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FC Porto v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 27th Feb, 18:45 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Vasco César Freire De Seabra leads his Arouca side to the Estádio do Dragão in the Liga NOS on Friday evening, with Francesco Farioli's FC Porto the opponent. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a smart selection is shown below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
63%
--
Draw
21%
--
Arouca
16%
--
Porto 1-0
11%
--
Porto 2-0
11%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Porto 2-1
10%
--
Porto 3-0
7%
--
Porto 3-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Arouca 1-0
5%
--
Arouca 2-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Porto 4-0
4%
--
Porto 4-1
3%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
Arouca 2-0
2%
--
Porto 4-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
15%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
84%
--
Away/draw
37%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
31%
--
Porto win to nil
35%
--
Arouca win to nil
8%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 16 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 10 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Arouca are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 36 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2219213659 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
Feb 27
2
S. Lisbon2217414455 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
3
Benfica2215703352 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
4
Gil Vicente2211741540 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
May 10
5
Braga2211652539 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
6
Moreirense221039-133 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
7
Famalicao22958632 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
8
V. Guimaraes22949-631 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
9
Estoril22868530 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
10
Alverca227411-1525 
May 3
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
11
Estrela Amadora22589-1323 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
12
Arouca226511-2123 
Feb 27
w
 
0-4F
-
-
13
Casa Pia225710-1622 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
14
Nacional225611-421 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
15
Rio Ave224810-2020 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
16
Santa Clara224513-1117 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela223613-2115 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
May 17
l
 
3-1F
18
AVS221516-368 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Porto have beaten Arouca in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Porto have not lost to Arouca in 5 consecutive home league meetings
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Arouca
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Arouca
Goals: Scored
17
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
PTO
4
D
1
ARO
1
League games at Arouca since 2015
Arouca
Porto
Goals: Scored
4
18
Games: Scored
2 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
5 / 7
PTO
6
ARO
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for FC Porto in their meeting with Arouca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 25 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

Porto 1st Arouca 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Arouca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+26
Arouca have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
2
0.9
Attack rating
36%
better
PTO
ARO
view stats
Games scored21
15
Failed to score1
7
Scored first19
10
Goals scored43
28
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
72%
better
PTO
ARO
view stats
Games conceded6
18
Clean sheets16
4
Conceded first2
11
Goals conceded7
49
Avg. goals conceded0.3
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
4
Conversion rate against5%
23%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+72%

Porto v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221367
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK22
1
-
V. Froholdt MID2223
2
-
J Bednarek DEF211
7
-
B Sainz FWD2152
5
-
G Veiga MID2015
3
-
A Varela MID202
4
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
A Baio DEF196
3
-
Pepê FWD1924
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1811
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD185
3
1
F Moura DEF1722
4
-
D Gül FWD172
1
-
J Kiwior DEF161
1
-
P Rosario MID1521
5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF141
2
1
Zaidu  DEF911
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21738
N Djouahra A TrezzaA TrezzaT Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD2273
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD2252
2
-
T Fukui MID2122
2
1
T Esgaio DEF2012
8
-
H. Lee MID2042
3
-
Barbero FWD2051
2
-
M Puche FWD201
3
-
J Fontán DEF1913
5
3
P Gozálbez MID16
1
-
E. van Ee MID1511
4
-
B Mansilla FWD151
1
-
B Popovic DEF141
2
-
D Nandin FWD14
1
1
A Dante DEF13
-
B Pinto MID12
3
-
A Solà DEF101
1
-
P Santos MID10
2
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
1
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
M. Flores Lozano MID5
1
-
D Monteiro DEF2
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-