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Estoril v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 20:30 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Francesco Farioli will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Liga NOS on Sunday night, as he takes his FC Porto side to the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota to visit Estoril and Ian Cathro. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga NOS match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
34%
--
Draw
25%
--
Porto
42%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
Porto 1-0
8%
--
Estoril 2-1
8%
--
Estoril 1-0
7%
--
Porto 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Estoril 2-0
5%
--
Porto 3-1
5%
--
Estoril 3-1
4%
--
Porto 3-0
3%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
Estoril 3-2
3%
--
Estoril 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
22%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
51%
--
Away DNB
59%
--
Estoril win to nil
16%
--
Porto win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn zero and won 2. Estoril have conceded 15 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 72 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 54 goals and kept 18 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 14 away games, winning 12, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2723314372 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2620515365 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2719804165 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
4
Braga2613762646 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
5
Famalicao2713681145 
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
6
Gil Vicente2711971142 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
7
Estoril2710710437 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
8
Moreirense2710512-835 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 20
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
9
V. Guimaraes279513-1332 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Rio Ave277911-1830 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
11
Alverca277812-1829 
w
 
4-1F
May 10
May 3
w
 
0-3F
12
Arouca278514-2129 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 6
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
13
Santa Clara277713-728 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
14
Estrela Amadora2761011-1228 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
15
Casa Pia265912-2224 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
16
Nacional275715-1022 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela264814-2020 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS271818-4011 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril1 - 2Rio Ave
Estoril0 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
Estoril2 - 2Tondela
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstoril1 - 0Nacional
HEstoril0 - 0Casa Pia
AEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 3AVS
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga1 - 2Porto
Benfica2 - 2Porto
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto3 - 0Moreirense
APorto2 - 2Benfica
HPorto3 - 1Arouca
HPorto1 - 0Rio Ave
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Porto have beaten Estoril in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Porto
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
EST
1
D
1
PTO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Porto
1 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
1 - 3Porto
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Estoril
Goals: Scored
17
3
Games: Scored
7 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
1 / 8
EST
1
PTO
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto1 - 0
Porto4 - 0
0 - 1Estoril
Porto3 - 2
Porto2 - 0
Porto4 - 0
Porto1 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

FC Porto have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 19 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.6 against Estoril on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Estoril 7th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Estoril have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
EST
PTO
27%
better
view stats
Games scored19
26
Failed to score8
1
Scored first12
23
Goals scored48
54
Avg. goals scored1.8
2
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
EST
PTO
63%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
9
Clean sheets5
18
Conceded first14
3
Goals conceded44
11
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
15
Conversion rate against17%
7%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+63%

Estoril v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2717118
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoR Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK27
3
-
F Bacher DEF272
2
-
Y Begraoui FWD27171
1
-
J Carvalho MID26611
7
-
J Holsgrove MID2617
6
-
R Guitane FWD2435
2
-
Ferro DEF222
2
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF212
4
-
A Marqués FWD214
1
-
P Amaral DEF202
3
-
R Sánchez DEF2023
8
-
K Boma DEF191
5
-
Pizzi MID194
-
A Tsoungui DEF17
5
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1721
2
-
J Orellana MID161
2
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
G Costa DEF11
1
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
Xeka  MID5
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271377
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaV. FroholdtJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK27
2
-
V. Froholdt MID2747
2
-
J Bednarek DEF261
7
-
G Veiga MID2526
4
-
B Sainz FWD2552
5
-
A Varela MID242
6
-
Pepê FWD2424
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2381
4
1
A Baio DEF226
5
-
D Gül FWD222
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2111
-
J Kiwior DEF201
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
P Rosario MID1921
6
-
F Moura DEF1822
3
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF171
3
1
Zaidu  DEF1311
1
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-