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Stoke City v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 12:30 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Championship, and Mark Robins’s Stoke City will have the joy of it on Saturday lunch time. Alan Sheehan’s Swansea City are their opponents at the bet365 Stadium. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
53%
--
Draw
26%
--
Swansea
20%
--
Stoke 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Stoke 2-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Stoke 2-1
9%
--
Swansea 1-0
8%
--
Stoke 3-0
6%
--
Swansea 2-1
5%
--
Stoke 3-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Swansea 2-0
3%
--
Stoke 4-0
2%
--
Stoke 3-2
2%
--
Stoke 4-1
2%
--
Swansea 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
43%
--
BTTS - No
57%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
47%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
72%
--
Away DNB
39%
--
Stoke win to nil
34%
--
Swansea win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Stoke have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Stoke have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Swansea are in 21st position in the Championship on 17 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Swansea have conceded 26 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry1813413243 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
Mar 21
Dec 26
2
M'Boro18963533 
Jan 21
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
3
Millwall18945-331 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
4
Stoke189361230 
-
-
Mar 7
Dec 13
5
Preston18864630 
Dec 26
Mar 21
Feb 24
l
 
2-1A
6
Bristol C18855629 
w
 
5-1F
May 2
Feb 21
l
 
3-0A
7
Hull18846028 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 1
d
 
2-2F
Jan 24
8
Ipswich177641127 
Mar 10
Dec 10
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
9
Wrexham18684326 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
Dec 19
Mar 14
10
Derby18756026 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
11
Birmingham17746625 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
12
West Brom18747-225 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 7
Jan 1
l
 
3-2F
13
QPR18747-625 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
14
Southampton18666324 
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
15
Watford17665224 
Mar 14
Dec 20
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
16
Leicester18666-124 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
17
Charlton18657-523 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 14
May 2
d
 
1-1A
18
Blackburn17629-520 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Jan 20
w
 
1-2A
19
Sheff Utd186111-819 
Dec 29
Dec 6
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
20
Oxford Utd18468-518 
Feb 25
w
 
0-3F
Dec 6
Dec 29
21
Swansea18459-917 
Dec 13
Mar 7
-
-
22
Portsmouth18459-1017 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
Dec 9
Mar 10
23
Norwich183411-1013 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 4
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
24
Sheff Wed181512-22-4 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke1 - 2Hull
Stoke3 - 0Charlton
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke5 - 1Bristol C
Stoke1 - 0Wrexham
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Stoke0 - 1West Brom
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Stoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Stoke3 - 1QPR
Stoke1 - 0Blackburn
Stoke0 - 0Watford
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Stoke3 - 1Swansea
Stoke0 - 0Oxford Utd
Stoke0 - 0Plymouth
Stoke1 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
AStoke1 - 2Leicester
HStoke0 - 1Coventry
AStoke3 - 0Oxford Utd
HStoke5 - 1Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Portsmouth
AStoke0 - 2Millwall
HStoke1 - 0Wrexham
AStoke1 - 1Blackburn
AStoke0 - 0M'Boro
HStoke1 - 1Norwich
AStoke0 - 1QPR
HStoke1 - 0Birmingham
HStoke0 - 1West Brom
AStoke2 - 1Southampton
AStoke3 - 0Sheff Wed
HStoke3 - 1Derby
AStoke0 - 0Derby
HStoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
Swansea 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom3 - 2Swansea
Bristol C3 - 0Swansea
Preston2 - 1Swansea
Charlton1 - 1Swansea
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 2Swansea
Birmingham1 - 0Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 2Swansea
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
Millwall1 - 0Swansea
QPR1 - 2Swansea
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Preston0 - 0Swansea
Stoke3 - 1Swansea
Bristol C0 - 1Swansea
Norwich5 - 1Swansea
Cardiff3 - 0Swansea
Portsmouth4 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwansea2 - 3West Brom
HSwansea1 - 2Derby
ASwansea0 - 3Bristol C
HSwansea1 - 4Ipswich
ASwansea1 - 2Preston
ASwansea1 - 1Charlton
HSwansea2 - 1Norwich
HSwansea0 - 1QPR
ASwansea0 - 0Southampton
HSwansea1 - 3Leicester
ASwansea2 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Millwall
ASwansea0 - 1Birmingham
HSwansea2 - 2Hull
ASwansea2 - 0Sheff Wed
HSwansea1 - 1Watford
HSwansea1 - 0Sheff Utd
ASwansea0 - 1M'Boro
HSwansea3 - 3Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Millwall
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 2012
Stoke
Swansea
Goals: Scored
26
11
Games: Scored
14 / 14
9 / 14
Clean sheets
5 / 14
0 / 14
STK
9
D
4
SWA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke3 - 0
1 - 2Swansea
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke2 - 0
League games at Swansea since 2011
Swansea
Stoke
Goals: Scored
24
16
Games: Scored
12 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
2 / 14
STK
5
D
2
SWA
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea3 - 0
1 - 3Stoke
1 - 3Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea3 - 1
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
0 - 1Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Swansea3 - 1
Swansea2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Stoke City's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday lunch time, not least because Swansea City have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship outings. A PG of 1.5 for M. Robins's side suggests that run should continue.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Swansea City fans, as should a 5 Championship games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Stoke 4th Swansea 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-20
Swansea have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
18%
better
STK
SWA
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score5
5
Scored first10
6
Goals scored26
18
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
38%
better
STK
SWA
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded14
27
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against9%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+38%

Stoke v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18757
V JohanssonS ThomasS ThomasJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK181
2
-
T Seko MID181
2
-
D Mubama FWD1851
2
1
S Thomas FWD1875
4
-
M Manhoef FWD1851
-
J Tchamadeu DEF1711
7
-
B Wilmot DEF17
2
-
J. Bae MID1612
-
A Cresswell  DEF152
2
-
T Rigo MID13
1
-
L Baker MID1241
1
-
R Bozenik FWD12
-
A Phillips DEF111
3
-
B Pearson MID11
2
-
L Cissé FWD111
1
-
E Bocat DEF81
-
S Nzonzi MID81
1
-
J. Donley MID41
-
S Gallagher FWD2
-
M Taloverov DEF1
1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18725
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonJ Tymon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK18
-
C Burgess DEF18
4
-
J Key DEF18
1
-
E Galbraith MID1821
4
-
Ronald FWD1831
1
-
J Tymon DEF172
5
-
B Cabango DEF17
5
-
G Franco MID1722
2
-
J Eom  FWD1711
-
Z Vipotnik FWD1671
1
-
Z Inoussa FWD162
2
-
L Cullen FWD151
3
-
A Idah FWD1421
1
-
M Stamenić MID121
4
-
M. Widell MID12
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID91
1
J Fulton MID9
2
-
K Casey DEF61
-
B Hedilazio FWD6
-
I Samuels-Smith DEF31
2
-
R Santos DEF1
-
B Wales FWD1
-