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Valencia CF v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 14th May, 18:00 BST, Mestalla, Valencia

It's a long trek for Iñigo Pérez Soto's Rayo Vallecano side on Thursday evening, as they travel to the Mestalla for a La Liga showdown with Carlos Corberán Vallet's Valencia CF. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Valencia and R.Vallecano combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 73% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Valencia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Valencia
47%
6/56/5
Draw
26%
12/512/5
R.Vallecano
27%
23/109/4
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Valencia 1-0
11%
15/213/2
Valencia 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Valencia 2-0
9%
10/117/2
R.Vallecano 1-0
8%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
7%
10/18/1
R.Vallecano 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Valencia 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Valencia 3-0
4%
20/114/1
R.Vallecano 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Valencia 3-2
3%
25/118/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
25/118/1
R.Vallecano 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Valencia 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
10/1117/20
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
10/1117/20
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
5%
10/18/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
7/107/10
BTTS - No
48%
21/2021/20
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/29/2
Home/draw
73%
1/31/3
Away/draw
53%
4/613/20
Home/away
74%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/72/7
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/521/10
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/111/3
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/18/1
Home DNB
65%
8/154/7
Away DNB
45%
11/85/4
Valencia win to nil
27%
11/4-
R.Vallecano win to nil
14%
5/1-
Valencia / Valencia
23%
5/212/5
Valencia / R.Vallecano
3%
28/122/1
Valencia / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Valencia
15%
9/217/4
Draw / R.Vallecano
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
R.Vallecano / Valencia
4%
22/118/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
15%
9/24/1
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Valencia have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 5. Valencia have conceded 33 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Valencia have played 17 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

R.Vallecano lay in 10th place on 43 points in the La Liga league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. R.Vallecano have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

R.Vallecano have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 10 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Valencia
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3530146091 
May 23
l
 
6-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3524563777 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
3
Villarreal3521682569 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
May 17
l
 
4-0A
4
A.Madrid36206102166 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
5
Real Betis36141571257 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
6
Celta36131112450 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
Getafe3513616-845 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
8
R.Sociedad35111113-144 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
9
A.Bilbao3513517-1144 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
R.Vallecano35101312-643 
May 14
d
 
1-1A
-
-
11
Osasuna3611916-442 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
12
Valencia3511915-1242 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
May 14
13
Sevilla3511717-1340 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
14
Elche3691215-939 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
15
Mallorca3510916-939 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
16
Levante3610917-1539 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
17
Espanyol3510916-1539 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
18
Girona3591214-1539 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
19
Alaves3591016-1337 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
May 23
20
Real Oviedo3561118-2829 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Valencia 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
R.Vallecano 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Valencia since 2014
Valencia
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
VAL
2
D
4
VAL
1
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Valencia
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
VAL
1
D
5
VAL
2
Goal Statistics
Valencia 12th R.Vallecano 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Valencia will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that R.Vallecano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Valencia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
R.Vallecano have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Valencia
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
12%
better
VAL
VAL
view stats
Games scored26
23
Failed to score9
12
Scored first16
14
Goals scored38
36
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
VAL
VAL
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
24
Clean sheets9
11
Conceded first18
18
Goals conceded50
42
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%

Valencia v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30967
J GayàH DuroL RiojaJ Gayà
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Rioja FWD3426
1
-
J Guerra MID3315
3
-
H Duro FWD339
5
-
J Gayà DEF3112
6
1
D López FWD313
2
-
A Danjuma FWD3032
-
C Tárrega DEF29
7
-
Pepelu MID282
4
-
L Beltrán MID2712
1
-
F Ugrinic  MID243
3
-
L Ramazani FWD2461
4
-
T Correia DEF221
4
-
J Copete DEF21
5
-
J Vázquez DEF21
2
-
A Almeida MID201
-
B Santamaría MID1911
2
-
J Agirrezabala GLK18
1
-
S Dimitrievski GLK17
1
-
D Foulquier DEF15
1
-
E Cömert DEF152
3
-
D Raba FWD131
-
M Diakhaby DEF81
3
-
C Rivero GLK1
1
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3410511
F LejeuneJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF3411
6
-
J Frutos FWD33101
3
-
A Batalla GLK32
6
-
A Rațiu DEF323
9
-
P Chavarría DEF3112
5
1
P Díaz MID311
3
-
Álvaro García FWD3145
3
-
I Palazón FWD3133
10
1
Óscar Valentín MID301
3
1
A Espino DEF272
2
-
F Pérez FWD2721
4
-
U López MID264
5
1
G Gumbau MID262
4
-
P Ciss MID262
8
2
A Alemão FWD233
3
-
N Mendy DEF222
8
2
S Camello FWD203
2
1
I Balliu DEF12
2
-
R Nteka MID112
2
-
L Felipe DEF10
1
-
J Vertrouwd DEF9
-
Óscar Trejo MID6
2
-
D Cárdenas GLK3
-
A Mumin DEF1
-