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Sporting Lisbon v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 27th Feb, 20:45 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Ian Cathro pays counterpart Rui Manuel Gomes Borges a visit on Friday night in the Liga NOS, as their Estoril and Sporting Lisbon charges face each other at the Estádio José Alvalade. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
63%
--
Draw
19%
--
Estoril
18%
--
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
--
S. Lisbon 2-0
8%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
--
S. Lisbon 1-0
7%
--
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
--
S. Lisbon 3-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Estoril 2-1
5%
--
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
--
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
--
S. Lisbon 4-0
4%
--
Estoril 1-0
4%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
S. Lisbon 4-2
2%
--
Estoril 2-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
34%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
37%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
31%
--
S. Lisbon win to nil
29%
--
Estoril win to nil
7%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 20 games against teams below them in the league and kept 11 clean sheets out of 20 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 43 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 33 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Estoril are in 9th position in the Liga NOS on 30 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Estoril have conceded 19 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2219213659 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2217414455 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 27
3
Benfica2215703352 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
May 17
l
 
3-1A
4
Gil Vicente2211741540 
May 17
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
5
Braga2211652539 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
w
 
1-0F
May 3
6
Moreirense221039-133 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 21
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
7
Famalicao22958632 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
8
V. Guimaraes22949-631 
May 3
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
9
Estoril22868530 
Feb 27
w
 
0-1F
-
-
10
Alverca227411-1525 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
w
 
4-1F
May 10
11
Estrela Amadora22589-1323 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
12
Arouca226511-2123 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
13
Casa Pia225710-1622 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
14
Nacional225611-421 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
15
Rio Ave224810-2020 
w
 
4-0F
May 10
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
16
Santa Clara224513-1117 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
17
Tondela223613-2115 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
18
AVS221516-368 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
S. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Nacional
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS3 - 0Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Famalicao4 - 0Estoril
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Famalicao3 - 0Estoril
AVS0 - 3Estoril
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 3Estoril
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril0 - 3AVS
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
S. Lisbon have beaten Estoril in 9 consecutive league meetings
9
S. Lisbon have not lost to Estoril in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at S. Lisbon since 2015
S. Lisbon
Estoril
Goals: Scored
20
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
SCL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon3 - 1
S. Lisbon5 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 1
S. Lisbon4 - 2
S. Lisbon1 - 0
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
3
12
Games: Scored
2 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
6 / 8
SCL
7
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
0 - 1S. Lisbon
0 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
0 - 2S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril2 - 0
0 - 2S. Lisbon
1 - 2S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

Estoril have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games. This run could continue, with Sporting Lisbon's PG an impressive 2.3.

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is to be admired, R. Gomes Borges's men having conceded 1 or less in 17 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

S. Lisbon 2nd Estoril 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
S. Lisbon have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+51
Estoril have scored 51% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
2.3
1.1
Attack rating
30%
better
SCL
EST
view stats
Games scored22
16
Failed to score0
6
Scored first17
10
Goals scored56
43
Avg. goals scored2.5
2
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for18
21
Avg. XG for2.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
53%
better
SCL
EST
view stats
Games conceded11
19
Clean sheets11
3
Conceded first5
12
Goals conceded12
38
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
5
Conversion rate against10%
18%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+53%

S. Lisbon v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211988
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Trincão MID2248
-
G Inácio DEF213
3
1
L Suárez FWD21194
5
-
R Silva GLK20
1
-
H Morita MID191
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1922
7
-
I Fresneda DEF181
5
-
M Vilches DEF1842
7
1
A Santos FWD182
-
G Catamo  MID1743
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD17105
5
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID141
2
-
G Vagiannidis DEF133
3
-
G. Quenda FWD1314
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
R Mangas DEF1121
3
-
Z Debast DEF10
2
-
M Reis DEF92
2
O Diomande DEF9
2
-
E Quaresma DEF711
1
-
D Bragança  MID32
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221585
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Holsgrove
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK22
2
-
F Bacher DEF22
2
-
J Carvalho MID2268
4
-
Y Begraoui FWD22151
1
-
J Holsgrove MID2115
5
-
K Boma DEF191
5
-
R Guitane FWD1935
2
-
P Amaral DEF182
3
-
Ferro DEF171
2
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF162
4
-
A Marqués FWD164
1
-
R Sánchez DEF1523
5
-
Pizzi MID154
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
A Tsoungui DEF12
4
-
J Orellana MID111
2
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
G Costa DEF8
1
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
Xeka  MID2
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-