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Newcastle United v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 15:00 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Home advantage makes a difference in the English Premier League, and Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United will have the joy of it on Saturday afternoon. Andoni Iraola Sagarna’s Bournemouth are their opponents at the St. James' Park. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is shown below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Premier League tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
46%
17/20-
Draw
22%
14/5-
Bournemouth
32%
13/5
3%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Newcastle 2-1
9%
17/2-
Bournemouth 2-1
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
8%
-
Newcastle 1-0
6%
12/1-
Newcastle 3-1
6%
14/1-
Newcastle 2-0
6%
12/1-
Bournemouth 1-0
5%
20/1
11%
-
Newcastle 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
-
Bournemouth 3-1
4%
28/1-
Bournemouth 2-0
4%
25/1-
Bournemouth 3-2
4%
28/1-
Newcastle 3-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
11%
-
Newcastle 4-1
3%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
1/2
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
13/8
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
68%
4/9-
BTTS - No
32%
13/8-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
2/1
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/2-
Home/draw
68%
2/7-
Away/draw
54%
10/11-
Home/away
78%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
11/10
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
8/11
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
11/4
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
2/7
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
11/2
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/9
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
47%
13/8
4%
-
Newcastle win to nil
18%
10/3
8%
-
Bournemouth win to nil
12%
8/1-
Newcastle / Newcastle
29%
2/1-
Newcastle / Bournemouth
3%
25/1
10%
-
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Newcastle
16%
9/2-
Draw / Bournemouth
10%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
7%
-
Bournemouth / Newcastle
5%
18/1
10%
-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
14%
5/1-
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 46 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 26 goals at home.

Bournemouth are in 13th position in the Premier League on 42 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Bournemouth have conceded 38 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
l
 
2-3F
Apr 11
2
Man City3018753261 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 17
l
 
3-1A
3
Man Utd31151061355 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
4-4A
4
A Villa311669554 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
5
Liverpool3114710849 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-2A
6
Chelsea3113991548 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
7
Brentford3113711446 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1A
8
Everton3113711246 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
9
Fulham3113513-144 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
w
 
3-1A
May 9
10
Brighton31111010443 
May 2
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
11
Sunderland31111010-443 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
12
Newcastle3112613-142 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
13
Bournemouth319157-242 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
14
C Palace3010911-239 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
May 2
d
 
3-3F
15
Leeds3171212-1133 
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
16
Nottm Forest318815-1232 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
w
 
2-0F
May 24
17
Spurs317915-1030 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
West Ham317816-2129 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
19
Burnley314819-2820 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Wolves313820-3017 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle1 - 2Sunderland
Newcastle2 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 3Everton
Newcastle2 - 3Brentford
Newcastle0 - 2A Villa
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Newcastle2 - 0C Palace
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 2Spurs
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Fulham
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Newcastle5 - 0C Palace
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle1 - 2Sunderland
ANewcastle1 - 0Chelsea
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
West Ham0 - 0Bournemouth
Everton1 - 2Bournemouth
Wolves0 - 2Bournemouth
Brighton1 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Brentford4 - 1Bournemouth
Man Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
Sunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
C Palace3 - 3Bournemouth
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Spurs0 - 1Bournemouth
Liverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
C Palace0 - 0Bournemouth
West Ham2 - 2Bournemouth
Spurs2 - 2Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
12
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBournemouth2 - 2Man Utd
ABournemouth0 - 0Burnley
HBournemouth0 - 0Brentford
HBournemouth1 - 1Sunderland
ABournemouth0 - 0West Ham
ABournemouth2 - 1Everton
HBournemouth1 - 1A Villa
ABournemouth2 - 0Wolves
HBournemouth3 - 2Liverpool
ABournemouth1 - 1Brighton
HBournemouth3 - 2Spurs
HBournemouth2 - 3Arsenal
ABournemouth2 - 2Chelsea
ABournemouth1 - 4Brentford
HBournemouth1 - 1Burnley
ABournemouth4 - 4Man Utd
HBournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
HBournemouth0 - 1Everton
ABournemouth2 - 3Sunderland
HBournemouth2 - 2West Ham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Bournemouth have not lost to Newcastle in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
NEW
2
D
2
BOU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
1 - 4Bournemouth
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 1Bournemouth
1 - 3Bournemouth
League games at Bournemouth since 2015
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
NEW
2
D
4
BOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bournemouth2 - 0
Bournemouth1 - 0
1 - 4Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.9 against Bournemouth on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Newcastle 12th Bournemouth 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Bournemouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
1.9
1.6
Attack rating
2%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score7
7
Scored first18
13
Goals scored44
46
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
6%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first9
13
Goals conceded45
48
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%

Newcastle v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26949
M ThiawB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Barnes FWD305
1
-
S Tonali MID292
3
-
M Thiaw DEF284
3
-
A Elanga FWD271
-
N Woltemade FWD2773
-
J Murphy FWD2631
1
-
A Gordon FWD2562
3
1
L Hall DEF2411
4
-
Joelinton MID2421
8
-
D Burn DEF232
8
1
B Guimarães MID2394
5
-
N Pope  GLK22
1
-
J Ramsey MID2121
4
1
J Willock MID201
3
-
L Miley MID1913
-
S Botman DEF1811
1
-
K Trippier DEF181
3
-
W Osula FWD172
-
F Schär DEF16
1
-
T Livramento  DEF151
1
-
Y Wissa FWD1311
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK10
1
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31949
Đorđe PetrovićE KroupiM SenesiA. Jiménez Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK31
2
-
A Truffert DEF313
3
-
A Scott MID3121
2
-
M Senesi DEF304
8
-
Evanilson  FWD296
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF2711
9
-
M Tavernier MID2754
4
-
A Adli FWD2731
2
-
E Kroupi FWD269
3
-
D Brooks  FWD2512
7
-
J Hill DEF223
2
-
R Christie MID212
2
-
B Diakité DEF18
1
-
A Smith DEF181
3
-
J Kluivert MID182
4
-
T Adams MID1821
7
-
E Ünal  FWD171
1
-
L Cook MID161
1
2
R Rocha FWD821
1
-
V. Milosavljević DEF7
-
B Doak FWD51
-
A Toth MID4
1
-
J Soler DEF3
-