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Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 14th Oct, 20:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Champions League, and Arda Turan’s Shakhtar Donetsk will have the joy of it on Wednesday night. Marko Nikolić’s AEK Athens are their opponents at the Stamford Bridge. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% probability of Shakhtar and AEK scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this Champions League match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Shakhtar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Shakhtar
37%
2.60
21%
-
Draw
25%
3.50
3%
-
AEK
37%
2.60
21%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
AEK 1-0
8%
9.50
21%
-
Shakhtar 1-0
8%
9.50
6%
-
AEK 2-1
8%
10.00
17%
-
Shakhtar 2-1
8%
10.00
11%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00-
AEK 2-0
6%
13.00
32%
-
Shakhtar 2-0
6%
13.00
18%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
8%
-
AEK 3-1
4%
21.00
19%
-
Shakhtar 3-1
4%
21.00
24%
-
AEK 3-0
3%
26.00
24%
-
Shakhtar 3-0
3%
26.00
24%
-
AEK 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
-
Shakhtar 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.91
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.91
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.95
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.95
11%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.67-
BTTS - No
43%
2.10-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4.75
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4.75
21%
-
Home/draw
63%
1.50
13%
-
Away/draw
63%
1.50
10%
-
Home/away
75%
1.29
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.29
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.20
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.36
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.00
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.13
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.04
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
8%
-
Home DNB
55%
1.83
20%
-
Away DNB
55%
1.83
23%
-
Shakhtar win to nil
18%
4.50
13%
-
AEK win to nil
18%
4.50
31%
-
Shakhtar / Shakhtar
20%
4.33
27%
-
Shakhtar / AEK
3%
26.00
10%
-
Shakhtar / Draw
7%
13.00-
Draw / Shakhtar
13%
6.50
18%
-
Draw / AEK
13%
6.50
13%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
AEK / Shakhtar
3%
26.00
13%
-
AEK / AEK
20%
4.33
21%
-
AEK / Draw
7%
13.00
13%
-
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Win / draw / win form
Shakhtar 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shakhtar1 - 3C Palace
Shakhtar3 - 0AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar1 - 2Lech Poznan
Shakhtar0 - 0Rijeka
Shakhtar2 - 0Breiðablik
Shakhtar1 - 2L. Warsaw
Shakhtar1 - 1Servette
Shakhtar0 - 0Panathinaikos
Shakhtar2 - 0Besiktas
Shakhtar6 - 0ILVES
Shakhtar2 - 0Brest
Shakhtar1 - 5Bayern
Shakhtar2 - 1Young Boys
Shakhtar0 - 3Atalanta
Shakhtar2 - 2Marseille
Shakhtar1 - 0Antwerp
Shakhtar1 - 0Barcelona
Shakhtar1 - 3Porto
Shakhtar1 - 1Feyenoord
Shakhtar2 - 1Rennes
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AShakhtar1 - 1PSV
AShakhtar1 - 2C Palace
HShakhtar1 - 3C Palace
AShakhtar2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
HShakhtar3 - 0AZ Alkmaar
HShakhtar1 - 2Lech Poznan
AShakhtar3 - 1Lech Poznan
HShakhtar0 - 0Rijeka
AShakhtar2 - 0Hamrun Spartans
AShakhtar2 - 1Shamrock
HShakhtar2 - 0Breiðablik
HShakhtar1 - 2L. Warsaw
AShakhtar3 - 2Aberdeen
AShakhtar1 - 1Servette
HShakhtar1 - 1Servette
HShakhtar0 - 0Panathinaikos
AShakhtar0 - 0Panathinaikos
HShakhtar2 - 0Besiktas
AShakhtar4 - 2Besiktas
AShakhtar0 - 0ILVES
AEK 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Levski0 - 0AEK
R.Vallecano3 - 0AEK
Celje0 - 4AEK
Samsunspor1 - 2AEK
Fiorentina0 - 1AEK
Celje3 - 1AEK
Anderlecht1 - 1AEK
Aris2 - 2AEK
Beer Sheva0 - 0AEK
Noah3 - 1AEK
Inter Club d'Escaldes0 - 4AEK
Ajax3 - 1AEK
Marseille3 - 1AEK
Brighton2 - 3AEK
Antwerp1 - 0AEK
D. Zagreb1 - 2AEK
Velez2 - 1AEK
Leicester2 - 0AEK
Luhansk1 - 4AEK
Braga3 - 0AEK
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAEK1 - 0LASK Linz
HAEK4 - 0Levski
AAEK0 - 0Levski
HAEK3 - 1R.Vallecano
AAEK0 - 3R.Vallecano
HAEK0 - 2Celje
AAEK4 - 0Celje
HAEK3 - 2Universitatea Craiova
AAEK2 - 1Samsunspor
AAEK1 - 0Fiorentina
HAEK1 - 1Shamrock
HAEK6 - 0Aberdeen
AAEK1 - 3Celje
HAEK2 - 0Anderlecht
AAEK1 - 1Anderlecht
HAEK1 - 1Aris
AAEK2 - 2Aris
AAEK0 - 0Beer Sheva
HAEK1 - 0Beer Sheva
HAEK1 - 0Noah
Goal Statistics

AEK Athens's defensive record is to be admired, M. Nikolić's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Champions League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk makes sense in this context.

Shakhtar 18th AEK 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Shakhtar will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that AEK will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Shakhtar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
AEK’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
Shakhtar
PG (predicted goals)
AEK
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
SDK
AEK
10%
better
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
4
Scored first9
12
Goals scored30
34
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
SDK
AEK
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded20
15
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Shakhtar v AEK will show here when available.

Shakhtar Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
D RiznykG. Mendoza BarriosI. Severino SilvaV Tobías
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Riznyk GLK1
-
V Tobías DEF1
1
-
V Bondar DEF1
1
-
M Matvienko DEF1
-
Pedrinho DEF1
1
-
D Kryskiv MID1
1
-
M Gomes MID1
1
-
O Ocheretko MID1
-
I. Severino Silva MID11
-
L Traoré FWD1
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira FWD1
-
K Nogueira FWD1
-
G. Mendoza Barrios FWD11
1
-
N. Martins da Silva FWD1
-
A Fonseca FWD1
-
AEK Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
F RelvasR MarinF RelvasS Pilios
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Relvas DEF31
-
H Moukoudi DEF3
-
S Pilios DEF3
1
-
L Rota DEF31
-
L Majer MID31
-
M Gacinovic  MID3
-
R Marin MID32
1
-
A Koita FWD3
-
B Varga FWD32
-
L Jović  FWD31
1
-
Zini FWD3
1
-
T Strakosha GLK2
-
K Arriaga MID2
-
P Mantalos MID2
-
K Kairinen MID2
-
O Zubkov FWD2
-
A Brignoli GLK1
-
M. Vitális MID1
-