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Bayern Munich v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Feb, 16:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

the Allianz Arena plays host on Sunday afternoon, as Vincent Kompany's Bayern Munich welcome Christian Ilzer's TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Bayern to win

As the Bayern players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Allianz Arena has rarely been a happy hunting ground for for Hoffenheim in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 68% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
68%
1.25-
Draw
16%
6.00-
Hoffenheim
16%
9.50-
Bayern 2-1
9%
10.00-
Bayern 3-1
8%
10.00-
Bayern 2-0
7%
10.00-
Draw 1-1
6%
13.00-
Bayern 3-0
6%
10.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
17.00-
Bayern 4-1
5%
13.00-
Bayern 1-0
5%
15.00-
Bayern 3-2
5%
19.00-
Bayern 4-0
4%
13.00-
Hoffenheim 2-1
4%
29.00-
Bayern 4-2
3%
23.00-
Bayern 5-1
3%
21.00-
Hoffenheim 1-0
2%
41.00-
Hoffenheim 3-2
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
1.25-
Under 2.5 Goals
24%
4.00-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.33-
Away 1st Goal
43%
3.25-
No 1st Goal
1%
34.00-
BTTS - Yes
67%
1.57-
BTTS - No
33%
2.25-
BTTS - Home Win
42%
2.20-
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.50-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
13.00-
Home/draw
84%
1.07-
Away/draw
32%
3.75-
Home/away
84%
1.13-
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1.07-
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
9.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
1.67-
Under 3.5 Goals
44%
2.20-
Over 4.5 Goals
37%
2.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
63%
1.53-
Over 5.5 Goals
21%
4.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
79%
1.25-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
34.00-
Home DNB
79%
1.08-
Away DNB
27%
8.00-
Bayern win to nil
26%
2.63-
Hoffenheim win to nil
5%
23.00-
Bayern / Bayern
49%
1.67-
Bayern / Hoffenheim
2%
41.00-
Bayern / Draw
4%
19.00-
Draw / Bayern
19%
4.33-
Draw / Hoffenheim
4%
21.00-
Draw / Draw
7%
12.00-
Hoffenheim / Bayern
6%
15.00-
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
5%
17.00-
Hoffenheim / Draw
4%
21.00-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 72 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 10 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 40 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Hoffenheim are in 3rd position in the Bundesliga on 36 points having played 18 matches so far this season. Hoffenheim have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Hoffenheim have conceded 6 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1916215650 
-
-
l
 
1-4A
Feb 8
2
Dortmund1912612142 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 28
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
3
Hoffenheim1811341636 
Feb 8
w
 
1-4F
-
-
4
Stuttgart1911351036 
Apr 18
w
 
0-5F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
5
RB Leipzig1811251235 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-5A
w
 
3-1A
Mar 21
6
Leverkusen1810261032 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
7
Freiburg19766-127 
w
 
6-2A
Apr 4
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
8
E.Frankfurt19766-327 
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3A
9
Union Berlin19667-624 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
Jan 31
w
 
2-4F
10
Köln19559-420 
May 16
w
 
1-3A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 21
11
B. M'gladbach19559-920 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-1F
May 16
12
Wolfsburg195410-1319 
w
 
8-1F
May 9
Mar 14
w
 
2-3A
13
Augsburg195410-1419 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
14
Hamburg18468-1018 
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
w
 
4-1F
Apr 25
15
W.Bremen18468-1418 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 14
May 9
Jan 27
16
Mainz193610-1115 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
17
St. Pauli183411-1513 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 11
Feb 28
w
 
0-3F
18
Heidenheim193412-2513 
May 2
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 7
Win / draw / win form
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
71
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern1 - 2Augsburg
Bayern8 - 1Wolfsburg
Bayern2 - 2Mainz
Bayern3 - 1St. Pauli
Bayern6 - 2Freiburg
Bayern3 - 0Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 1Dortmund
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
Bayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
Bayern2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
Bayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 3Holstein
Bayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
76
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBayern1 - 2Augsburg
ABayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern3 - 1Köln
HBayern8 - 1Wolfsburg
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Mainz
ABayern5 - 0Stuttgart
HBayern3 - 1St. Pauli
HBayern6 - 2Freiburg
ABayern2 - 2Union Berlin
HBayern3 - 0Leverkusen
ABayern3 - 0B. M'gladbach
HBayern2 - 1Dortmund
ABayern3 - 0E.Frankfurt
HBayern4 - 0W.Bremen
ABayern4 - 1Hoffenheim
HBayern5 - 0Hamburg
ABayern3 - 2Augsburg
HBayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
ABayern4 - 0Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Hoffenheim
Stuttgart0 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
Mainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
Freiburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
Leverkusen1 - 2Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
B. M'gladbach4 - 4Hoffenheim
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
VfL Bochum0 - 1Hoffenheim
W.Bremen1 - 3Hoffenheim
Leverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
Holstein1 - 3Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHoffenheim3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHoffenheim1 - 0Leverkusen
HHoffenheim5 - 1B. M'gladbach
AHoffenheim0 - 0Stuttgart
HHoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
AHoffenheim0 - 2Dortmund
HHoffenheim3 - 0Augsburg
AHoffenheim1 - 1Mainz
HHoffenheim3 - 1RB Leipzig
AHoffenheim3 - 2Wolfsburg
HHoffenheim3 - 1Heidenheim
AHoffenheim3 - 0St. Pauli
HHoffenheim0 - 1Köln
AHoffenheim1 - 1Freiburg
HHoffenheim1 - 4Bayern
AHoffenheim4 - 2Union Berlin
HHoffenheim1 - 3E.Frankfurt
AHoffenheim2 - 1Leverkusen
HHoffenheim0 - 4Bayern
AHoffenheim2 - 2Wolfsburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bayern have beaten Hoffenheim in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Bayern have not lost to Hoffenheim in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
38
11
Games: Scored
13 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
0 / 13
FCB
9
D
3
TSG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern5 - 0
Bayern3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bayern4 - 0
Bayern4 - 1
1 - 2Hoffenheim
Bayern3 - 1
Bayern5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bayern2 - 0
Bayern4 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Bayern2 - 0
League games at Hoffenheim since 2013
Hoffenheim
Bayern
Goals: Scored
16
30
Games: Scored
9 / 14
12 / 14
Clean sheets
2 / 14
5 / 14
FCB
9
D
1
TSG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hoffenheim
1 - 4Bayern
0 - 4Bayern
Hoffenheim4 - 2
0 - 2Bayern
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hoffenheim4 - 1
0 - 6Bayern
1 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim2 - 0
Hoffenheim1 - 0
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 2Bayern
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 1Bayern
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.7 is decent for Bayern Munich in their clash with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

Bayern 1st Hoffenheim 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 82% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Hoffenheim will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Bayern have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+28
Hoffenheim have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
3.6
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
2.7
1.3
Attack rating
40%
better
FCB
TSG
view stats
Games scored19
15
Failed to score0
3
Scored first14
8
Goals scored72
38
Avg. goals scored3.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game14
10
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for27
21
Avg. XG for2.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
26%
better
FCB
TSG
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded16
22
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+26%

Bayern v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1721145
H KaneH KaneM OliseL Díaz 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olise FWD191014
3
-
H Kane FWD19214
-
L Goretzka MID181
4
-
L Díaz  FWD1899
5
-
L. Karl MID1742
-
K Laimer DEF1624
5
-
J Tah DEF1622
3
-
T Bischof MID163
2
-
A Pavlović MID1621
2
-
M Neuer  GLK15
-
D Upamecano DEF1511
3
-
J Kimmich MID1514
3
-
S Gnabry FWD1465
1
-
N Jackson FWD133
-
M Kim DEF1211
-
R Guerreiro DEF1132
-
J Stanisic DEF1122
1
-
S Boey DEF9
1
-
H Ito DEF813
-
J Urbig GLK4
-
A Davies DEF4
1
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD4
-
J Musiala MID21
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18666
O BaumannA KramaricW BurgerA Hajdari 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK18
-
V Coufal DEF1814
2
-
L Avdullahu MID181
3
-
G Prömel  MID1852
2
-
A Kramaric MID1863
1
-
F Asllani FWD1864
1
-
Bernardo DEF17
5
-
R Hranáč DEF17
4
-
W Burger MID1746
4
-
A Prass DEF161
-
T Lemperle FWD1662
1
-
A Hajdari  DEF151
6
-
B. Touré FWD1524
1
-
M. Moerstedt FWD122
1
-
I Bebou FWD11
1
-
M Damar  MID10
-
O Kabak DEF92
-
U Tohumcu MID5
2
-
A Chaves DEF4
1
-
V Gendrey DEF41
-
A Hlozek FWD3
-
K Akpoguma DEF2
-
K Machida DEF1
1
-