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CD Nacional v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 18:00 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

We’ve Liga NOS action to enjoy on Saturday evening, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and his CD Nacional side host Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga at the Estadio da Madeira. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
30%
--
Draw
24%
--
Braga
46%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Braga 2-1
9%
--
Braga 1-0
8%
--
Nacional 2-1
7%
--
Braga 2-0
7%
--
Nacional 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Braga 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Nacional 2-0
4%
--
Braga 3-0
4%
--
Braga 3-2
3%
--
Nacional 3-1
3%
--
Nacional 3-2
3%
--
Braga 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
24%
--
Home/draw
54%
--
Away/draw
70%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
47%
--
Away DNB
63%
--
Nacional win to nil
14%
--
Braga win to nil
22%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Nacional have conceded 24 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 11 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Braga lay in 5th place on 39 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Braga have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Braga have played 12 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Braga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2219213659 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
2
S. Lisbon2217414455 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
3
Benfica2215703352 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
May 10
4
Gil Vicente2211741540 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
5
Braga2211652539 
Feb 28
w
 
0-1F
-
-
6
Moreirense221039-133 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
7
Famalicao22958632 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
8
V. Guimaraes22949-631 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
9
Estoril22868530 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
May 3
l
 
1-0A
10
Alverca227411-1525 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
11
Estrela Amadora22589-1323 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
May 17
d
 
3-3F
12
Arouca226511-2123 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
Apr 12
w
 
0-4F
13
Casa Pia225710-1622 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
14
Nacional225611-421 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
15
Rio Ave224810-2020 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
16
Santa Clara224513-1117 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
17
Tondela223613-2115 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS221516-368 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Braga 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente2 - 1Braga
AVS0 - 4Braga
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Estrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Famalicao1 - 2Braga
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Porto2 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
Rio Ave2 - 2Braga
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Famalicao1 - 1Braga
Estoril0 - 2Braga
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
Sporting Farense0 - 1Braga
Rio Ave2 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
Moreirense1 - 2Braga
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABraga1 - 2Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 0Rio Ave
ABraga4 - 0AVS
HBraga5 - 0Alverca
ABraga1 - 0Tondela
ABraga3 - 3Estrela Amadora
HBraga2 - 2Benfica
ABraga0 - 1Estoril
HBraga1 - 0Santa Clara
ABraga2 - 1Famalicao
ABraga4 - 0Arouca
HBraga2 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga4 - 0Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga0 - 1Nacional
ABraga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HBraga0 - 1Gil Vicente
ABraga2 - 2Rio Ave
HBraga2 - 2AVS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Braga have beaten Nacional in 3 consecutive away league meetings
5
Braga have not lost to Nacional in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Braga
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
D
1
BRG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
0 - 3Braga
1 - 2Braga
0 - 3Braga
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Braga
League games at Braga since 2015
Braga
Nacional
Goals: Scored
13
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
NAC
1
BRG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
0 - 1Nacional
Braga1 - 0
Braga2 - 1
Braga4 - 2
Braga4 - 0
Braga2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.7 against CD Nacional on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Nacional 14th Braga 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Nacional have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Braga’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Braga
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
NAC
BRG
34%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score6
3
Scored first8
15
Goals scored27
45
Avg. goals scored1.2
2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
21
Avg. XG for1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
NAC
BRG
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
13
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first13
7
Goals conceded31
20
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+29%

Nacional v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221349
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Liziero  MID224
5
-
Chuchu FWD2213
4
-
P Bóia FWD2222
4
-
M Dias MID211
3
1
L Santos DEF2031
9
-
Z Vitor DEF2041
5
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2014
2
-
C. Abidi MID1911
3
-
Witi FWD191
2
-
K Azarias GLK16
3
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD13
2
1
L João FWD131
-
J Silva MID12
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
A Duarte DEF911
1
-
M Baeza MID9
1
-
A Sousa MID81
1
-
L Vallier DEF7
2
-
D Jr MID7
1
-
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF5
2
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221145
L HornicekR HortaL LeloR Zalazar 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK22
1
-
V Gómez DEF2213
1
-
L Lelo DEF214
1
-
P Victor FWD2163
3
-
R Zalazar  MID2092
5
-
J Moutinho MID2011
3
-
G Martínez FWD203
2
-
Gorby MID19
3
-
R Horta FWD19113
2
1
G Lagerbielke DEF182
3
1
B Arrey-Mbi DEF17
3
-
F Navarro FWD174
1
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID1512
1
-
F Grillitsch  MID1411
2
-
G Salles MID12
1
-
M Dorgeles MID111
-
P Oliveira DEF10
1
-
V Carvalho MID102
4
-
S Niakaté DEF9
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD92
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD4
1
-
Y. da Rocha MID2
-