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Manchester City v Paris Saint-Germain : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 14th Oct, 20:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

The Champions League is the focus for both Manchester City and Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday night, as managers Enzo Maresca and Luis Enrique Martínez García face one another at the Etihad Stadium. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Champions League fixture, with Man City and PSG going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Forwards at both clubs will look to take advantage of an open match and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Man City 45%	23/20 7%	-
Draw 22%	29/10 4%	-
PSG 33%	2/1 9%	-
Draw 1-1 9%	7/1 6%	-
Man City 2-1 9%	17/2 5%	-
PSG 2-1 7%	11/1 9%	-
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1 10%	-
Man City 1-0 6%	12/1 13%	-
Man City 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Man City 2-0 5%	14/1 12%	-
PSG 1-0 5%	16/1	-
Man City 3-2 4%	18/1	-
PSG 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	-
PSG 2-0 4%	20/1 11%	-
PSG 3-2 4%	20/1 11%	-
Man City 3-0 3%	20/1 19%	-
Draw 0-0 3%	20/1 9%	-
Man City 4-1 3%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 69%	4/9 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 31%	7/4 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	21/20 7%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	20/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 68%	2/5 3%	-
BTTS - No 32%	7/4 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	9/4 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	7/2 13%	-
Home/draw 67%	4/11 3%	-
Away/draw 55%	4/6 6%	-
Home/away 78%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/7 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	9/2 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	11/10 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	8/11 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	5/2 3%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	3/10 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	5/1 9%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1/8 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/50 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	20/1 9%	-
Home DNB 60%	4/7 9%	-
Away DNB 48%	5/4 13%	-
Man City win to nil 17%	4/1 17%	-
PSG win to nil 12%	6/1	-
Man City / Man City 26%	9/4 10%	-
Man City / PSG 4%	22/1 10%	-
Man City / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Man City 14%	5/1 8%	-
Draw / PSG 11%	13/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	-
PSG / Man City 4%	20/1	-
PSG / PSG 17%	15/4 19%	-
PSG / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City	1 - 2	Real Madrid
Man City	2 - 0	Galatasaray
Man City	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Man City	4 - 1	Dortmund
Man City	2 - 0	Napoli
Man City	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Man City	3 - 1	Brugge
Man City	3 - 3	Feyenoord
Man City	5 - 0	Sparta
Man City	0 - 0	Inter
Man City	1 - 1	Real Madrid
Man City	3 - 1	Kobenhavn
Man City	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
Man City	3 - 0	Young Boys
Man City	3 - 1	Red Star Bel.
Man City	1 - 0	Inter
Man City	4 - 0	Real Madrid
Man City	3 - 0	Bayern
Man City	7 - 0	RB Leipzig
Man City	3 - 1	Sevilla

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Man City	2 - 0	Porto
H	Man City	1 - 2	Real Madrid
A	Man City	0 - 3	Real Madrid
H	Man City	2 - 0	Galatasaray
A	Man City	1 - 3	Bodø
A	Man City	2 - 1	Real Madrid
H	Man City	0 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Man City	4 - 1	Dortmund
A	Man City	2 - 0	Villarreal
A	Man City	2 - 2	Monaco
H	Man City	2 - 0	Napoli
A	Man City	1 - 3	Real Madrid
H	Man City	2 - 3	Real Madrid
H	Man City	3 - 1	Brugge
A	Man City	2 - 4	PSG
A	Man City	0 - 2	Juventus
H	Man City	3 - 3	Feyenoord
A	Man City	1 - 4	S. Lisbon
H	Man City	5 - 0	Sparta
A	Man City	4 - 0	S. Bratislava

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern	1 - 1	PSG
Liverpool	0 - 2	PSG
Chelsea	0 - 3	PSG
Monaco	2 - 3	PSG
S. Lisbon	2 - 1	PSG
A.Bilbao	0 - 0	PSG
Leverkusen	2 - 7	PSG
Barcelona	1 - 2	PSG
Arsenal	0 - 1	PSG
A Villa	3 - 2	PSG
Liverpool	0 - 1	PSG
Brest	0 - 3	PSG
Stuttgart	1 - 4	PSG
Salzburg	0 - 3	PSG
Bayern	1 - 0	PSG
Arsenal	2 - 0	PSG
Dortmund	1 - 0	PSG
Barcelona	1 - 4	PSG
R.Sociedad	1 - 2	PSG
Dortmund	1 - 1	PSG

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	PSG	6 - 1	S. Bratislava
H	PSG	1 - 1	Arsenal
A	PSG	1 - 1	Bayern
H	PSG	5 - 4	Bayern
A	PSG	2 - 0	Liverpool
H	PSG	2 - 0	Liverpool
A	PSG	3 - 0	Chelsea
H	PSG	5 - 2	Chelsea
H	PSG	2 - 2	Monaco
A	PSG	3 - 2	Monaco
H	PSG	1 - 1	Newcastle
A	PSG	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	PSG	0 - 0	A.Bilbao
H	PSG	5 - 3	Spurs
H	PSG	1 - 2	Bayern
A	PSG	7 - 2	Leverkusen
A	PSG	2 - 1	Barcelona
H	PSG	4 - 0	Atalanta
H	PSG	5 - 0	Inter
H	PSG	2 - 1	Arsenal

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Man City

PSG

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

1 / 4

MCI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City	2 - 1
Man City	2 - 0
Man City	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

PSG

Man City

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

0 / 4

MCI

PSG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG	4 - 2
PSG	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Man City
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Manchester City have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 21 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Man City 8th	PSG 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+4 Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+13 PSG have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	2.7 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season

better

MCI

PSG

view stats

Games scored	19		20
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	16		15
Goals scored	46		44
Avg. goals scored	2.3		2.2
Avg. shots per game	11		14
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	21		16
Avg. XG for	2		2.1
KickOff rating		+4%

32%

better

MCI

PSG

view stats

Games conceded	8		13
Clean sheets	11		7
Conceded first	3		5
Goals conceded	13		22
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+32%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Man City v PSG will show here when available.

Man City Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	2	1	1
G Donnarumma	E Haaland	E Fernández	G Donnarumma

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Donnarumma GLK	1			1 -
M Nunes DEF	1			-
M Guéhi DEF	1			-
R Dias DEF	1			-
J Gvardiol DEF	1			1 -
A. Bouaddi MID	1			-
E Fernández MID	1		1	-
P Foden MID	1			-
R Cherki MID	1			-
A Semenyo MID	1			-
E Haaland FWD	1	2		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	1
E Haaland	E Haaland	E Fernández	M Nunes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Haaland FWD	2	4
M Nunes DEF				1
E Fernández MID		1	1	1
P Foden MID		1		1
R Cherki MID		1
A Semenyo MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
88	3	6
R Dias	A. Bouaddi	J Gvardiol

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Dias DEF	88	1	2
E Fernández MID	83	1	6
M Guéhi DEF	78	1	4
A. Bouaddi MID	55	3	6
M Nunes DEF	51		2
R Cherki MID	50	1	3
P Foden MID	43	1	1
J Gvardiol DEF	42	1	6
G Donnarumma GLK	38
A Semenyo MID	24	3	4
E Haaland FWD	14		3

PSG Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	2	2	0
M Safonov	O Dembélé	O Dembélé

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Safonov GLK	1			-
A Hakimi DEF	1			-
Marquinhos DEF				-
W Pacho DEF	1			-
N Mendes DEF	1		1	-
J Neves MID				-
Vitinha MID	1			-
F Ruiz MID	1	1		-
D Doué FWD				-
O Dembélé FWD	1	2	2	-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD				-