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Estoril v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 20:30 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota is the stage on Saturday night, as Ian Cathro's Estoril are visited by Luís Miguel Correia Pinto's Vitoria Guimaraes in the Liga NOS. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
49%
--
Draw
26%
--
V. Guimaraes
25%
--
Estoril 1-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Estoril 2-0
9%
--
Estoril 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
8%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
6%
--
Estoril 3-0
5%
--
Estoril 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
4%
--
Estoril 3-2
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
2%
--
Estoril 4-0
2%
--
Estoril 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
48%
--
BTTS - No
52%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
51%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Estoril win to nil
29%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
14%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Estoril have conceded 17 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 7th place on 25 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1716103249 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon1713313842 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
l
 
1-4A
May 3
3
Benfica1711602539 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Gil Vicente177731028 
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
5
Braga177641327 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
6
Moreirense17836027 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
7
V. Guimaraes17746-425 
Jan 24
l
 
3-2F
-
-
8
Famalicao17656623 
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
9
Estoril17557-120 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
Jan 24
10
Rio Ave17485-720 
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
11
Alverca17629-1020 
w
 
4-1F
May 10
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
12
Estrela Amadora17476-419 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
13
Nacional17458-517 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
w
 
2-1F
May 17
14
Santa Clara17458-517 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
15
Casa Pia17359-1514 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
16
Arouca17359-2414 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
17
Tondela173311-1712 
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS170413-324 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
5
Estoril have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
V. Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estoril since 2015
Estoril
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
4 / 7
EST
2
D
1
GUI
4
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Estoril
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
D
2
GUI
6
Goal Statistics

Estoril's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Vitoria Guimaraes have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga NOS outings. A PG of 1.5 for I. Cathro's side suggests that run should continue.

Estoril 9th V. Guimaraes 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Estoril have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-29
V. Guimaraes have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.5
1
Attack rating
26%
better
EST
GUI
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score5
7
Scored first8
6
Goals scored28
18
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
EST
GUI
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
11
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded29
22
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+23%

Estoril v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17855
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Holsgrove
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK17
1
-
F Bacher DEF17
2
-
J Carvalho MID1745
4
-
Y Begraoui FWD1781
1
-
K Boma DEF161
4
-
J Holsgrove MID1613
5
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF152
4
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
R Guitane FWD1423
-
P Amaral DEF131
2
-
Ferro DEF12
1
-
N Lominadze MID122
3
-
A Marqués FWD11
1
-
R Sánchez DEF1022
5
-
Pizzi MID10
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
A Tsoungui DEF8
3
-
J Orellana MID81
1
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
G Costa DEF4
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17325
MagaN OliveiraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Maga DEF17
4
-
R Abascal DEF1612
3
-
N Oliveira FWD163
3
1
J Mendes DEF15
5
-
T Arcanjo FWD151
-
A Ndoye FWD152
1
-
Beni MID141
4
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK13
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID131
2
-
O. Camara FWD1331
1
-
Samu MID1211
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
F Blanco FWD10
3
1
G Nogueira MID91
1
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
M Nóbrega DEF71
-
O Lebedenko DEF7
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID71
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD611
1
-
T Strata DEF51
-
Charles GLK4
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-