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Alverca v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 18:00 BST, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

Custódio André Gune and Rui Manuel Gomes Borges pit their wits in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, as Alverca face Sporting Lisbon at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
19%
--
Draw
25%
--
S. Lisbon
56%
--
S. Lisbon 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
S. Lisbon 2-0
11%
--
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Alverca 1-0
7%
--
S. Lisbon 3-0
6%
--
S. Lisbon 3-1
5%
--
Alverca 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Alverca 2-0
3%
--
S. Lisbon 4-0
2%
--
S. Lisbon 3-2
2%
--
S. Lisbon 4-1
2%
--
Alverca 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
39%
--
Away 1st Goal
55%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
45%
--
BTTS - No
55%
--
BTTS - Home Win
8%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
21%
--
Home/draw
44%
--
Away/draw
81%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
37%
--
Away DNB
73%
--
Alverca win to nil
11%
--
S. Lisbon win to nil
35%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Alverca have conceded 29 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alverca have played 13 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 62 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 25 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 23 games against teams below them in the league and kept 13 clean sheets out of 23 games. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 13 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 11 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 13 away games, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
l
 
0-3A
May 3
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
-
-
3
Benfica2517803759 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga2513752746 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 14
May 17
d
 
1-1F
6
Famalicao251168939 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
8
Estoril25979434 
May 10
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
1-4F
10
Alverca257711-1528 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
11
Arouca257513-2126 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
w
 
4-0F
May 10
15
Nacional255713-822 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
17
Tondela254714-2019 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
-
w
 
0-3F
18
AVS251717-3910 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
3
Alverca have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
5
Alverca have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
23
S. Lisbon have not lost in 23 consecutive away league games
Alverca 10TH
13 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
9 / 13
Conceded
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
Failed to score
4 / 13
Won
5
Draw
4
Lost
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca0 - 0AVS
Alverca1 - 1Santa Clara
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca2 - 1Moreirense
Alverca1 - 0Famalicao
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca0 - 0AVS
AAlverca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HAlverca1 - 1Santa Clara
AAlverca1 - 1Tondela
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
23
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga2 - 2S. Lisbon
Moreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente1 - 1S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Boavista0 - 5S. Lisbon
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon2 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Alverca fans, as should a 7 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Sporting Lisbon have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 44 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.6 against Alverca on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Alverca 10th S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Alverca scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
13 home / away league games
-24
Alverca have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
S. Lisbon have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
0.8
1.6
Attack rating
SCL
50%
better
view stats
Games scored18
25
Failed to score7
0
Scored first9
20
Goals scored24
64
Avg. goals scored1
2.6
Avg. shots per game7
14
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
SCL
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
12
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first15
5
Goals conceded39
14
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against16%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.7
KickOff rating
+49%

Alverca v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23737
A GomesM MilovanovicZoubdiK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF2413
4
-
M Milovanovic FWD2471
3
-
A Gomes GLK23
3
-
K Naves DEF23
6
1
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF22
4
1
S Gómez DEF21
1
-
Lincoln MID2123
5
-
C. Nuozzi FWD211
-
D. Gui MID2011
3
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF19
3
-
A Filho MID192
3
-
L Figueiredo FWD1831
2
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
I. James DEF121
3
-
Chiquinho FWD1211
3
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF11
1
-
S Baseya DEF8
1
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
M Mendes GLK2
1
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
S Lima FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24231010
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Trincão MID25510
-
G Inácio DEF2413
3
1
L Suárez FWD24234
4
-
R Silva GLK23
1
-
H Morita MID221
3
-
M Hjulmand MID2223
7
-
I Fresneda DEF211
6
-
M Vilches DEF2143
9
1
G Catamo  FWD2053
1
-
A Santos FWD182
-
P Gonçalves FWD18106
5
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID171
2
-
G Vagiannidis DEF153
3
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
G. Quenda FWD1314
-
O Diomande DEF12
4
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
R Mangas DEF1121
3
-
Z Debast DEF10
2
-
M Reis DEF92
2
E Quaresma DEF811
1
-
D Bragança  MID53
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
N Santos DEF11
-