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Estrela Amadora v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 20:30 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu and Sotiris Silaidopoulos meet in the Liga NOS on Saturday night, as Estrela Amadora face Rio Ave at the Estádio José Gomes. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estrela Amadora are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
41%
6/46/4
Draw
26%
11/523/10
Rio Ave
33%
7/47/4
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Estrela Amadora 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Rio Ave 1-0
9%
7/16/1
Rio Ave 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Estrela Amadora 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
7%
15/213/2
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Rio Ave 2-0
5%
12/110/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Estrela Amadora 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Rio Ave 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Estrela Amadora 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Rio Ave 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
23/2011/10
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/64/6
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/2011/10
No 1st Goal
4%
15/213/2
BTTS - Yes
54%
10/1110/11
BTTS - No
46%
10/115/6
BTTS - Home Win
19%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/19/2
Home/draw
67%
2/54/9
Away/draw
59%
1/21/2
Home/away
74%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
2/115/8
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
11/414/5
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/141/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/14
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/2
6%
13/2
Home DNB
59%
4/54/5
Away DNB
51%
10/1119/20
Estrela Amadora win to nil
22%
3/1-
Rio Ave win to nil
17%
7/2-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
19%
10/33/1
Estrela Amadora / Rio Ave
3%
28/122/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Rio Ave
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Rio Ave / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/122/1
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
18%
7/210/3
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league. Estrela Amadora are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Estrela Amadora have conceded 7 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Rio Ave lay in 12th place on 8 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 8 matches. Rio Ave have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games. Rio Ave are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 3 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Rio Ave have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Rio Ave have played 4 away games, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto87101822 
Apr 25
Dec 14
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
2
S. Lisbon86111519 
Apr 11
Nov 30
May 9
Dec 28
3
Benfica8530918 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
4
Gil Vicente8512616 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
May 2
Dec 21
5
Moreirense8503115 
Dec 21
May 2
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
6
Famalicao8341413 
May 9
Dec 28
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
7
V. Guimaraes8323-311 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
Dec 14
Apr 25
8
Braga8242410 
Jan 4
May 16
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
9
Alverca8314-110 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
Apr 3
Nov 8
10
Nacional8314-310 
Nov 9
Apr 3
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
11
Arouca8233-99 
Dec 7
Apr 18
Feb 1
d
 
3-3A
12
Rio Ave8152-28 
Oct 25
Mar 15
-
-
13
Santa Clara8224-48 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 30
Apr 11
14
Casa Pia8224-58 
Mar 22
Nov 1
Jan 4
May 16
15
Estrela Amadora8143-27 
-
-
Mar 15
Oct 25
16
Estoril8134-36 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Nov 1
Mar 22
17
Tondela8125-105 
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
18
AVS8017-151 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Apr 18
Dec 6
Win / draw / win form
6
Rio Ave have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Moreirense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Boavista
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Estoril
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Estoril
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Rio Ave 12TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao0 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 2Rio Ave
Gil Vicente1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara1 - 0Rio Ave
Boavista0 - 2Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Braga4 - 0Rio Ave
AVS1 - 0Rio Ave
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave3 - 0Tondela
ARio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave1 - 1Benfica
HRio Ave0 - 3Porto
ARio Ave1 - 3Moreirense
HRio Ave2 - 2Braga
ARio Ave3 - 3Arouca
HRio Ave1 - 1Nacional
HRio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
ARio Ave3 - 3Nacional
HRio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
ARio Ave0 - 3V. Guimaraes
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave2 - 0Moreirense
HRio Ave0 - 2Boavista
ARio Ave1 - 2Casa Pia
HRio Ave2 - 3Benfica
ARio Ave0 - 1Famalicao
HRio Ave2 - 1Braga
ARio Ave1 - 2Estoril
Goal Statistics
Estrela Amadora 15th Rio Ave 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Estrela Amadora will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Estrela Amadora’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Rio Ave’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
RIO
44%
better
view stats
Games scored3
6
Failed to score5
2
Scored first1
3
Goals scored6
11
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal12
5
Conversion rate for9
19
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
16%
better
RIO
view stats
Games conceded5
6
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded8
13
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+16%

Estrela Amadora v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8222
R RibeiroI StoicaS CabralL Patrick
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK8
1
-
L Patrick DEF8
2
-
B Schappo DEF8
2
-
S Cabral DEF812
1
-
A Chernev DEF8
2
-
I Stoica FWD82
1
-
P. Valente Moreira MID7
1
1
R Pinho FWD71
1
-
Kikas FWD72
-
A Marcus FWD71
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD6
-
J Encada DEF5
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF4
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID4
2
-
J. Gastão FWD41
2
-
J Cabral FWD4
2
-
O Ngom MID2
1
1
A. Mussolo Sola MID2
-
L Antonetti FWD2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8643
C MisztaClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miszta GLK8
2
-
M Vrousai  DEF8
-
N Athanasiou DEF81
-
G Liavas MID81
1
-
Clayton FWD861
2
1
A Luiz FWD834
3
-
A Ndoj DEF7
2
-
J Panzo DEF7
1
-
F. Petrasso DEF7
1
-
O Pohlmann MID7
-
B Aguilera MID7
3
-
D Spikic FWD72
1
-
M Gual FWD7
-
N Abby DEF5
1
-
T. Nikitscher MID51
1
-
J Brabec DEF3
2
-
O Richards DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF2
-
J Tomé DEF2
-
J Graça MID2
-
A. Papakanellos MID2
-
J DEF1
1
-
T. Medina FWD1
-