May 2
Dec 21
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril2 - 1Famalicao
Estoril0 - 0AVS
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Estoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril2 - 3V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HEstoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
HEstoril1 - 2Benfica
AEstoril3 - 1Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 2Braga
AEstoril0 - 3Famalicao
AEstoril3 - 0AVS
HEstoril1 - 2Porto
AEstoril1 - 1Arouca
HEstoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
AEstoril1 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Nacional 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Famalicao0 - 0Nacional
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
HNacional3 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
HNacional2 - 1Famalicao
ANacional0 - 1Braga
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estoril since 2015
Estoril
Nacional
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
EST
1
D
1
NAC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Estoril1 - 0
0 - 1Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Estoril
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
EST
1
D
1
NAC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Estoril
Nacional4 - 1
Goal Statistics
Estoril 16th Nacional 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Estoril scoring 1 goal or less
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Estoril’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-35
Nacional have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1
1.1
Attack rating
EST
NAC
1%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score3
2
Scored first5
4
Goals scored10
9
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
EST
NAC
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded13
12
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%

Estoril v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8234
J RoblesJ CarvalhoJ CarvalhoK Boma
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK8
-
F Bacher DEF8
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF81
3
-
J Carvalho MID823
3
-
J Holsgrove MID8
2
-
R Guitane FWD821
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD81
-
Y Begraoui FWD81
1
-
P Amaral DEF7
2
-
K Boma DEF7
4
-
P Paula MID7
4
-
N Lominadze MID72
2
-
Ferro DEF6
1
-
T. Parente DEF61
1
-
A Marqués FWD6
1
-
R Sánchez DEF511
2
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD5
-
Pizzi MID4
-
T Brito MID3
1
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8634
J. Mendes GomesChuchuJ. Mendes GomesUlisses
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Mendes Gomes DEF83
-
L Santos DEF82
2
-
Liziero  MID82
3
-
F Soares MID8
2
-
Chuchu FWD86
2
-
P Bóia FWD81
1
-
Witi FWD8
-
J Aurélio DEF7
1
-
Z Vitor DEF7
2
-
M Dias MID7
1
1
C. Abidi MID7
1
-
L França GLK6
1
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD6
1
1
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
J Silva MID4
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD4
-
L João FWD4
-
K Azarias GLK2
-
A Sousa MID2
-
A Duarte DEF1
-
L Vallier DEF1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF1
-
M. Nourani FWD1
-