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Juventude v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 20th Aug, 23:00 BST, Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul

We’ve Serie A action to enjoy on Wednesday night, as Thiago Motta and his Juventude side host Fernando Santos’s Vasco da Gama at the Estádio Alfredo Jaconi. Serie A statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Juventude and Vasco d Gama will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Thiago Motta or Fernando Santos has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.40 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Juventude are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Juventude 38%	3.10	3.10
Draw 26%	3.20	3.20
Vasco d Gama 36%	2.40	2.38
Draw 1-1 12%	6.00	6.00
Juventude 1-0 9%	8.50	7.50
Vasco d Gama 1-0 9%	7.00	6.50
Juventude 2-1 8%	12.00	10.00
Vasco d Gama 2-1 8%	9.50	8.50
Draw 0-0 7%	8.00	7.00
Juventude 2-0 6%	15.00	12.00
Vasco d Gama 2-0 6%	11.00	9.50
Draw 2-2 6%	15.00	13.00
Juventude 3-1 4%	26.00	21.00
Vasco d Gama 3-1 4%	21.00	17.00
Juventude 3-0 3%	34.00	23.00
Vasco d Gama 3-0 3%	23.00	17.00
Juventude 3-2 2%	41.00	26.00
Vasco d Gama 3-2 2%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	2.20	2.20
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	1.65	1.62
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.20	2.25
Away 1st Goal 48%	1.91	1.91
No 1st Goal 4%	8.00	7.00
BTTS - Yes 54%	1.95	1.95
BTTS - No 46%	1.80	1.80
BTTS - Home Win 18%	6.50	6.00
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50	4.40
BTTS - Away Win 17%	5.50	5.00
Home/draw 64%	1.53	1.57
Away/draw 62%	1.36	1.36
Home/away 74%	1.36	1.35
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1.40	1.40
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3.00	2.75
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	4.00	4.00
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1.25	1.22
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	8.00	8.00
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1.08	1.06
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	19.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.02	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.08	1.08
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8.00	7.00
Home DNB 56%	2.10	2.10
Away DNB 55%	1.67	1.65
Juventude win to nil 20%	5.00	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 19%	3.75	-
Juventude / Juventude 16%	5.00	4.80
Juventude / Vasco d Gama 3%	29.00	23.00
Juventude / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Juventude 12%	6.50	6.50
Draw / Vasco d Gama 15%	5.50	5.50
Draw / Draw 18%	4.75	4.33
Vasco d Gama / Juventude 3%	34.00	26.00
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 21%	4.00	3.70
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventude	2 - 1	Corinthians
Juventude	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Juventude	2 - 0	S. Recife
Juventude	0 - 2	Gremio
Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
Juventude	0 - 1	A Mineiro
Juventude	2 - 2	Mirassol
Juventude	2 - 1	Ceara
Juventude	2 - 0	Vitoria
Juventude	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Juventude	1 - 1	Cuiaba
Juventude	2 - 1	Bahia
Juventude	0 - 3	Fortaleza
Juventude	3 - 5	Palmeiras
Juventude	1 - 1	Bragantino
Juventude	2 - 1	Fluminense
Juventude	1 - 3	Internacional
Juventude	3 - 2	Botafogo
Juventude	1 - 2	Criciuma
Juventude	0 - 0	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Juventude	2 - 2	Vitoria
H	Juventude	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Juventude	1 - 3	Santos
A	Juventude	0 - 3	Bahia
H	Juventude	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Juventude	0 - 4	Cruzeiro
H	Juventude	2 - 0	S. Recife
H	Juventude	0 - 2	Gremio
A	Juventude	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
A	Juventude	0 - 5	Fortaleza
H	Juventude	0 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Juventude	1 - 3	Internacional
H	Juventude	2 - 2	Mirassol
A	Juventude	0 - 6	Flamengo
H	Juventude	2 - 1	Ceara
A	Juventude	0 - 2	Botafogo
H	Juventude	2 - 0	Vitoria
H	Juventude	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Juventude	2 - 1	Sao Paulo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Criciuma	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vasco d Gama	6 - 0	Santos
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Flamengo
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Ceara
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	S. Recife
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Corinthians
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Santos
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	A Mineiro

Goal Statistics

	Juventude 18th	Vasco d Gama 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Juventude will score no more than 1 goal	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Juventude’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+28 Vasco d Gama have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

JUV

VDG

30%

better

view stats

Games scored	6		10
Failed to score	9		6
Scored first	5		7
Goals scored	10		18
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1
Avg. shots per game	5		9
Avg. shots per goal	10		9
Conversion rate for	10		11
Avg. XG for	0.7		1.2
KickOff rating		+30%

JUV

VDG

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		14
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	10		8
Goals conceded	32		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.3
KickOff rating		+12%

Juventude v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Juventude Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	3	2	5
J Jádson	E Batalla	G Taliari	J Jádson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Mandaca MID	17	1		1 -
J Jádson MID	17		1	5 -
E Batalla FWD	17	3	1	2 -
G Taliari FWD	16	3	2	1 -
Gilberto FWD	13	2	1	4 -
Enio FWD	13	1		3 -
A Silva DEF	12		1	2 -
Ewerthon DEF	12			2 -
W Ángel DEF	11	1		4 -
Reginaldo DEF	11		1	1 -
A Ruschel DEF	11			2 -
Caique MID	11			4 -
Gustavo GLK	10			1 -
M Paulo DEF	10			4 -
D Giraldo MID	10			2 -
Nenê MID	10	1	2	-
M Babi FWD	10	2		3 -
Giovanny FWD	10		1	-
M Hermes DEF	7		2	1 -
G Veron FWD	6			-
R Sam DEF	5			2 -
H. Batista da Silva DEF	3			2 1
R Carneiro GLK	2			-
Natã DEF	2			-
Cipriano DEF	2			1 1
D. Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos MID	2			-
E. Mendes de Carvalho FWD	2			-
Jandrei GLK	1			-
I Formiga DEF	1	1		-
L Fernandes MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	2	3
E Batalla	G Taliari	G Taliari	Enio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Batalla FWD	3	8	1	1
G Taliari FWD	3	9	2
Gilberto FWD	2	9	1	1
M Babi FWD	2	2
Mandaca MID	1	6		1
Enio FWD	1	4		3
W Ángel DEF	1	2
Nenê MID	1	3	2	1
I Formiga DEF	1	1
J Jádson MID		3	1	1
A Silva DEF			1	1
Ewerthon DEF		2
Reginaldo DEF		1	1
A Ruschel DEF				2
M Paulo DEF		2
Giovanny FWD			1	1
M Hermes DEF		2	2	2
G Veron FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
639	32	97
J Jádson	Mandaca	Mandaca

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Jádson MID	639	29	72
W Ángel DEF	393	9	39
A Silva DEF	391	9	35
M Paulo DEF	389	10	32
Ewerthon DEF	364	18	37
Mandaca MID	348	32	97
Caique MID	346	30	64
D Giraldo MID	311	9	21
A Ruschel DEF	258	15	44
Gustavo GLK	245	1	2
M Hermes DEF	233	12	21
Reginaldo DEF	216	6	16
E Batalla FWD	206	18	58
R Sam DEF	204	9	24
Enio FWD	197	5	34
G Taliari FWD	128	12	51
Giovanny FWD	126	3	19
Nenê MID	125		20
Gilberto FWD	111	5	33
H. Batista da Silva DEF	89	3	7
G Veron FWD	82	2	13
R Carneiro GLK	56		1
M Babi FWD	42	4	15
Cipriano DEF	36		2
Natã DEF	31	3	3
L Fernandes MID	30	1	6
I Formiga DEF	24	2	4
Jandrei GLK	23
D. Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos MID	18	3	5
E. Mendes de Carvalho FWD	3		2

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	10	5	6
N Moreira	P Vegetti	L Piton	P Henrique

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Moreira FWD	18	3	3	1 -
L Jardim GLK	17			1 2
H Moura MID	17		1	5 -
R Rocha FWD	17	4	1	1 -
L Piton DEF	16	1	5	3 -
J Victor DEF	16	1		3 -
P Vegetti FWD	16	10	1	3 -
P Henrique DEF	15		3	6 -
T Tchê MID	15	1		1 -
L Freitas DEF	14	1		2 -
P Coutinho MID	12	2	1	1
L Augusto FWD	10			1 -
Adson FWD	10			-
Jair MID	9			3 -
A Teixeira FWD	9			1 -
B Garré FWD	9			1 -
J Bebanz DEF	8	1	1	-
Paulinho MID	8			2 -
David FWD	6	1	3	-
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF	5			3 -
M Lemos DEF	4			-
V Luis DEF	3			-
T Mendes MID	3			1 -
D Fuzato GLK	2			-
J Sforza MID	2			-
G. Souza da Silva FWD	2			-
L Oliveira DEF	1			-
J Meneses MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	17	5	6
P Vegetti	R Rocha	L Piton	N Moreira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	10	16	1	2
R Rocha FWD	4	17	1	3
N Moreira FWD	3	12	3	6
P Coutinho MID	2	15	1	4
L Piton DEF	1	1	5	5
J Victor DEF	1	4
T Tchê MID	1	2
L Freitas DEF	1	1
J Bebanz DEF	1	2	1	2
David FWD	1	3	3	4
H Moura MID		5	1	2
P Henrique DEF		7	3	3
L Augusto FWD		2
Adson FWD		2		1
Jair MID		1
A Teixeira FWD		2
B Garré FWD		1		1
V Luis DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
986	53	120
J Victor	P Henrique	P Henrique

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Victor DEF	986	28	86
L Piton DEF	858	17	43
H Moura MID	837	28	47
L Freitas DEF	762	12	44
T Tchê MID	601	11	50
P Henrique DEF	580	53	120
P Coutinho MID	541	9	50
N Moreira FWD	519	20	69
L Jardim GLK	444		7
Jair MID	338	10	30
R Rocha FWD	323	17	86
J Bebanz DEF	195	7	21
P Vegetti FWD	181	9	68
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF	167	4	12
Paulinho MID	154	6	19
Adson FWD	136	6	13
M Lemos DEF	136	1	5
B Garré FWD	135	5	8
David FWD	96	1	11
J Sforza MID	91	1	2
L Augusto FWD	73	2	10
T Mendes MID	63		2
A Teixeira FWD	53	4	7
D Fuzato GLK	52		1
V Luis DEF	51		3
G. Souza da Silva FWD	10	1	4
L Oliveira DEF	9
J Meneses MID	3	1	2