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Hamburger SV v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Apr, 17:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Saturday evening at the Volksparkstadion, and it’s a Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Merlin Polzin and Christian Ilzer will be doing all they can to ensure victory. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
44%
--
Draw
23%
--
Hoffenheim
32%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Hamburg 2-1
9%
--
Hoffenheim 2-1
8%
--
Hamburg 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Hamburg 2-0
6%
--
Hoffenheim 1-0
6%
--
Hamburg 3-1
5%
--
Hoffenheim 2-0
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Hamburg 3-2
4%
--
Hoffenheim 3-1
4%
--
Hamburg 3-0
4%
--
Hoffenheim 3-2
3%
--
Hamburg 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
63%
--
BTTS - No
37%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
61%
--
Away DNB
49%
--
Hamburg win to nil
19%
--
Hoffenheim win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Hamburg have conceded 29 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 15 games at home, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Hoffenheim lay in 6th place on 51 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hoffenheim have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Hoffenheim have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2823417373 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-1A
2
Dortmund2919733164 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
3
RB Leipzig2917572056 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
5-0A
4
Stuttgart2816571853 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
5
Leverkusen2915772052 
l
 
0-1A
May 16
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
6
Hoffenheim2915681451 
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
-
-
7
E.Frankfurt291199042 
d
 
1-1F
May 2
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3A
8
Freiburg2810711-637 
May 10
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
9
Mainz288911-833 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
10
Augsburg299614-1733 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Union Berlin298813-1732 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
12
Hamburg2871011-931 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
Apr 25
13
B. M'gladbach297913-1430 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
5-1F
May 16
14
W.Bremen287714-1828 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
May 9
w
 
0-2F
15
Köln286913-927 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
16
St. Pauli286715-2025 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
17
Wolfsburg295618-2621 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3A
18
Heidenheim294718-3219 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg1 - 1Augsburg
Hamburg1 - 1Köln
Hamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
Hamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
Hamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Hamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Hamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
Hamburg2 - 4E. Braun
Hamburg0 - 0Elversberg
Hamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg1 - 1Augsburg
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AHamburg1 - 4Hoffenheim
HHamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
HHamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
Hoffenheim 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Augsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig5 - 0Hoffenheim
Heidenheim2 - 4Hoffenheim
Köln2 - 2Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 1Hoffenheim
W.Bremen0 - 2Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Hoffenheim
Stuttgart0 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
Mainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
Freiburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
Leverkusen1 - 2Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
B. M'gladbach4 - 4Hoffenheim
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHoffenheim2 - 2Augsburg
HHoffenheim1 - 2Mainz
AHoffenheim0 - 5RB Leipzig
HHoffenheim1 - 1Wolfsburg
AHoffenheim4 - 2Heidenheim
HHoffenheim0 - 1St. Pauli
AHoffenheim2 - 2Köln
HHoffenheim3 - 0Freiburg
AHoffenheim1 - 5Bayern
HHoffenheim3 - 1Union Berlin
AHoffenheim2 - 0W.Bremen
AHoffenheim3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHoffenheim1 - 0Leverkusen
HHoffenheim5 - 1B. M'gladbach
AHoffenheim0 - 0Stuttgart
HHoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
AHoffenheim0 - 2Dortmund
HHoffenheim3 - 0Augsburg
AHoffenheim1 - 1Mainz
HHoffenheim3 - 1RB Leipzig
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
HSV
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg3 - 0
Hamburg2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hamburg2 - 0
League games at Hoffenheim since 2013
Hoffenheim
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
HSV
2
D
1
TSG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim4 - 1
Hoffenheim2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim3 - 0
Hoffenheim3 - 0
1 - 4Hamburg
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded in each of their last 7 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.7 for M. Polzin's side suggests that run should continue.

Hamburg 12th Hoffenheim 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Hoffenheim will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Hoffenheim have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
1.7
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
HSV
TSG
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
HSV
TSG
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Hamburg v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
285510
D FernandesR KönigsdörfferF VieiraN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK28
3
-
R Königsdörffer FWD2852
1
-
M Muheim DEF274
6
1
N Remberg MID261
10
-
L. Vušković DEF255
5
-
R Philippe FWD245
2
-
F Vieira MID2355
3
2
W Mikelbrencis DEF224
3
-
A Lokonga MID225
2
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF212
2
1
N Capaldo  MID2011
6
-
M Dompé FWD203
-
D Elfadli DEF19
5
1
J Torunarigha DEF19
2
-
R Glatzel FWD1512
-
W Omari DEF14
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD131
1
-
Y Poulsen FWD121
4
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD111
2
1
B Jatta FWD111
-
G Ramos DEF8
-
I Pherai MID6
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291089
O BaumannA KramaricB. TouréA Hajdari 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK29
2
-
V Coufal DEF2917
4
-
G Prömel  MID2972
4
-
A Kramaric MID29105
1
-
L Avdullahu MID281
4
-
F Asllani FWD2897
2
-
A Prass MID2732
2
-
R Hranáč DEF261
4
-
A Hajdari  DEF2511
9
-
W Burger MID2546
5
1
B. Touré FWD2538
2
-
Bernardo DEF24
7
-
T Lemperle FWD2472
1
-
O Kabak DEF204
3
-
M. Moerstedt FWD192
2
-
I Bebou FWD16
1
-
M Damar  MID14
-
V Gendrey DEF811
-
K Akpoguma DEF6
1
U Tohumcu MID5
2
-
A Chaves DEF4
1
-
A Hlozek FWD3
-
K Machida DEF1
1
-
L. Đurić MID1
-