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Sporting Braga v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga NOS, and Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga will have the blessing of it on Sunday evening. Vasco César Freire De Seabra’s Arouca are their opponents at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our extensive database and found the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
58%
--
Draw
21%
--
Arouca
20%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Braga 2-1
10%
--
Braga 1-0
9%
--
Braga 2-0
9%
--
Braga 3-1
7%
--
Braga 3-0
6%
--
Arouca 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Arouca 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Braga 3-2
4%
--
Braga 4-1
3%
--
Braga 4-0
3%
--
Arouca 2-0
3%
--
Arouca 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
73%
--
Away DNB
36%
--
Braga win to nil
29%
--
Arouca win to nil
9%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Braga have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Braga have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Arouca are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 29 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Arouca have conceded 42 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2723314372 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1A
2
S. Lisbon2620515365 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
3
Benfica2719804165 
d
 
2-2A
May 10
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-0A
4
Braga2613762646 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
5
Famalicao2713681145 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Gil Vicente2711971142 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
May 10
7
Estoril2710710437 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Apr 6
l
 
4-3F
8
Moreirense2710512-835 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
9
V. Guimaraes279513-1332 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
Rio Ave277911-1830 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
11
Alverca277812-1829 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
12
Arouca278514-2129 
Apr 12
w
 
0-4F
-
-
13
Santa Clara277713-728 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
14
Estrela Amadora2761011-1228 
May 17
d
 
3-3F
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
15
Casa Pia265912-2224 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 23
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
16
Nacional275715-1022 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
17
Tondela264814-2020 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
3-1F
18
AVS271818-4011 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga1 - 2Porto
Braga2 - 2S. Lisbon
Braga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Braga3 - 0Rio Ave
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Braga2 - 2Benfica
Braga1 - 0Santa Clara
Braga2 - 1Moreirense
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga2 - 2AVS
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Santa Clara
Braga4 - 1AVS
Braga2 - 1Arouca
Braga1 - 0Porto
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Braga2 - 0Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga2 - 2S. Lisbon
ABraga2 - 1Nacional
HBraga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
ABraga1 - 2Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 0Rio Ave
ABraga4 - 0AVS
HBraga5 - 0Alverca
ABraga1 - 0Tondela
ABraga3 - 3Estrela Amadora
HBraga2 - 2Benfica
ABraga0 - 1Estoril
HBraga1 - 0Santa Clara
ABraga2 - 1Famalicao
ABraga4 - 0Arouca
HBraga2 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga4 - 0Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga0 - 1Nacional
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense0 - 1Arouca
Famalicao1 - 0Arouca
Porto3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia3 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave0 - 3Arouca
AVS0 - 1Arouca
Tondela3 - 1Arouca
Santa Clara0 - 0Arouca
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente1 - 1Arouca
Santa Clara2 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Braga2 - 1Arouca
AVS0 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca1 - 0Moreirense
HArouca1 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 1Famalicao
AArouca1 - 3Porto
HArouca3 - 0Nacional
AArouca2 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 0Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Braga have beaten Arouca in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Braga since 2015
Braga
Arouca
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
BRG
4
D
1
ARO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Braga2 - 1
0 - 3Arouca
Braga2 - 0
Braga1 - 0
Braga3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Braga
Goals: Scored
2
20
Games: Scored
2 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
5 / 7
BRG
5
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 4Braga
1 - 2Braga
0 - 1Braga
0 - 6Braga
0 - 6Braga
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Sporting Braga in their clash with Arouca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 38 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

Braga 4th Arouca 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Braga have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Arouca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
2
1.1
Attack rating
29%
better
BRG
ARO
view stats
Games scored23
19
Failed to score3
8
Scored first18
13
Goals scored53
34
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
16
Avg. XG for1.9
1
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
32%
better
BRG
ARO
view stats
Games conceded17
21
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first8
13
Goals conceded27
55
Avg. goals conceded1
2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
20%
Avg. XG against1
1.7
KickOff rating
+32%

Braga v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261546
L HornicekR Zalazar P VictorR Zalazar 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK26
1
-
V Gómez DEF2613
1
-
P Victor FWD2564
3
-
R Zalazar  MID24154
6
-
J Moutinho MID2411
3
-
R Horta FWD23134
4
1
G Martínez FWD233
2
-
L Lelo DEF224
1
-
G Lagerbielke DEF222
5
1
B Arrey-Mbi DEF21
3
-
Gorby MID21
4
-
F Navarro FWD214
1
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID1912
2
-
F Grillitsch  MID1811
3
-
G Salles MID15
3
-
M Dorgeles MID141
-
P Oliveira DEF12
2
-
S Niakaté DEF10
2
-
V Carvalho MID102
4
-
A Ouazzani FWD92
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD4
1
-
Y. da Rocha MID2
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26839
N Djouahra A TrezzaA TrezzaT Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Djouahra  FWD2762
2
-
T Fukui MID2622
2
1
A Trezza FWD2683
1
1
M Puche FWD2511
3
-
J Fontán DEF2413
5
3
H. Lee MID2453
5
1
Barbero FWD2461
5
-
T Esgaio DEF2212
9
-
P Gozálbez MID211
3
-
E. van Ee MID1911
5
-
D Nandin FWD191
2
1
B Popovic DEF171
3
-
B Mansilla FWD171
1
-
A Dante DEF15
-
B Pinto MID12
3
-
P Santos MID11
2
-
A Solà DEF101
1
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
2
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
D Monteiro DEF6
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID5
1
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-