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FC Famalicao v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 19:00 BST, Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicão - Campo 2, Vila Nova de Famalicão

Vitoria Guimaraes pay Liga NOS counterparts FC Famalicao a visit on Saturday evening, as Luís Miguel Correia Pinto leads his men into an away clash with Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira & co. at the Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicão - Campo 2. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira and Luis Miguel Ramis to park the bus here, but we do not expect a deluge of goals as Famalicao and V. Guimaraes go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.62 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Famalicao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Famalicao 56%	43/50	19/20
Draw 27%	23/10	12/5
V. Guimaraes 17%	16/5	29/10
Famalicao 1-0 18%	5/1	19/4
Famalicao 2-0 13%	7/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 13%	7/1	13/2
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1
Famalicao 2-1 8%	8/1	7/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0 8%	9/1	15/2
Famalicao 3-0 6%	14/1	12/1
Famalicao 3-1 4%	16/1	14/1
V. Guimaraes 2-1 4%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 3%	16/1	14/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0 3%	20/1	14/1
Famalicao 4-0 2%	33/1	25/1
Famalicao 4-1 1%	40/1	28/1
Famalicao 3-2 1%	33/1	22/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1 1%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	5/4	6/5
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	8/13	8/13
Home 1st Goal 56%	4/6	7/10
Away 1st Goal 35%	8/5	8/5
No 1st Goal 9%	7/1	13/2
BTTS - Yes 36%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - No 64%	3/4	8/11
BTTS - Home Win 16%	15/4	17/5
BTTS - Draw 15%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 5%	8/1	13/2
Home/draw 83%	2/9	1/4
Away/draw 44%	10/11	4/5
Home/away 73%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	2/5	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	7/4	7/4
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	10/3 8%	3/1
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1/5 2%	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	9/1 11%	7/1
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/16 1%	1/16
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	20/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/66	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1/14 1%	1/14
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	8/1 13%	13/2
Home DNB 75%	4/11	2/5
Away DNB 36%	2/1	7/4
Famalicao win to nil 40%	2/1	-
V. Guimaraes win to nil 11%	11/2	-
Famalicao / Famalicao 26%	21/10	21/10
Famalicao / V. Guimaraes 2%	40/1	28/1
Famalicao / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Famalicao 17%	15/4	18/5
Draw / V. Guimaraes 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	7/2
V. Guimaraes / Famalicao 3%	25/1	20/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes 12%	6/1	5/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Famalicao have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Liga NOS league table. Famalicao are unbeaten in 6 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 6 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 9 goals to 8 goals.

Home League Performance

Famalicao have played 4 games at home winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 4 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

V. Guimaraes are in 7th position in the Liga NOS on 11 points having played 8 matches so far this season. V. Guimaraes have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. V. Guimaraes have conceded 5 goals, scored 0, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Famalicao V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	8	7	1	0	18	22	Nov 9	Apr 3	Jan 18	l 3-0A
2	S. Lisbon	8	6	1	1	15	19	l 1-2F	Feb 15	Dec 21	May 2
3	Benfica	8	5	3	0	9	18	May 2	Dec 21	Nov 1	Mar 22
4	Gil Vicente	8	5	1	2	6	16	d 0-00-0	Feb 1	Dec 8	Apr 18
5	Moreirense	8	5	0	3	1	15	Apr 11	Nov 29	Feb 1	l 2-0A
6	Famalicao	8	3	4	1	4	13	-	-	Mar 15	Oct 25
7	V. Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	-3	11	Oct 25	Mar 15	-	-
8	Braga	8	2	4	2	4	10	Dec 6	Apr 18	d 1-1A	Feb 22
9	Alverca	8	3	1	4	-1	10	May 16	Jan 4	Mar 1	l 2-0A
10	Nacional	8	3	1	4	-3	10	Mar 22	Nov 1	Jan 4	May 16
11	Arouca	8	2	3	3	-9	9	Mar 8	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	Feb 8
12	Rio Ave	8	1	5	2	-2	8	d 0-00-0	Mar 1	Apr 25	Dec 14
13	Santa Clara	8	2	2	4	-4	8	w 3-0F	Jan 18	w 2-1A	Mar 8
14	Casa Pia	8	2	2	4	-5	8	Feb 22	d 1-1F	May 9	Dec 28
15	Estrela Amadora	8	1	4	3	-2	7	Dec 28	May 9	Feb 15	w 0-2F
16	Estoril	8	1	3	4	-3	6	Dec 14	Apr 25	w 3-2A	Jan 25
17	Tondela	8	1	2	5	-10	5	Jan 25	w 0-1F	Apr 3	Nov 8
18	AVS	8	0	1	7	-15	1	Feb 8	w 0-1F	Nov 28	Apr 11

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Famalicao have drawn 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao	0 - 0	Rio Ave
Famalicao	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
Famalicao	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
Famalicao	3 - 0	Santa Clara
Famalicao	2 - 1	Casa Pia
Famalicao	1 - 1	Braga
Famalicao	3 - 0	Estoril
Famalicao	4 - 1	AVS
Famalicao	1 - 0	Rio Ave
Famalicao	2 - 0	Moreirense
Famalicao	0 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Famalicao	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Famalicao	1 - 2	Santa Clara
Famalicao	1 - 2	Sporting Farense
Famalicao	1 - 1	Porto
Famalicao	0 - 0	Arouca
Famalicao	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Famalicao	0 - 0	Nacional
Famalicao	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
Famalicao	1 - 0	Boavista

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Famalicao	1 - 1	Arouca
H	Famalicao	0 - 0	Rio Ave
A	Famalicao	1 - 1	Casa Pia
H	Famalicao	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	Famalicao	1 - 0	AVS
H	Famalicao	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
A	Famalicao	1 - 0	Tondela
H	Famalicao	3 - 0	Santa Clara
H	Famalicao	2 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Famalicao	1 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Famalicao	1 - 2	Sporting Farense
H	Famalicao	1 - 1	Braga
A	Famalicao	1 - 2	Porto
H	Famalicao	3 - 0	Estoril
A	Famalicao	2 - 1	Arouca
H	Famalicao	4 - 1	AVS
A	Famalicao	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	Famalicao	1 - 0	Rio Ave
A	Famalicao	1 - 2	Nacional
H	Famalicao	2 - 0	Moreirense

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Moreirense	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Porto	3 - 0	V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Nacional	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Moreirense	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Boavista	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Porto	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Famalicao	0 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Estoril	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Benfica	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Braga	0 - 2	V. Guimaraes
AVS	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Santa Clara
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Alverca
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Braga
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Arouca
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Moreirense
H	V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Porto
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Sporting Farense
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Nacional
H	V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Rio Ave
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Santa Clara
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Moreirense
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Boavista
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Casa Pia
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Porto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Famalicao

V. Guimaraes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

3 / 6

FAM

GUI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Famalicao
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	V. Guimaraes
Famalicao	2 - 1
	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
	0 - 7	V. Guimaraes

V. Guimaraes

Famalicao

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

0 / 6

FAM

GUI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Famalicao
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for FC Famalicao of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Vitoria Guimaraes.

	Famalicao 6th	V. Guimaraes 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Famalicao will score 1 or more goals	0 53% 1 34% 2 3 4+ There is a 53% probability that V. Guimaraes will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Famalicao have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-21 V. Guimaraes have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

13%

better

FAM

GUI

view stats

Games scored	6		5
Failed to score	2		3
Scored first	5		2
Goals scored	8		9
Avg. goals scored	1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+13%

60%

better

FAM

GUI

view stats

Games conceded	3		7
Clean sheets	5		1
Conceded first	1		6
Goals conceded	4		12
Avg. goals conceded	0.5		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	16		7
Conversion rate against	6%		15%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+60%

Famalicao v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Famalicao Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	1	4
L Carevic	J Haas	S Elisor	L Realpe

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Carevic GLK	8			2 -
R. Pinheiro Ferreira DEF	8	1		-
J Haas DEF	8	2		1 -
G Sá MID	8	2		1 -
S Elisor FWD	8	1	1	1 -
G Dias FWD	8	1	1	2 -
Sorriso FWD	8		1	1 -
L Realpe DEF	7	1		3 1
T Looi MID	7			1 -
M. De Amorim MID	7		1	3 -
O Mamageishvili MID	6			-
U. Abubakar FWD	6			-
P. Costa Santos FWD	6			1 -
P Francisco DEF	5			2 -
R Soares DEF	4		1	1 -
I. Ba DEF	3			1 -
M Ocaña MID	3			2 -
M. Zabiri FWD	3			1 -
G García DEF	2			-
R Beney FWD	2			-
Rochinha FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	1	4
J Haas	S Elisor	S Elisor	S Elisor

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Haas DEF	2	2
G Sá MID	2	4		1
R. Pinheiro Ferreira DEF	1	2		2
S Elisor FWD	1	7	1	4
G Dias FWD	1	5	1	4
L Realpe DEF	1	1
Sorriso FWD		2	1	4
T Looi MID		1		2
M. De Amorim MID			1	1
U. Abubakar FWD		1
P Francisco DEF		1
R Soares DEF		1	1
I. Ba DEF		1
R Beney FWD		1
Rochinha FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
451	19	51
J Haas	M. De Amorim	M. De Amorim

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Haas DEF	451	14	36
L Realpe DEF	331	9	35
T Looi MID	289	14	36
G Sá MID	271	4	45
R. Pinheiro Ferreira DEF	254	18	37
L Carevic GLK	224		4
Sorriso FWD	218	10	44
M. De Amorim MID	195	19	51
G Dias FWD	156	16	31
R Soares DEF	117		2
S Elisor FWD	103	6	26
P Francisco DEF	95	6	21
M Ocaña MID	73	6	13
P. Costa Santos FWD	42	6	7
I. Ba DEF	36	2	11
O Mamageishvili MID	31	1	3
G García DEF	28	2	5
M. Zabiri FWD	11	1	2
R Beney FWD	10		4
U. Abubakar FWD	9		8
Rochinha FWD	4		2

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	1	3
J Mendes	A Ndoye	R Abascal	J Mendes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Mendes DEF	8			3 -
Maga DEF	8			1 -
A Ndoye FWD	8	2		-
N Oliveira FWD	8	2		3 -
R Abascal DEF	7		1	-
Beni MID	7			2 -
T Arcanjo FWD	7			-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	6	1	1	1 -
O Rivas DEF	5			1 -
M. Mitrovic MID	5	1		-
V. Félix FWD	5			1 -
Charles GLK	4			-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK	4			-
O. Camara FWD	4			-
F Blanco FWD	4			1 -
O Lebedenko DEF	3			-
M Nóbrega DEF	3	1		-
Samu MID	3	1	1	-
G Nogueira MID	2			1 -
D. Lobão Sousa MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	2
A Ndoye	N Oliveira	R Abascal	T Arcanjo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Ndoye FWD	2	3
N Oliveira FWD	2	5
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	1	5	1
M. Mitrovic MID	1	2
M Nóbrega DEF	1	1
Samu MID	1	2	1	1
J Mendes DEF		2		1
R Abascal DEF		1	1
T Arcanjo FWD		2		2
O Rivas DEF		1
O. Camara FWD		1
F Blanco FWD		2		1
G Nogueira MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
367	16	36
R Abascal	J Mendes	G. da Silva Cunha

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Abascal DEF	367	12	30
Maga DEF	286	13	25
J Mendes DEF	268	16	31
O Rivas DEF	254	3	12
Beni MID	186	9	18
M Nóbrega DEF	135	2	10
Charles GLK	133		1
M. Mitrovic MID	131	5	13
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	107	11	36
T Arcanjo FWD	92	4	17
V. Félix FWD	91	8	23
N Oliveira FWD	86	2	22
J. Castillo Reyes GLK	86
Samu MID	85	1	7
F Blanco FWD	51	3	16
O. Camara FWD	35	1	6
O Lebedenko DEF	35	3	5
G Nogueira MID	34	3	9
A Ndoye FWD	24	1	18
D. Lobão Sousa MID	5