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Roma v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 14th Oct, 20:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Wednesday night sees Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma and José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho’s Real Madrid go head to head in a Champions League clash at the Stadio Olimpico. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Champions League clash.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Gian Piero Gasperini prepares his side for kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Stats imply both clubs have the weapons to deliver up top, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the fixture, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
27%
3.75
6%
-
Draw
21%
4.00
8%
-
Real Madrid
52%
1.85-
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
9.00
5%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
8.50
6%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11.00
10%
-
Roma 2-1
6%
13.00
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
13.00-
Real Madrid 2-0
6%
13.00-
Real Madrid 1-0
6%
13.00
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
5%
17.00-
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
19.00-
Roma 1-0
4%
19.00
10%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
23.00
10%
-
Roma 3-2
3%
23.00-
Roma 3-1
3%
26.00-
Roma 2-0
3%
23.00
21%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00
9%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
1.44
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
2.75
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.20-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.62-
No 1st Goal
1%
21.00
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
68%
1.40
3%
-
BTTS - No
32%
2.75
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.50-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.33
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
32%
3.00
4%
-
Home/draw
48%
1.91-
Away/draw
73%
1.25
2%
-
Home/away
79%
1.22
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1.13
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
6.00
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
2.00
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
1.80
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
3.40
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
1.33
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
6.00
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1.13
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
21.00
9%
-
Home DNB
42%
2.75
8%
-
Away DNB
67%
1.40
3%
-
Roma win to nil
10%
9.00
10%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
20%
4.33-
Roma / Roma
15%
5.50
8%
-
Roma / Real Madrid
4%
19.00
12%
-
Roma / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Roma
9%
9.00
5%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
15%
5.50-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
7%
-
Real Madrid / Roma
3%
26.00-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
29%
2.88
5%
-
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
13.00-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Roma have drawn 4 consecutive european games
Roma 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma3 - 3Bologna
Roma2 - 0Stuttgart
Roma2 - 1Midtjylland
Roma1 - 2Plzen
Roma0 - 1Lille
Roma2 - 1A.Bilbao
Roma3 - 2Porto
Roma2 - 0E.Frankfurt
Roma3 - 0Braga
Roma1 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Roma1 - 1A.Bilbao
Roma0 - 2Leverkusen
Roma2 - 1Milan
Roma4 - 0Brighton
Roma1 - 1Feyenoord
Roma3 - 0Sheriff
Roma2 - 0Slavia
Roma4 - 0Servette
Roma1 - 0Leverkusen
Roma2 - 1Feyenoord
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARoma1 - 1Fenerbahce
HRoma3 - 3Bologna
ARoma1 - 1Bologna
ARoma1 - 1Panathinaikos
HRoma2 - 0Stuttgart
ARoma3 - 0Celtic
HRoma2 - 1Midtjylland
ARoma2 - 0Rangers
HRoma1 - 2Plzen
HRoma0 - 1Lille
ARoma2 - 1Nice
ARoma1 - 3A.Bilbao
HRoma2 - 1A.Bilbao
HRoma3 - 2Porto
ARoma1 - 1Porto
HRoma2 - 0E.Frankfurt
ARoma0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HRoma3 - 0Braga
ARoma2 - 2Spurs
ARoma1 - 1Union SG
Real Madrid 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern4 - 3Real Madrid
Man City1 - 2Real Madrid
Benfica0 - 1Real Madrid
Benfica4 - 2Real Madrid
Olympiakos3 - 4Real Madrid
Liverpool1 - 0Real Madrid
Kairat Almaty0 - 5Real Madrid
Arsenal3 - 0Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
Man City2 - 3Real Madrid
Brest0 - 3Real Madrid
Atalanta2 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
Dortmund0 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Man City1 - 1Real Madrid
RB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
Braga1 - 2Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 1Inter
AReal Madrid3 - 4Bayern
HReal Madrid1 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 0Man City
HReal Madrid2 - 1Benfica
AReal Madrid1 - 0Benfica
AReal Madrid2 - 4Benfica
HReal Madrid6 - 1Monaco
HReal Madrid1 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid4 - 3Olympiakos
AReal Madrid0 - 1Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 0Juventus
AReal Madrid5 - 0Kairat Almaty
HReal Madrid2 - 1Marseille
HReal Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 3Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Roma since 2004
Roma
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
8
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
RMA
1
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
0 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
Roma2 - 1
0 - 3Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2004
Real Madrid
Roma
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
RMA
1
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
1 - 2Roma
Real Madrid4 - 2
Goal Statistics

Roma have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Real Madrid on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Real Madrid in their meeting with Roma, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 69 consecutive Champions League matches.

Roma 17th Real Madrid 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Roma have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.5
2.1
Attack rating
17%
better
RMA
RMD
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score0
2
Scored first13
15
Goals scored41
39
Avg. goals scored2.1
2
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
13%
better
RMA
RMD
view stats
Games conceded10
15
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded20
24
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Roma v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Roma Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1011
G ManciniD MalenD Rensch
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gollini GLK
-
G Mancini DEF1
-
E Ndicka DEF1
-
M Hermoso DEF1
-
D Rensch MID1
1
-
M Roon MID1
-
M Koné MID1
-
Wesley MID1
-
P Dybala FWD1
-
M Malvano FWD1
-
D Malen FWD11
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1101
T CourtoisF ValverdeD. Huijsen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK1
-
A Rüdiger DEF
-
D. Huijsen DEF1
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF1
-
D Dumfries MID1
-
A Tchouameni MID1
-
F Valverde MID11
-
A Güler MID
-
J Bellingham MID1
-
V Junior FWD1
-
K Mbappé FWD11
-