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Sporting Braga v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 20:30 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga will have the joy of it on Sunday night. Francesco Farioli’s FC Porto are their visitors to the Estádio Municipal de Braga. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
38%
--
Draw
26%
--
Porto
36%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Braga 1-0
10%
--
Porto 1-0
9%
--
Braga 2-1
8%
--
Porto 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Braga 2-0
6%
--
Porto 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Braga 3-1
4%
--
Porto 3-1
4%
--
Braga 3-0
3%
--
Porto 3-0
3%
--
Braga 3-2
2%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
56%
--
Away DNB
54%
--
Braga win to nil
20%
--
Porto win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Braga are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 3 and won zero. Braga have conceded 7 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Braga have played 12 games at home, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 66 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 49 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 13 away games, winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2517803759 
d
 
2-2A
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
4
Braga2513752746 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
Famalicao251168939 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
8
Estoril25979434 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca257711-1528 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Arouca257513-2126 
Apr 12
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
May 17
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 23
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Nacional255713-822 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela254714-2019 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS251717-3910 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
8
Braga have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga2 - 2S. Lisbon
Braga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Braga3 - 0Rio Ave
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Braga2 - 2Benfica
Braga1 - 0Santa Clara
Braga2 - 1Moreirense
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga2 - 2AVS
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Santa Clara
Braga4 - 1AVS
Braga2 - 1Arouca
Braga1 - 0Porto
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Braga2 - 0Gil Vicente
Braga3 - 0Boavista
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBraga2 - 2S. Lisbon
ABraga2 - 1Nacional
HBraga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
ABraga1 - 2Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 0Rio Ave
ABraga4 - 0AVS
HBraga5 - 0Alverca
ABraga1 - 0Tondela
ABraga3 - 3Estrela Amadora
HBraga2 - 2Benfica
ABraga0 - 1Estoril
HBraga1 - 0Santa Clara
ABraga2 - 1Famalicao
ABraga4 - 0Arouca
HBraga2 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga4 - 0Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga0 - 1Nacional
ABraga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica2 - 2Porto
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 2Benfica
HPorto3 - 1Arouca
HPorto1 - 0Rio Ave
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
Porto
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
7 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
3 / 10
BRG
4
D
3
PTO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Braga1 - 0
0 - 1Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
Braga1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Braga2 - 1
2 - 3Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Braga3 - 1
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Braga
Goals: Scored
20
7
Games: Scored
10 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
1 / 11
BRG
1
D
1
PTO
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 0
Porto4 - 1
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 1
1 - 2Braga
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is very strong, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Sporting Braga makes sense in this context.

Braga 4th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Braga will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Braga have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
-6
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
BRG
PTO
12%
better
view stats
Games scored22
24
Failed to score3
1
Scored first17
22
Goals scored52
49
Avg. goals scored2.1
2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
19
Avg. XG for2
1.9
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
BRG
PTO
51%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
8
Clean sheets9
17
Conceded first8
2
Goals conceded25
10
Avg. goals conceded1
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
16
Conversion rate against14%
6%
Avg. XG against1
0.6
KickOff rating
+51%

Braga v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251445
L HornicekR Zalazar P VictorR Zalazar 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK25
1
-
V Gómez DEF2513
1
-
P Victor FWD2464
3
-
R Zalazar  MID23144
5
-
J Moutinho MID2311
3
-
L Lelo DEF224
1
-
R Horta FWD22134
4
1
G Martínez FWD223
2
-
G Lagerbielke DEF212
4
1
B Arrey-Mbi DEF20
3
-
Gorby MID20
3
-
F Navarro FWD204
1
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID1812
2
-
F Grillitsch  MID1711
3
-
G Salles MID14
3
-
M Dorgeles MID131
-
P Oliveira DEF12
2
-
V Carvalho MID102
4
-
S Niakaté DEF9
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD92
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD4
1
-
Y. da Rocha MID2
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251367
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaG VeigaJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK25
2
-
V. Froholdt MID2544
2
-
J Bednarek DEF241
7
-
G Veiga MID2316
4
-
B Sainz FWD2352
5
-
A Baio DEF226
5
-
A Varela MID222
5
-
Pepê FWD2224
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2161
4
1
R. Mora Carvalho MID2011
-
D Gül FWD202
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
F Moura DEF1822
3
-
J Kiwior DEF181
1
-
P Rosario MID1721
5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF151
3
1
Zaidu  DEF1111
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-