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Metz v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 16:15 BST, Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Sunday afternoon at the Stade Saint-Symphorien, and it’s a Ligue 1 showdown between Metz and Toulouse. Stéphane Le Mignan and Carles Martínez Novell going all-out to claim victory. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Metz and Toulouse have rarely treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Ligue 1 individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Toulouse coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Metz
25%
3/129/10
Draw
27%
9/411/5
Toulouse
48%
19/2021/20
Toulouse 1-0
13%
11/211/2
Draw 1-1
13%
11/219/4
Toulouse 2-0
9%
15/215/2
Draw 0-0
9%
15/213/2
Toulouse 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Metz 1-0
9%
9/18/1
Metz 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Toulouse 3-0
4%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
Toulouse 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Metz 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Toulouse 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Metz 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Toulouse 4-0
2%
40/125/1
Toulouse 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6/511/10
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/64/6
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/46/4
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/118/11
No 1st Goal
6%
15/213/2
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/2010/11
BTTS - No
53%
4/55/6
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/213/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/410/3
BTTS - Away Win
19%
7/216/5
Home/draw
52%
4/53/4
Away/draw
75%
2/91/4
Home/away
73%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
11/519/10
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/127/10
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/14
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
15/213/2
Home DNB
44%
7/417/10
Away DNB
67%
2/52/5
Metz win to nil
15%
11/2-
Toulouse win to nil
29%
9/4-
Metz / Metz
13%
11/25/1
Metz / Toulouse
3%
25/120/1
Metz / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Metz
10%
7/17/1
Draw / Toulouse
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/110/3
Toulouse / Metz
3%
33/125/1
Toulouse / Toulouse
26%
11/521/10
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Metz have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Metz have conceded 53 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Metz have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 11th place on 31 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Metz
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2418333457 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
2
Lens2417252453 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
3
Lyon2414371345 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
May 9
w
 
1-2A
4
Marseille2413471843 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 12
Mar 7
d
 
2-2F
5
Lille241248640 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
6
Rennes241176340 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
7
Monaco241149437 
May 3
l
 
5-2F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg241059935 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 3
9
Brest24969-233 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
Lorient24897-433 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
11
Toulouse24879531 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
-
-
12
Angers248511-829 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Le Havre246810-1026 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
14
Paris FC246810-1226 
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
15
Nice246612-1424 
w
 
2-1A
May 16
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Auxerre244614-1618 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes244515-1917 
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
May 16
18
Metz243417-3113 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
3
Toulouse have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz0 - 1Brest
Metz1 - 3Auxerre
Metz0 - 0Lille
Metz2 - 5Lyon
Metz2 - 3PSG
Metz0 - 1Rennes
Metz2 - 1Nice
Metz2 - 0Lens
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Metz0 - 0Le Havre
Metz1 - 1Angers
Metz0 - 1Strasbourg
Metz1 - 0Dunkerque
Metz3 - 3Rodez
Metz2 - 2Red Star
Metz2 - 1Troyes
Metz5 - 1Annecy
Metz0 - 1Ajaccio
Metz3 - 1Clermont
Metz3 - 0Grenoble
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMetz0 - 1Brest
AMetz0 - 3PSG
HMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 0Lille
AMetz0 - 1Angers
HMetz2 - 5Lyon
AMetz1 - 2Strasbourg
AMetz1 - 1Lorient
HMetz2 - 3PSG
AMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 1Rennes
AMetz2 - 3Brest
HMetz2 - 1Nice
AMetz2 - 0Nantes
HMetz2 - 0Lens
AMetz1 - 6Lille
AMetz0 - 4Toulouse
HMetz0 - 3Marseille
HMetz0 - 0Le Havre
AMetz2 - 5Monaco
Toulouse 11TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rennes1 - 0Toulouse
Le Havre2 - 1Toulouse
Angers1 - 0Toulouse
Brest0 - 2Toulouse
Paris FC0 - 3Toulouse
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Reims1 - 0Toulouse
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Toulouse have beaten Metz in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Toulouse have not lost to Metz in 7 consecutive league meetings
3
Toulouse have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Metz
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
MET
1
D
3
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
0 - 1Toulouse
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Metz3 - 2
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Metz
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
4 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
1 / 5
MET
1
D
1
TOU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Toulouse4 - 0
Toulouse3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Metz
Toulouse3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Toulouse of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Metz.

Metz 18th Toulouse 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Metz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Toulouse have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Metz
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1
1.4
Attack rating
MET
TOU
18%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score10
8
Scored first6
9
Goals scored22
33
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
MET
TOU
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
16
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first16
13
Goals conceded53
28
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against20%
15%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%

Metz v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23647
J. FischerG HeinG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK24
-
A. Touré MID241
2
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD2421
2
-
J Deminguet MID221
4
-
K Kouao DEF2111
7
-
J Gbamin DEF2111
1
1
G Hein FWD2064
2
1
B Traoré MID181
3
-
T Yegbe DEF171
2
-
G Abuashvili FWD171
1
-
H Diallo FWD1741
-
M Colin DEF16
-
I. Sane FWD1611
2
-
B Stambouli MID14
-
C Sabaly FWD142
2
-
S. Sané DEF132
3
2
F Ballo-Touré  DEF11
2
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD10
-
U. Mboula DEF8
-
J Asoro FWD8
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD5
-
M Mbaye FWD5
1
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
C. Mélières DEF2
1
-
P Sy GLK1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24646
G. RestesY GbohoY GbohoC Cresswell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK24
3
-
D Sidibé DEF2433
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2432
6
-
Y Gboho FWD2364
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF22
1
-
M McKenzie DEF212
5
-
C Yepes MID211
5
-
D. Methalie DEF20
6
-
S Hidalgo FWD2043
3
-
A Dönnum MID1934
5
-
M Sauer MID18
2
-
Emersonn FWD1832
3
1
F Magri FWD1751
3
-
A. Vossah MID1611
2
1
W Kamanzi DEF15
-
R. Messali MID12
2
-
N. Edjouma FWD12
-
J. Vignolo FWD112
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
S. Koumbassa DEF3
-