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Alaves v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 20:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

the Mendizorroza is the stage on Sunday night, as Eduardo Germán Coudet's Alaves welcome Xabier Alonso Olano's Real Madrid in the La Liga. Analysing both teams' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
31%
--
Draw
26%
--
Real Madrid
42%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
--
Alaves 1-0
9%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
--
Alaves 2-1
7%
--
Alaves 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
--
Alaves 3-1
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
--
Alaves 3-0
2%
--
Alaves 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
14%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
69%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
50%
--
Away DNB
61%
--
Alaves win to nil
17%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
23%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Alaves have conceded 12 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 33 points in the La Liga league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 8 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1411122334 
May 13
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid1410311633 
Dec 14
Apr 22
-
-
3
Villarreal1410221632 
Mar 15
Jan 11
w
 
3-1F
Jan 25
4
A.Madrid149411631 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
5
Real Betis14662824 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Jan 4
Apr 19
6
Espanyol14734224 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
w
 
2-0F
May 3
7
Getafe14626-220 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
8
A.Bilbao14626-320 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
May 24
Dec 3
9
R.Sociedad14446-216 
Dec 6
Apr 12
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
10
Elche14374-216 
w
 
3-1F
May 10
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
11
R.Vallecano13445-216 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
12
Celta14374-316 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Dec 7
Mar 8
13
Sevilla14518-416 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
Dec 20
May 17
14
Alaves14437-315 
-
-
Apr 22
Dec 14
15
Mallorca14347-713 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
16
Valencia13346-913 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
w
 
4-0F
Feb 8
17
Osasuna14338-612 
Apr 5
Dec 20
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
18
Girona14266-1312 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
19
Levante14239-109 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Jan 18
w
 
1-4F
20
Real Oviedo14239-159 
Jan 4
May 17
May 13
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Alaves 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves0 - 1Celta
Alaves2 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 0Valencia
Alaves3 - 1Elche
Alaves1 - 2Sevilla
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 1Levante
Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves0 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 1Getafe
Alaves1 - 1Celta
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
HAlaves0 - 1Celta
AAlaves0 - 1Girona
HAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves0 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 1Elche
AAlaves0 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves1 - 1Getafe
HAlaves1 - 2Sevilla
AAlaves1 - 0A.Bilbao
HAlaves1 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 1Real Betis
HAlaves2 - 1Levante
HAlaves1 - 1Osasuna
AAlaves1 - 0Valladolid
HAlaves1 - 0Valencia
AAlaves0 - 1A.Bilbao
HAlaves0 - 0A.Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Espanyol1 - 0Real Madrid
Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
Girona0 - 3Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 4Barcelona
HReal Madrid3 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Real Madrid have beaten Alaves in 7 consecutive league meetings
7
Real Madrid have not lost to Alaves in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Alaves since 2016
Alaves
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
18
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
ALV
1
RMD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
0 - 1Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2017
Real Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
24
4
Games: Scored
8 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
0 / 8
ALV
1
RMD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
1 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Alaves 14th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Alaves have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
ALV
RMD
46%
better
view stats
Games scored8
12
Failed to score6
1
Scored first5
9
Goals scored12
28
Avg. goals scored0.9
2
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
15
Avg. XG for1.2
2.3
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
ALV
RMD
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
7
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded15
12
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+34%

Alaves v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14335
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK14
-
J Castro DEF14
3
-
C Aleñá MID143
-
P Ibáñez MID141
3
-
T Martínez FWD1421
-
C Vicente FWD143
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF131
1
-
A Blanco MID13
5
-
D Suárez MID121
2
-
V. Parada González DEF111
3
-
A Rebbach FWD11
3
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF10
2
-
J Guridi MID10
-
L Boyé FWD102
1
1
Calebe MID9
2
-
A Guevara MID91
-
M Díaz FWD9
1
-
J Pacheco DEF8
2
-
F Garcés DEF6
2
-
M Diarra DEF3
1
-
C Benavídez MID3
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141454
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerD. Huijsen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK14
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF141
2
-
F Valverde MID144
1
-
A Güler MID1435
1
-
K Mbappé FWD14143
3
-
V Junior FWD1454
2
-
A Tchouameni MID12
3
-
Rodrygo FWD12
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF1111
3
1
Éder Militão DEF1111
2
-
D Ceballos MID10
-
J Bellingham MID1032
-
E Camavinga MID10
-
B Díaz FWD102
1
-
G. García Torres FWD9
-
F. Mastantuono FWD91
3
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF8
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF7
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
F García DEF4
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Rüdiger DEF2
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
Endrick FWD1
-