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Benfica v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

CD Nacional, led by manager Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido, visit José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho and his Benfica side at the Estádio da Luz on Sunday evening in the Liga NOS. Liga NOS statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
68%
--
Draw
20%
--
Nacional
12%
--
Benfica 2-0
13%
--
Benfica 1-0
13%
--
Benfica 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Benfica 3-0
9%
--
Benfica 3-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Nacional 1-0
5%
--
Benfica 4-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Nacional 2-1
3%
--
Benfica 4-1
3%
--
Benfica 3-2
2%
--
Benfica 5-0
2%
--
Nacional 2-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
60%
--
Away 1st Goal
36%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
6%
--
Home/draw
88%
--
Away/draw
32%
--
Home/away
80%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
82%
--
Away DNB
26%
--
Benfica win to nil
42%
--
Nacional win to nil
7%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 24 games against teams below them in the league and kept 12 clean sheets out of 24 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 5 and lost no matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 58 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 14 games at home winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 33 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Nacional are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 22 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 36 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2723314372 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2620515365 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
3
Benfica2719804165 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
4
Braga2613762646 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Famalicao2713681145 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
6
Gil Vicente2711971142 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
7
Estoril2710710437 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
8
Moreirense2710512-835 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
9
V. Guimaraes279513-1332 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 17
l
 
2-1A
10
Rio Ave277911-1830 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Alverca277812-1829 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
12
Arouca278514-2129 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
13
Santa Clara277713-728 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3A
May 10
14
Estrela Amadora2761011-1228 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
15
Casa Pia265912-2224 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
16
Nacional275715-1022 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
-
-
17
Tondela264814-2020 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
18
AVS271818-4011 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 3
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
22
Benfica have not lost in 22 consecutive home league games
10
Nacional have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
22
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica2 - 2Porto
Benfica3 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 1Arouca
HBenfica2 - 2Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica3 - 0AVS
ABenfica2 - 1Santa Clara
HBenfica2 - 1Alverca
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
Nacional 16TH
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao1 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AVS2 - 2Nacional
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 1Famalicao
HNacional0 - 1Estoril
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional0 - 3Arouca
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Benfica have beaten Nacional in 4 consecutive league meetings
11
Benfica have not lost to Nacional in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Nacional
Goals: Scored
21
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
BEF
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica10 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica4 - 1
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Benfica
Goals: Scored
4
18
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
BEF
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 2Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 4Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
1 - 4Benfica
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 7 consecutive Liga NOS matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for CD Nacional fans, as should a 8 Liga NOS games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Benfica 3rd Nacional 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-31
Nacional have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
2.1
0.7
Attack rating
44%
better
BEF
NAC
view stats
Games scored25
18
Failed to score2
9
Scored first20
8
Goals scored58
29
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for2.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
48%
better
BEF
NAC
view stats
Games conceded14
23
Clean sheets13
4
Conceded first5
18
Goals conceded17
39
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+48%

Benfica v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262248
V PavlidisV PavlidisV PavlidisG Prestianni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD27224
3
-
S Dahl DEF2611
2
-
A Trubin GLK25
1
-
L Barreiro MID2523
1
-
N Otamendi DEF242
6
1
E Barrenechea MID221
6
-
F Aursnes MID2233
1
-
G Prestianni FWD2232
7
1
H Sudakov MID2142
2
-
R Ríos MID2113
7
-
A Schjelderup FWD2143
2
-
T Araújo DEF2011
3
-
A Silva DEF191
4
-
F Ivanovic FWD1941
1
-
A Dedic DEF1813
2
2
D Lukébakio FWD113
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID81
-
Manu MID7
-
A Bah DEF51
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2713410
P BóiaChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Bóia FWD2732
4
-
M Dias MID261
5
1
Chuchu FWD2613
5
-
L Santos DEF2531
10
-
Z Vitor DEF2441
7
1
Liziero  MID244
6
-
C. Abidi MID2211
5
1
Witi FWD221
2
-
K Azarias GLK21
3
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2014
2
-
L João FWD171
1
-
J Silva MID16
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD16
3
1
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
A Duarte DEF1412
1
-
M Baeza MID131
1
-
L Vallier DEF12
4
-
D Jr MID11
2
-
F Soares MID11
2
-
A Sousa MID102
1
-
L França GLK6
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF6
2
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1