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Roma v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho takes his Real Madrid side to the Stadio Olimpico in the Champions League on Wednesday night, with Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma waiting for them. Stats for our tip of over 2.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Roma's next match is v Genoa at 19:45 on Saturday 17th October
Real Madrid's next match is v Sevilla at 20:00 on Sunday 18th October
The last European Champions League meeting between Roma and Real Madrid was on Wednesday 14th October 2026
European Champions League
October 14th 2026
Roma 3
4 Real Madrid
 
M. de Roon 20'25' K. Mbappé
D. Malen 51'83' C. Espí Escrihuela
D. Malen 57'85' E. Moreira de Sousa
90' A. Rüdiger
 
RMA
RMD
Shots On
7
8
Shots Off
4
8
Corners
5
9
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
15
8
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
RomaReal Madrid
 
P. Gollini
O. N'Dicka
N. Molina Lucero
M. de Roonfootball icon
K. Kone (N. Pisilli 17')
D. Malenfootball iconfootball icon
M. Malvano (L. Pellegrini 63')
P. Exequiel Dybala (R. Mora Carvalho 46')
M. Hermoso Canseco (K. Koulierakis 81')
G. Mancini (L. Balerdi Rossa 63')
W. França Lima
T. Courtois
I. Konaté
(A. Carreras 78') M. Cucurella
J. Bellingham
F. Valverde Dipetta
(B. Silva 70') A. Tchouaméni
(E. Moreira de Sousa 59') V. Júnior
football iconK. Mbappé
football iconA. Rüdiger
(A. Guler 59') D. Dumfries
(C. Espí Escrihuela 78') Y. Diomande

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Gian Piero Gasperini prepares his side for kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Stats imply both clubs have the weapons to deliver up top, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the fixture, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
27%
13/5
10%
-
Draw
21%
29/10
5%
-
Real Madrid
51%
10/11
3%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1-
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
10%
-
Roma 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid 2-0
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
5%
16/1-
Roma 1-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
18/1-
Roma 3-2
3%
22/1-
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Roma 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Roma 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
9%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
4/9
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
7/4
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/5-
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/6
3%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
67%
4/9
6%
-
BTTS - No
33%
13/8
12%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
31%
21/10
8%
-
Home/draw
49%
5/6
4%
-
Away/draw
73%
2/7
6%
-
Home/away
79%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/8
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
11/10
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
8/11
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
5/2
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
3/10
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
5/1
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/8
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
26%
-
Home DNB
42%
13/8
12%
-
Away DNB
66%
4/9
6%
-
Roma win to nil
10%
8/1
10%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
20%
10/3-
Roma / Roma
15%
9/2
8%
-
Roma / Real Madrid
4%
18/1
12%
-
Roma / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Roma
10%
15/2
11%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
7%
-
Real Madrid / Roma
3%
25/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
29%
2/1
9%
-
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Roma 25TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma3 - 3Bologna
Roma2 - 0Stuttgart
Roma2 - 1Midtjylland
Roma1 - 2Plzen
Roma0 - 1Lille
Roma2 - 1A.Bilbao
Roma3 - 2Porto
Roma2 - 0E.Frankfurt
Roma3 - 0Braga
Roma1 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Roma1 - 1A.Bilbao
Roma0 - 2Leverkusen
Roma2 - 1Milan
Roma4 - 0Brighton
Roma1 - 1Feyenoord
Roma3 - 0Sheriff
Roma2 - 0Slavia
Roma4 - 0Servette
Roma1 - 0Leverkusen
Roma2 - 1Feyenoord
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARoma1 - 1Fenerbahce
HRoma3 - 3Bologna
ARoma1 - 1Bologna
ARoma1 - 1Panathinaikos
HRoma2 - 0Stuttgart
ARoma3 - 0Celtic
HRoma2 - 1Midtjylland
ARoma2 - 0Rangers
HRoma1 - 2Plzen
HRoma0 - 1Lille
ARoma2 - 1Nice
ARoma1 - 3A.Bilbao
HRoma2 - 1A.Bilbao
HRoma3 - 2Porto
ARoma1 - 1Porto
HRoma2 - 0E.Frankfurt
ARoma0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HRoma3 - 0Braga
ARoma2 - 2Spurs
ARoma1 - 1Union SG
Real Madrid 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern4 - 3Real Madrid
Man City1 - 2Real Madrid
Benfica0 - 1Real Madrid
Benfica4 - 2Real Madrid
Olympiakos3 - 4Real Madrid
Liverpool1 - 0Real Madrid
Kairat Almaty0 - 5Real Madrid
Arsenal3 - 0Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
Man City2 - 3Real Madrid
Brest0 - 3Real Madrid
Atalanta2 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
Dortmund0 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Man City1 - 1Real Madrid
RB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
Braga1 - 2Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 1Inter
AReal Madrid3 - 4Bayern
HReal Madrid1 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 0Man City
HReal Madrid2 - 1Benfica
AReal Madrid1 - 0Benfica
AReal Madrid2 - 4Benfica
HReal Madrid6 - 1Monaco
HReal Madrid1 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid4 - 3Olympiakos
AReal Madrid0 - 1Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 0Juventus
AReal Madrid5 - 0Kairat Almaty
HReal Madrid2 - 1Marseille
HReal Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 3Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Roma since 2004
Roma
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
8
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
RMA
1
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
0 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
Roma2 - 1
0 - 3Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2004
Real Madrid
Roma
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
RMA
1
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
1 - 2Roma
Real Madrid4 - 2
Goal Statistics

Roma have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Real Madrid on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Real Madrid in their meeting with Roma, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 69 consecutive Champions League games.

Roma 25th Real Madrid 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Roma have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.5
2.1
Attack rating
10%
better
RMA
RMD
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score1
2
Scored first13
15
Goals scored41
39
Avg. goals scored2.1
2
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
15%
better
RMA
RMD
view stats
Games conceded10
15
Clean sheets10
5
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded20
24
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Roma v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Roma Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
G ManciniD MalenM MalvanoG Mancini
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gollini GLK1
-
G Mancini DEF2
1
-
E Ndicka DEF2
-
M Hermoso DEF2
-
N Molina MID2
-
M Roon MID21
-
M Koné MID2
-
Wesley MID2
1
-
P Dybala FWD2
-
M Malvano FWD22
-
D Malen FWD221
-
Subs
D Vásquez GLK
-
G. De Marzi GLK
-
L Balerdi DEF2
-
E. Lulli DEF
-
D Ghilardi DEF
-
D Rensch DEF1
1
-
K Koulierakis DEF1
-
L Pellegrini MID1
1
-
N Pisilli MID2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID21
-
S Castro FWD
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerD. Huijsen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK2
-
D Dumfries DEF2
-
I Konaté DEF2
-
A Rüdiger DEF11
-
M Cucurella  DEF2
-
F Valverde MID21
-
A Tchouameni MID2
-
Y. Diomande MID21
-
J Bellingham MID2
-
V Junior MID2
-
K Mbappé FWD22
-
Subs
A Lunin GLK
-
S Mestre GLK
-
D. Huijsen DEF1
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF1
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2
1
-
A Güler MID12
-
B Silva MID1
-
E Camavinga MID
-
B Díaz MID11
-
T. Pitarch Pinar MID
-
Endrick FWD111
-
C. Espí Escrihuela FWD21
-