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Atletico de Madrid v Manchester United : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 13th Oct, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Manchester United, led by manager Michael Carrick, visit Diego Pablo Simeone and his Atletico de Madrid side at the Wanda Metropolitano on Tuesday night in the Champions League. Stats drive the predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Diego Pablo Simeone prepares his side for kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Stats imply both teams have the weapons to deliver up top, and have had few problems in finding the back of the net of late. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the match, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
51%
10/11
13%
-
Draw
22%
14/5
6%
-
Man Utd
27%
27/10
23%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
13/2
7%
-
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1-
Man Utd 2-1
7%
12/1
18%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
8%
-
A.Madrid 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
-
A.Madrid 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
-
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
Man Utd 1-0
5%
16/1
31%
-
A.Madrid 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
-
A.Madrid 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Man Utd 2-0
3%
22/1
35%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
27%
-
Man Utd 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
-
Man Utd 3-2
3%
25/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
22/1
32%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
8/15
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
6/4
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
7%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
66%
4/9
6%
-
BTTS - No
34%
13/8
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
21/10
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
73%
2/7
5%
-
Away/draw
49%
5/6
10%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/5
16%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/6
11%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
3/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/4
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/1
22%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/10
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
13%
-
Home DNB
66%
2/5
14%
-
Away DNB
43%
7/4
25%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
21%
10/3-
Man Utd win to nil
10%
8/1
50%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
28%
2/1
14%
-
A.Madrid / Man Utd
3%
25/1-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / A.Madrid
15%
9/2
8%
-
Draw / Man Utd
10%
15/2
21%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
17%
-
Man Utd / A.Madrid
4%
18/1
10%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
15%
9/2
16%
-
Man Utd / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 25TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 1Arsenal
A.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
A.Madrid5 - 2Spurs
A.Madrid4 - 1Brugge
A.Madrid1 - 2Bodø
A.Madrid2 - 1Inter
A.Madrid3 - 1Union SG
A.Madrid5 - 1E.Frankfurt
A.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
A.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
A.Madrid1 - 3Lille
A.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
A.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
A.Madrid2 - 1Inter
A.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
A.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
A.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
A.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
A.Madrid0 - 0Brugge
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid1 - 2Liverpool
AA.Madrid0 - 1Arsenal
HA.Madrid1 - 1Arsenal
HA.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 0Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 3Spurs
HA.Madrid5 - 2Spurs
HA.Madrid4 - 1Brugge
AA.Madrid3 - 3Brugge
HA.Madrid1 - 2Bodø
AA.Madrid1 - 1Galatasaray
AA.Madrid3 - 2PSV
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid3 - 1Union SG
AA.Madrid0 - 4Arsenal
HA.Madrid5 - 1E.Frankfurt
AA.Madrid2 - 3Liverpool
HA.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 2Real Madrid
AA.Madrid4 - 1Salzburg
Man Utd 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs1 - 0Man Utd
A.Bilbao0 - 3Man Utd
Lyon2 - 2Man Utd
R.Sociedad1 - 1Man Utd
FCSB0 - 2Man Utd
Plzen1 - 2Man Utd
Fenerbahce1 - 1Man Utd
Porto3 - 3Man Utd
Galatasaray3 - 3Man Utd
Kobenhavn4 - 3Man Utd
Bayern4 - 3Man Utd
Sevilla3 - 0Man Utd
Real Betis0 - 1Man Utd
Barcelona2 - 2Man Utd
R.Sociedad0 - 1Man Utd
Omnia Nicosia2 - 3Man Utd
Sheriff0 - 2Man Utd
A.Madrid1 - 1Man Utd
Villarreal0 - 2Man Utd
Atalanta2 - 2Man Utd
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd4 - 0Sabah
AMan Utd0 - 1Spurs
HMan Utd4 - 1A.Bilbao
AMan Utd3 - 0A.Bilbao
HMan Utd2 - 2Lyon
AMan Utd2 - 2Lyon
HMan Utd4 - 1R.Sociedad
AMan Utd1 - 1R.Sociedad
AMan Utd2 - 0FCSB
HMan Utd2 - 1Rangers
AMan Utd2 - 1Plzen
HMan Utd3 - 2Bodø
HMan Utd2 - 0PAOK
AMan Utd1 - 1Fenerbahce
AMan Utd3 - 3Porto
HMan Utd1 - 1Twente
HMan Utd0 - 1Bayern
AMan Utd3 - 3Galatasaray
AMan Utd3 - 4Kobenhavn
HMan Utd1 - 0Kobenhavn
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

A.Madrid 25th Man Utd 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
A.Madrid have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+16
Man Utd have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
2
1.4
Attack rating
ATM
MNU
3%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score3
3
Scored first12
13
Goals scored34
37
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.9
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
ATM
MNU
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded28
25
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Madrid v Man Utd will show here when available.

A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
J OblakM LlorenteJ ÁlvarezM Pubill
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK1
-
M Pubill DEF1
1
-
C Romero DEF1
-
D Hancko DEF1
-
M Llorente DEF11
-
A Grimaldo MID1
-
G Simeone MID1
-
Johnny MID
-
Álex Baena MID1
-
K Lee MID1
-
J Álvarez FWD11
-
Man Utd Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1110
S LammensL Martínez Y Tielemans
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lammens GLK1
-
D Dalot DEF
-
L Yoro DEF1
-
L Martínez  DEF11
-
L Shaw DEF
-
Y Tielemans MID11
-
K Mainoo MID1
-
A Diallo MID
-
B Fernandes MID11
-
M Cunha FWD11
-
B Mbeumo FWD11
-