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Moreirense v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 19:00 BST, Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, Moreira de Conegos

the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu masses welcome FC Porto's supporters on Saturday evening, as Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa's Moreirense clash with Francesco Farioli's side in the Liga NOS. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Moreirense and Porto will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa or Francesco Baldini has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Moreirense
21%
8/1
5%
8/1
5%
Draw
22%
4/14/1
Porto
57%
3/107/20
2%
Draw 1-1
10%
17/215/2
6%
Porto 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Porto 1-0
10%
11/2
8%
9/2
Porto 2-0
9%
5/1
9%
19/4
5%
Porto 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Porto 3-0
6%
7/113/2
Moreirense 2-1
6%
25/120/1
Moreirense 1-0
6%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
9%
9/1
Porto 3-2
3%
33/122/1
12%
Porto 4-1
3%
20/116/1
Moreirense 2-0
3%
40/128/1
15%
Porto 4-0
3%
14/111/1
Moreirense 3-1
2%
66/150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
3%
5/6
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
3%
10/11
3%
Home 1st Goal
42%
13/5
4%
3/1
5%
Away 1st Goal
55%
1/33/10
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
17/2
BTTS - Yes
56%
6/5
2%
5/4
5%
BTTS - No
44%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
16/1
11%
14/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
6/111/2
7%
BTTS - Away Win
27%
5/2
3%
12/5
3%
Home/draw
43%
9/421/10
5%
Away/draw
79%
1/141/18
Home/away
78%
1/61/6
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/4
3%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
7%
5/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1
8%
2/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/11
2%
7/20
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5/1
8%
9/2
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/8
2%
1/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1
9%
9/1
Home DNB
37%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Away DNB
72%
1/10
2%
1/11
1%
Moreirense win to nil
10%
12/1
13%
-
Porto win to nil
29%
1/1
5%
-
Moreirense / Moreirense
6%
16/1
11%
11/1
8%
Moreirense / Porto
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
Moreirense / Draw
4%
20/116/1
11%
Draw / Moreirense
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Draw / Porto
21%
11/414/5
1%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
8%
Porto / Moreirense
2%
50/140/1
11%
Porto / Porto
42%
10/1119/20
Porto / Draw
4%
18/116/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Moreirense have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. Moreirense have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 2 of those games. Moreirense have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 1 clean sheet.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won zero. Moreirense have conceded 5 goals, scored none, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Moreirense have played 4 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Porto lay in 1st place on 22 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 8 matches. Porto are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 8 games. Porto have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 1 goal and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 4 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Moreirense
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto87101822 
Oct 25
Mar 15
-
-
2
S. Lisbon86111519 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica8530918 
Dec 14
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Gil Vicente8512616 
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
5
Moreirense8503115 
-
-
Mar 15
Oct 25
6
Famalicao8341413 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Apr 3
Nov 9
7
V. Guimaraes8323-311 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
8
Braga8242410 
Apr 3
Nov 9
Nov 2
Mar 22
9
Alverca8314-110 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
May 2
Dec 21
10
Nacional8314-310 
Mar 8
l
 
3-2F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
11
Arouca8233-99 
Mar 22
Nov 2
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
12
Rio Ave8152-28 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
13
Santa Clara8224-48 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
May 16
Jan 4
14
Casa Pia8224-58 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
15
Estrela Amadora8143-27 
May 2
Dec 21
Dec 14
Apr 25
16
Estoril8134-36 
Apr 18
Dec 7
Nov 30
Apr 11
17
Tondela8125-105 
Dec 28
May 9
Apr 18
Dec 7
18
AVS8017-151 
May 16
Jan 4
Dec 28
May 9
Win / draw / win form
4
Moreirense have won 4 consecutive home league games
5
Porto have won 5 consecutive away league games
6
Moreirense have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
11
Porto have not lost in 11 consecutive league games
4
Porto have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Moreirense 5TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense1 - 0Boavista
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Moreirense1 - 2Braga
Moreirense0 - 0Sporting Farense
Moreirense1 - 1AVS
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Moreirense3 - 2Gil Vicente
Moreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
Moreirense0 - 0Famalicao
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMoreirense2 - 3Nacional
HMoreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
AMoreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
HMoreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
AMoreirense0 - 2Gil Vicente
HMoreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AMoreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
HMoreirense2 - 1Alverca
AMoreirense3 - 0AVS
HMoreirense2 - 2Estoril
AMoreirense1 - 3Porto
HMoreirense1 - 1Nacional
AMoreirense1 - 3S. Lisbon
HMoreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
AMoreirense1 - 0Gil Vicente
HMoreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HMoreirense1 - 0Boavista
AMoreirense1 - 1Santa Clara
HMoreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AMoreirense0 - 2Famalicao
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Famalicao1 - 1Porto
Benfica4 - 1Porto
AVS0 - 5Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Porto have beaten Moreirense in 6 consecutive league meetings
14
Porto have not lost to Moreirense in 14 consecutive league meetings
League games at Moreirense since 2015
Moreirense
Porto
Goals: Scored
10
15
Games: Scored
6 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
3 / 9
MOR
1
D
4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
0 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Moreirense3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
34
4
Games: Scored
9 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
0 / 9
PTO
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto3 - 1
Porto5 - 0
Porto5 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto6 - 1
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 2
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is very strong, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Moreirense makes sense in this context.

FC Porto have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against Moreirense on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Moreirense 5th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Moreirense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Moreirense
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.1
1.9
Attack rating
MOR
PTO
24%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score2
1
Scored first5
7
Goals scored12
19
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.4
Avg. shots per game7
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
MOR
PTO
80%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
1
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first3
0
Goals conceded11
1
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
51
Conversion rate against12%
2%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.6
KickOff rating
+80%

Moreirense v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8554
MarceloG SchettineD PintoMarcelo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Marcelo DEF81
4
-
D Pinto DEF85
2
-
Alanzinho MID812
1
-
M Stjepanovic MID8
2
-
K Bondoso FWD82
-
C Teguia FWD8
1
-
C Secco GLK7
1
-
M Maracás DEF7
3
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF711
3
-
G Schettine FWD75
1
-
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD711
2
-
G Batista DEF6
1
-
Bernardo MID51
1
-
?. Martínez Navarro DEF4
1
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF41
-
V Sousa MID41
1
A. Cunha Almeida MID4
1
-
L Ofori MID41
-
R Alonso MID2
1
-
J Jorquera FWD2
-
A Ferreira GLK1
-
J. Gower MID1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8553
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK8
1
-
J Bednarek DEF8
3
-
V. Froholdt MID813
1
-
A Varela MID8
2
-
B Sainz FWD822
3
-
Zaidu  DEF711
-
G Veiga MID713
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD75
2
-
A Baio DEF65
-
F Moura DEF61
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID6
-
Pepê FWD622
1
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
P Rosario MID51
3
-
S Eustaquio MID5
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD52
2
-
D Gül FWD51
1
-
D. Prpić DEF4
-
J Kiwior DEF4
-
L Jong FWD41
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF2
1
1