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Alverca v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 15:30 BST, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

Custódio André Gune's Alverca side are on home soil in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira's Casa Pia arrive at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. For every Liga NOS fixture, KickOff explores the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
45%
--
Draw
27%
--
Casa Pia
28%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Alverca 1-0
13%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Alverca 2-1
9%
--
Alverca 2-0
9%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
7%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Alverca 3-1
4%
--
Alverca 3-0
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
--
Alverca 3-2
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Alverca win to nil
27%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Alverca have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Alverca have played 14 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 24 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 42 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2723314372 
l
 
0-3A
May 3
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon2620515365 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2719804165 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 6
d
 
2-2A
4
Braga2613762646 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
Apr 23
l
 
4-0A
5
Famalicao2713681145 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Gil Vicente2711971142 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
7
Estoril2710710437 
May 10
l
 
4-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Moreirense2710512-835 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
9
V. Guimaraes279513-1332 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
10
Rio Ave277911-1830 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
May 17
l
 
3-1A
11
Alverca277812-1829 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
12
Arouca278514-2129 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
13
Santa Clara277713-728 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
14
Estrela Amadora2761011-1228 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-5F
l
 
4-0A
15
Casa Pia265912-2224 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
-
-
16
Nacional275715-1022 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela264814-2020 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS271818-4011 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
6
Casa Pia have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
5
Casa Pia have failed to score in 5 consecutive away league games
Alverca 11TH
14 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
10 / 14
Conceded
9 / 14
Clean sheets
5 / 14
Failed to score
4 / 14
Won
5
Draw
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
Alverca0 - 0AVS
Alverca1 - 1Santa Clara
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca2 - 1Moreirense
Alverca1 - 0Famalicao
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
AAlverca2 - 2Gil Vicente
HAlverca0 - 0AVS
AAlverca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HAlverca1 - 1Santa Clara
AAlverca1 - 1Tondela
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
Casa Pia 15TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACasa Pia0 - 4Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia3 - 2Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 0Nacional
HCasa Pia2 - 1Porto
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
Goal Statistics
Alverca 11th Casa Pia 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
14 home / away league games
-21
Alverca have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-39
Casa Pia have scored 39% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.4
1
Attack rating
12%
better
view stats
Games scored20
14
Failed to score7
12
Scored first9
7
Goals scored27
26
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game7
6
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first17
16
Goals conceded45
48
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%

Alverca v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25847
A GomesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF2613
5
-
M Milovanovic FWD2681
3
-
A Gomes GLK25
3
-
K Naves DEF251
6
1
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF24
4
1
S Gómez DEF23
1
-
Lincoln MID2324
5
-
D. Gui MID2211
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD211
-
L Figueiredo FWD2031
2
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF19
3
-
A Filho MID192
3
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
I. James DEF142
3
-
Chiquinho FWD1412
3
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF11
1
-
S Baseya DEF9
1
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
M Mendes GLK2
1
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
S Lima FWD1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
265712
J LivolantCassianoJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Livolant FWD2637
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF2534
5
-
Cassiano FWD255
5
-
P Sequeira GLK21
2
1
S Pérez MID21
5
-
A Geraldes DEF20
5
-
D Sousa  DEF182
12
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
R Brito MID1811
3
-
A Conté DEF172
1
-
J Fonte DEF171
3
-
J Goulart DEF171
3
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD17
2
-
T Morais FWD17
1
-
I Mohamed MID151
4
-
O Osundina FWD132
1
-
M Sousa MID122
3
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
D. Bandeira DEF9
4
-
K Nsona  FWD911
-
K. Prieto Machado MID8
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
Claudio FWD71
1
K Rocha DEF61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-