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Vitoria Guimaraes v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 20:30 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes and Alverca take on one another at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Saturday night, with both Luís Miguel Correia Pinto and Custódio André Gune hoping for success in the Liga NOS. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
50%
--
Draw
24%
--
Alverca
25%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
--
Alverca 1-0
7%
--
Alverca 2-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
--
Alverca 2-0
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
--
Alverca 3-1
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
--
Alverca 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
27%
--
Alverca win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 25 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Alverca are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 25 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Alverca have conceded 28 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2219213659 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
May 3
2
S. Lisbon2217414455 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica2215703352 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
4
Gil Vicente2211741540 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
5
Braga2211652539 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
6
Moreirense221039-133 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
7
Famalicao22958632 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 17
8
V. Guimaraes22949-631 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
9
Estoril22868530 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
May 10
l
 
4-1A
10
Alverca227411-1525 
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
-
-
11
Estrela Amadora22589-1323 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Arouca226511-2123 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
13
Casa Pia225710-1622 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
14
Nacional225611-421 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
15
Rio Ave224810-2020 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
16
Santa Clara224513-1117 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
17
Tondela223613-2115 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
18
AVS221516-368 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
5
Alverca have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
V. Guimaraes 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
Alverca 10TH
11 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
8 / 11
Conceded
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
Failed to score
3 / 11
W
2
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela1 - 1Alverca
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca1 - 1Tondela
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Alverca on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Alverca makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 8th Alverca 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
GUI
3%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score8
6
Scored first9
8
Goals scored25
22
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
17%
better
GUI
view stats
Games conceded15
17
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first11
14
Goals conceded31
37
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

V. Guimaraes v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21426
R AbascalO. CamaraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Abascal DEF2112
4
-
J Mendes DEF191
6
-
N Oliveira FWD193
3
1
Maga DEF18
5
-
Beni MID181
6
-
A Ndoye FWD182
2
-
T Arcanjo FWD181
1
2
O. Camara FWD1841
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID172
2
-
Samu MID1732
3
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
M Nóbrega DEF121
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID1211
2
-
O Lebedenko DEF11
1
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
G Nogueira MID112
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1111
1
-
T Strata DEF101
1
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
Charles GLK7
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF21
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21635
K NavesM MilovanovicZoubdiZoubdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF2213
5
-
K Naves DEF21
4
1
M Milovanovic FWD2161
3
-
A Gomes GLK20
4
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF20
4
1
C. Nuozzi FWD201
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF19
3
-
A Filho MID192
3
-
D. Gui MID1911
3
-
S Gómez DEF18
1
-
Lincoln MID1823
5
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
L Figueiredo FWD1521
2
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF10
1
-
I. James DEF91
2
-
Chiquinho FWD91
3
-
S Baseya DEF6
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
M Mendes GLK2
1
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
S Lima FWD1
-