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Tondela v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 19:00 BST, Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga NOS, and Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira’s Tondela will have the luxury of it on Saturday evening. Piero Braglia’s Sporting Lisbon are their opponents at the Estadio Joao Cardoso. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We've backed Tondela to win, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

This is a fixture that really only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the home team, that way is S. Lisbon's. We predict Sunday's visitors to Estadio Joao Cardoso will claim victory, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from the UK's leading bookies too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely outcome, and give a best price of 1.24.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 74% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tondela
10%
8/110/1
Draw
16%
5/119/4
S. Lisbon
74%
6/252/7
S. Lisbon 2-0
12%
11/211/2
S. Lisbon 3-0
10%
7/113/2
S. Lisbon 1-0
10%
7/16/1
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
8/17/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
8%
10/117/2
Draw 1-1
7%
10/117/2
5%
S. Lisbon 4-0
6%
12/110/1
S. Lisbon 4-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/112/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
22/116/1
Tondela 1-0
3%
22/118/1
S. Lisbon 5-0
3%
22/116/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Tondela 2-1
3%
25/120/1
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/158/15
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
7/511/8
1%
Home 1st Goal
36%
5/23/1
Away 1st Goal
62%
3/102/7
No 1st Goal
2%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/201/1
BTTS - No
51%
4/53/4
3%
BTTS - Home Win
5%
14/114/1
15%
BTTS - Draw
12%
13/26/1
7%
BTTS - Away Win
32%
15/89/5
Home/draw
26%
11/427/10
Away/draw
90%
1/141/20
1%
Home/away
84%
1/82/15
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/61/6
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/118/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
5/413/10
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/74/7
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/114/5
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/92/9
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/121/12
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/112/1
13%
Home DNB
21%
7/17/1
Away DNB
86%
1/121/16
Tondela win to nil
5%
16/1-
S. Lisbon win to nil
42%
11/10-
Tondela / Tondela
5%
18/114/1
Tondela / S. Lisbon
5%
18/116/1
Tondela / Draw
4%
20/118/1
Draw / Tondela
4%
20/116/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
21%
3/129/10
3%
Draw / Draw
10%
15/213/2
6%
S. Lisbon / Tondela
2%
50/140/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
45%
4/54/5
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
18/116/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Tondela have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Tondela are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Tondela have conceded 14 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Tondela have played 3 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 19 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 8 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 7 games. S. Lisbon have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 4 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tondela
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto87101822 
Dec 7
Apr 18
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
2
S. Lisbon86111519 
Oct 25
Mar 15
-
-
3
Benfica8530918 
Feb 1
l
 
3-0A
Apr 18
Dec 5
4
Gil Vicente8512616 
Apr 11
Nov 29
May 16
Jan 4
5
Moreirense8503115 
May 9
Dec 28
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
6
Famalicao8341413 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
7
V. Guimaraes8323-311 
Nov 8
Apr 3
May 2
Dec 21
8
Braga8242410 
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
9
Alverca8314-110 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
Oct 31
Mar 22
10
Nacional8314-310 
Apr 25
Dec 14
Feb 1
w
 
1-4A
11
Arouca8233-99 
Jan 4
May 16
w
 
6-0F
Jan 25
12
Rio Ave8152-28 
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
Dec 28
May 9
13
Santa Clara8224-48 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
Apr 3
Nov 8
14
Casa Pia8224-58 
Dec 21
May 2
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
15
Estrela Amadora8143-27 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
Nov 30
Apr 11
16
Estoril8134-36 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 8
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela8125-105 
-
-
Mar 15
Oct 25
18
AVS8017-151 
Mar 22
Nov 2
Dec 14
Apr 25
Win / draw / win form
4
S. Lisbon have won 4 consecutive away league games
14
S. Lisbon have not lost in 14 consecutive away league games
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
Tondela0 - 1Famalicao
Tondela2 - 2Boavista
Tondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela2 - 2Arouca
Tondela1 - 1Belenenses
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Tondela1 - 3Benfica
Tondela2 - 3Vizela
Tondela2 - 1Moreirense
Tondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
Tondela0 - 1P. Ferreira
Tondela4 - 2Maratimo
Tondela1 - 3Porto
Tondela3 - 2Famalicao
Tondela1 - 2Estoril
Tondela0 - 3Portimonense
Tondela3 - 0Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
ATondela0 - 3Benfica
HTondela0 - 1Famalicao
ATondela0 - 3Braga
HTondela2 - 2Boavista
ATondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
ATondela1 - 1P. Ferreira
HTondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela0 - 2Moreirense
HTondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela3 - 1Maratimo
HTondela2 - 2Arouca
ATondela0 - 4Porto
HTondela1 - 1Belenenses
ATondela1 - 2Famalicao
HTondela0 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Boavista0 - 5S. Lisbon
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 0S. Lisbon
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense0 - 5S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Boavista
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
AS. Lisbon3 - 1Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
AS. Lisbon2 - 2AVS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
S. Lisbon have beaten Tondela in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
S. Lisbon have not lost to Tondela in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Tondela since 2015
Tondela
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
CDT
2
SCL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
1 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
Tondela1 - 0
Tondela2 - 1
1 - 2S. Lisbon
1 - 4S. Lisbon
1 - 2S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Tondela
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
D
3
SCL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon4 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
S. Lisbon2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is decent for Sporting Lisbon in their clash with Tondela, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 27 consecutive Liga NOS games.

Tondela 17th S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
2.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Tondela scoring 1 goal or less
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 71% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Tondela’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
S. Lisbon have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
2.6
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Tondela
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
0.8
2.5
Attack rating
CDT
SCL
73%
better
view stats
Games scored2
8
Failed to score6
0
Scored first1
5
Goals scored4
20
Avg. goals scored0.5
2.5
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal21
5
Conversion rate for5
19
Avg. XG for1.5
2.2
KickOff rating
+73%
Defence rating
CDT
SCL
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
4
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded14
5
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+49%

Tondela v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8124
B FontesT. Silva MansoR LopesB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK8
-
T. Silva Manso DEF81
1
-
J. Rodríguez López MID8
2
-
P Henryque FWD81
2
-
C Marques DEF7
1
-
E Maviram DEF7
1
-
Y. Augusto FWD7
-
B Medina DEF6
3
1
S Sithole MID61
1
-
Bebeto DEF5
3
-
H Tavares MID5
1
J Hodge MID5
-
J. Rodriguez FWD5
1
-
I Cavaleiro FWD51
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD5
-
Xabi Huarte MID4
-
Jordan FWD4
1
-
R Lopes FWD42
1
-
R Vita DEF3
2
-
J Afonso DEF3
1
-
C. Alves Santana MID3
1
-
H. Sequeira MID3
-
A Rodrigues FWD2
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8633
G InácioL SuárezP GonçalvesM Hjulmand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF82
2
-
Z Debast DEF8
2
-
G Kochorashvili MID8
-
M Hjulmand MID81
3
-
L Suárez FWD862
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD853
3
-
G. Quenda FWD83
-
F Trincão FWD831
-
G Vagiannidis DEF71
1
-
R Silva GLK6
-
R Mangas DEF62
2
-
I Fresneda DEF6
1
-
G Catamo  MID6
1
-
H Morita MID6
-
A Santos FWD61
-
M Vilches DEF51
1
-
F Ioannidis FWD41
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID2
-
E Quaresma DEF1
-
O Diomande DEF1
-