Bayern Munich's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

Bayern Munich v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Arena, München

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich will have the joy of it on Saturday afternoon. Bo Henriksen’s 1. FSV Mainz 05 are their opponents at the Allianz Arena. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Bayern Munich's next match is v RB Leipzig at 14:30 on Saturday 3rd May
1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v E.Frankfurt at 18:30 on Sunday 4th May
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Bayern and Mainz was on Saturday 26th April 2025
German Bundesliga
April 26th 2025
Bayern 3
0 Mainz
 
L. Sané 27'
M. Olise 40'
E. Dier 84'
 
FCB
M05
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
4
4
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
13
17
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
BayernMainz
 
J. Urbig
E. Dierfootball icon
J. Stanisic
M. Kim (S. Boey 46')
M. Olisefootball icon
J. Kimmich
K. Laimer
A. Pavlović (L. Goretzka 84')
L. Sanéfootball icon (T. Müller 84')
H. Kane (J. Kusi-Asare 88')
S. Gnabry (K. Coman 72')
R. Zentner
(N. Weiper 74') P. Mwene
A. Hanche-Olsen
D. Vieira da Costa
D. Kohr
(N. Veratschnig 28') A. Caci
N. Amiri
(S. Widmer 87') P. Nebel
(A. Nordin 87') J. Lee
K. Sano
(A. Sieb 86') J. Burkardt

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

We're predicting Bayern will claim victory after 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Allianz Arena.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
66%
1/4
2%
-
Draw
17%
6/1
8%
-
Mainz
17%
17/2
14%
-
Bayern 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
-
Bayern 3-1
8%
9/1-
Bayern 2-0
6%
9/1
33%
-
Draw 1-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Bayern 3-0
6%
9/1
25%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
10%
-
Bayern 4-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Bayern 3-2
5%
18/1
17%
-
Bayern 1-0
5%
14/1
50%
-
Mainz 2-1
4%
25/1
10%
-
Bayern 4-0
4%
12/1
18%
-
Bayern 4-2
3%
22/1
21%
-
Bayern 5-1
3%
20/1
9%
-
Mainz 3-2
3%
40/1
20%
-
Mainz 1-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
1/4
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
23%
3/1
33%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/4
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/4
17%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
33/1
62%
-
BTTS - Yes
69%
4/7
13%
-
BTTS - No
31%
5/4
15%
-
BTTS - Home Win
42%
11/10
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
13/2-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/1
29%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/14
2%
-
Away/draw
33%
11/4
6%
-
Home/away
83%
1/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1/14
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
8/1
38%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4/6
17%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
43%
6/5
22%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
38%
6/4
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
62%
8/15
13%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
22%
3/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
78%
1/4
10%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
28/1
38%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/12
1%
-
Away DNB
28%
7/1
11%
-
Bayern win to nil
25%
13/8
19%
-
Mainz win to nil
5%
20/1-
Bayern / Bayern
50%
4/6-
Bayern / Mainz
2%
40/1
20%
-
Bayern / Draw
4%
18/1
10%
-
Draw / Bayern
19%
10/3
8%
-
Draw / Mainz
4%
20/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1
20%
-
Mainz / Bayern
6%
14/1
12%
-
Mainz / Mainz
4%
16/1
19%
-
Mainz / Draw
4%
20/1
9%
-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 87 goals to 48 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 15 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 48 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Mainz are in 6th position in the Bundesliga on 47 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Mainz have conceded 8 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Home3123626175 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
2
Leverkusen31191023167 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
l
 
1-0A
3
E.Frankfurt3116782055 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
May 4
w
 
1-3F
4
Freiburg3115610-351 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
5
RB Leipzig3113108649 
w
 
5-1F
May 3
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
6
Dortmund31146111148 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
7
Mainz Away3113810947 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
8
W.Bremen3113711-646 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
B. M'gladbach3113513144 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
10
Augsburg31111010-943 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
11
Stuttgart3111812541 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
12
Wolfsburg3110912539 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-3F
13
Union Berlin319913-1436 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
St. Pauli318716-1031 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Hoffenheim317915-1830 
w
 
5-0F
May 17
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
16
Heidenheim317420-2725 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
Holstein315719-2922 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-6F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
18
VfL Bochum315620-3321 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
5
Bayern have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
5
Mainz have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
Bayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 3Holstein
Bayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern3 - 0Augsburg
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern1 - 1Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 0Freiburg
Bayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
Bayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Bayern2 - 0Köln
Bayern0 - 2Dortmund
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Dortmund
ABayern3 - 1Augsburg
HBayern3 - 2St. Pauli
ABayern1 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
ABayern3 - 1Stuttgart
HBayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
ABayern0 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern3 - 0W.Bremen
HBayern4 - 3Holstein
ABayern2 - 1Freiburg
HBayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
HBayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
ABayern1 - 0B. M'gladbach
HBayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern1 - 2Mainz
HBayern4 - 2Heidenheim
ABayern1 - 1Dortmund
HBayern3 - 0Augsburg
Mainz 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Augsburg2 - 3Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
Heidenheim1 - 1Mainz
Freiburg1 - 1Mainz
RB Leipzig0 - 0Mainz
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
AMainz0 - 2Hoffenheim
HMainz1 - 1Holstein
AMainz1 - 3Dortmund
HMainz2 - 2Freiburg
AMainz3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz2 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz0 - 0Augsburg
AMainz0 - 1W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 0Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 2Union Berlin
AMainz0 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
AMainz3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz2 - 1Bayern
AMainz3 - 4Wolfsburg
HMainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
AMainz3 - 0Holstein
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Bayern have beaten Mainz in 7 consecutive home league meetings
8
Bayern have not lost to Mainz in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Mainz
Goals: Scored
49
13
Games: Scored
12 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
0 / 12
FCB
10
D
1
M05
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern8 - 1
Bayern6 - 2
Bayern2 - 1
Bayern5 - 2
Bayern6 - 1
Bayern6 - 0
Bayern4 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Mainz
Bayern2 - 0
Bayern4 - 1
Bayern3 - 1
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Bayern
Goals: Scored
15
27
Games: Scored
9 / 13
13 / 13
Clean sheets
0 / 13
4 / 13
FCB
9
M05
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz2 - 1
1 - 3Bayern
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz2 - 1
1 - 3Bayern
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 2Bayern
1 - 3Bayern
0 - 3Bayern
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 2Bayern
0 - 3Bayern
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive Bundesliga outings. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Bayern 1st Mainz 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
20%
There is a 82% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Bayern have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Mainz have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
3.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283694/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
2.7
1.3
Attack rating
33%
better
FCB
M05
view stats
Games scored29
23
Failed to score1
7
Scored first23
16
Goals scored87
48
Avg. goals scored2.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
18
Avg. XG for2.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
13%
better
FCB
M05
view stats
Games conceded17
21
Clean sheets13
9
Conceded first6
12
Goals conceded29
36
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+13%

Bayern v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2924128
J KimmichH KaneM OliseK Laimer
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Urbig GLK7
-
K Laimer DEF2623
8
-
E Dier DEF1811
-
M Kim DEF272
2
-
J Stanisic DEF112
-
J Kimmich MID3026
4
-
A Pavlović MID181
2
-
M Olise MID31912
2
-
L Sané MID27106
2
-
H Kane FWD29248
5
-
S Gnabry FWD2465
-
Subs
M. Schmitt GLK
-
D Peretz GLK3
1
-
S Boey DEF111
1
-
L Goretzka MID2341
2
-
J Palhinha MID15
2
1
G Vidović MID1
-
K Coman FWD2554
-
T Müller FWD2714
3
-
J. Kusi-Asare FWD1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3115712
R ZentnerJ Burkardt A CaciD Kohr
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK31
3
-
D Costa DEF221
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF1911
2
1
D Kohr DEF272
11
1
A Caci MID3017
6
-
K Sano MID31
3
-
N Amiri MID2765
7
2
P Mwene MID295
7
-
P Nebel FWD2884
4
1
J Lee FWD3075
4
-
J Burkardt  FWD26152
-
Subs
L Rieß GLK
1
-
D Hoof DEF151
3
-
N Veratschnig DEF12
1
-
S Widmer  DEF241
3
-
H Hyun-seok MID201
-
L Maloney MID3
1
-
A Nordin FWD6
-
A Sieb FWD2723
3
-
N Weiper FWD2031
2
-