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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

DnB NOR Arena, Sinsheim

Saturday afternoon sees Christian Streich’s TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Niko Kalliokoski’s Borussia Dortmund go head to head in a Bundesliga clash at the DnB NOR Arena. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.

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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's next match is v Wolfsburg at 19:30 on Friday 9th May
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Leverkusen at 14:30 on Sunday 11th May
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Hoffenheim and Dortmund was on Saturday 26th April 2025
German Bundesliga
April 26th 2025
Hoffenheim 2
3 Dortmund
 
A. Hložek 61'20' S. Guirassy
P. Kadeřábek 90'74' J. Brandt
90' W. Anton
 
TSG
BVB
Shots On
3
8
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
2
5
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
17
9
Yellow/red cards
5/0
1/0
 
HoffenheimDortmund
 
O. Baumann
P. Kadeřábekfootball icon
A. Largura Chaves
K. Akpoguma (S. Nsoki 30')
L. Skiri Oestigaard
A. Stach
A. Kramarić
D. Geiger (U. Tohumcu 77')
A. Hložekfootball icon (H. Tabakovic 71')
B. Touré
M. Bülter (D. Jurásek 71')
G. Kobel
football iconW. Anton
R. Bensebaini
D. Svensson
(G. Reyna 81') N. Süle
(Y. Couto 77') J. Ryerson
(S. Özcan 68') F. Nmecha
(C. Chukwuemeka 81') football iconJ. Brandt
E. Can
football iconS. Guirassy
(K. Adeyemi 68') J. Bynoe-Gittens

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of strong, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers Christian Streich or Niko Kalliokoski deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Recent form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, show that doesn't seem likely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hoffenheim
32%
3/1
14%
-
Draw
24%
29/10
3%
-
Dortmund
45%
5/6
4%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
6%
-
Dortmund 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Dortmund 1-0
8%
9/1
17%
-
Hoffenheim 2-1
7%
12/1-
Dortmund 2-0
6%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Hoffenheim 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
Dortmund 3-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
19%
-
Hoffenheim 2-0
4%
22/1-
Dortmund 3-0
4%
16/1-
Dortmund 3-2
4%
18/1-
Hoffenheim 3-1
4%
28/1
26%
-
Hoffenheim 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
-
Dortmund 4-1
2%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
8/15
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/4
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/15
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/15
6%
-
BTTS - No
38%
11/8
9%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/2
18%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/5
3%
-
Home/draw
55%
10/11-
Away/draw
68%
2/9
5%
-
Home/away
76%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/10
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
8/13
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
3/1
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/4
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6/1
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/10
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
29%
-
Home DNB
48%
2/1
15%
-
Away DNB
61%
4/11
6%
-
Hoffenheim win to nil
14%
8/1
13%
-
Dortmund win to nil
20%
11/4
6%
-
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
13%
11/2
18%
-
Hoffenheim / Dortmund
4%
18/1-
Hoffenheim / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Hoffenheim
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw / Dortmund
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
-
Dortmund / Hoffenheim
3%
28/1
12%
-
Dortmund / Dortmund
29%
15/8
4%
-
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hoffenheim have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Hoffenheim have conceded 50 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hoffenheim have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 29 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 7th place on 45 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored 36 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 15 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3223726176 
May 17
l
 
5-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
2
Leverkusen32191123168 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-3A
May 11
3
E.Frankfurt3216882056 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
Freiburg3215710-352 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
5
Dortmund Away32156111551 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
6
RB Leipzig3213118650 
w
 
4-3A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
Mainz3213910948 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
8
W.Bremen3213811-647 
l
 
3-4F
w
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
9
B. M'gladbach3213613145 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
4-4A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
10
Stuttgart3212812644 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
11
Augsburg32111011-1143 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
12
Wolfsburg3210913139 
l
 
0-1A
May 9
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
13
Union Berlin3291013-1437 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
St. Pauli328717-1131 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Hoffenheim Home3271015-1831 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
16
Heidenheim327520-2726 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
Holstein326719-2725 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
May 17
l
 
4-2A
18
VfL Bochum325720-3322 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
Hoffenheim 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Dortmund 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Dortmund have beaten Hoffenheim in 4 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Hoffenheim since 2012
Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
15
19
Games: Scored
9 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
2 / 11
TSG
2
D
4
BVB
5
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
20
20
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
TSG
3
D
3
BVB
5
Goal Statistics
Hoffenheim 15th Dortmund 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Hoffenheim will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Hoffenheim’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Dortmund have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283692/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hoffenheim
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
TSG
BVB
29%
better
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score8
5
Scored first9
16
Goals scored38
57
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for13
20
Avg. XG for1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
TSG
BVB
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
25
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first19
13
Goals conceded55
47
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Hoffenheim v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301198
A KramaricA KramaricA KramaricA Chaves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK26
1
-
A Chaves DEF241
8
-
L Østigård DEF9
1
K Akpoguma DEF30
2
-
P Kaderabek MID221
6
-
D Geiger MID18
4
-
A Stach MID2812
7
-
M Bülter MID2362
4
-
B. Touré FWD113
1
-
A Kramaric FWD30119
3
-
A Hlozek FWD2582
2
-
Subs
L Philipp GLK6
-
R Hranáč DEF4
-
D Jurásek DEF141
-
A Prass DEF221
1
-
S Nsoki DEF22
3
1
U Tohumcu MID111
3
-
F Becker MID111
1
-
G Orban FWD134
2
-
H Tabakovic FWD2131
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301986
G KobelS Guirassy J BrandtR Bensebaini
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK30
1
-
N Süle DEF13
1
-
W Anton DEF2422
4
-
R Bensebaini DEF2916
6
-
J Ryerson MID2713
5
1
F Nmecha MID2431
2
-
E Can MID293
4
1
J Brandt MID2848
1
-
D Svensson MID1012
-
S Guirassy  FWD28194
4
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD3083
3
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK2
-
Y Couto DEF20
5
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF5
1
1
S Özcan MID11
-
G Reyna MID152
3
-
C Chukwuemeka MID91
1
-
J Duranville FWD11
3
-
K Adeyemi  FWD2366
4
-