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Fluminense v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 7th Dec, 19:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Sunday evening at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Fluminense and Bahia. Luis Francisco Zubeldía and Rogério Mücke Ceni going all-out to claim the win. We have the best odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fluminense 62%	-	-
Draw 24%	-	-
Bahia 15%	-	-
Fluminense 1-0 16%	-	-
Fluminense 2-0 13%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Draw 0-0 10%	-	-
Fluminense 2-1 9%	-	-
Fluminense 3-0 8%	-	-
Bahia 1-0 6%	-	-
Fluminense 3-1 5%	-	-
Bahia 2-1 4%	-	-
Fluminense 4-0 3%	-	-
Draw 2-2 3%	-	-
Bahia 2-0 2%	-	-
Fluminense 4-1 2%	-	-
Fluminense 3-2 2%	-	-
Fluminense 5-0 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 59%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 35%	-	-
No 1st Goal 7%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 40%	-	-
BTTS - No 60%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 5%	-	-
Home/draw 85%	-	-
Away/draw 38%	-	-
Home/away 76%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Home DNB 78%	-	-
Away DNB 31%	-	-
Fluminense win to nil 42%	-	-
Bahia win to nil 9%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	S. Recife
Fluminense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Fluminense	1 - 0	Santos
Fluminense	2 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	1 - 0	Cuiaba
Fluminense	0 - 0	Criciuma
Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional	2 - 2	Bahia
A Mineiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Bahia
Vitoria	2 - 1	Bahia
Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Bahia
Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
S. Recife	0 - 0	Bahia
Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	0 - 3	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Bahia
Juventude	2 - 1	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Bahia	2 - 3	Fortaleza
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Bahia	0 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Bahia	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Internacional
H	Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
A	Bahia	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Bahia	1 - 5	Mirassol
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Santos
A	Bahia	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
A	Bahia	0 - 0	S. Recife

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminense have beaten Bahia in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Fluminense have not lost to Bahia in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Fluminense

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

0 / 6

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	2 - 1
Fluminense	2 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Bahia

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

FLU

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Bahia	2 - 1
Bahia	1 - 0
Bahia	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 2
Bahia	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Fluminense's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Bahia have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A games. A PG of 1.7 for L. Zubeldía's side suggests that run should continue.

	Fluminense 7th	Bahia 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ There is a 81% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals	0 51% 1 34% 2 11% 3 4+ There is a 51% probability that Bahia will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Fluminense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-10 Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

FLU

BAH

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		29
Failed to score	10		6
Scored first	19		19
Goals scored	40		47
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+13%

better

FLU

BAH

view stats

Games conceded	21		23
Clean sheets	14		12
Conceded first	13		15
Goals conceded	38		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+6%

Fluminense v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	6	3	9
F Fábio	K Serna	K Serna	J Freytes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	35			2 -
H Hércules MID	31	3	1	1 -
J Freytes DEF	30		1	8 1
Martinelli MID	30	2	2	6 -
K Serna FWD	30	6	3	3 -
A Canobbio FWD	28	2	2	5 -
Lima MID	27	2	1	2 -
S Xavier DEF	26	4	1	4 -
Renê DEF	25	2		3 -
Everaldo FWD	25	2		2 -
T Silva DEF	23	1		1 -
G Cano FWD	22	6		1 -
F Cruz MID	21			7 -
Ignacio DEF	17			2 1
Guga DEF	17	1	1	1 -
Nonato MID	17	1		3 -
Keno FWD	17	1	2	1 -
J Kennedy FWD	15	1	2	1 -
Ganso MID	14			2 -
Y Soteldo FWD	14			-
L Acosta MID	13	3	1	5 -
G Fuentes DEF	11			3 -
T Santos DEF	9			2 -
O Otávio MID	6			-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	6		1	1 -
Manoel DEF	5			-
S Moreno FWD	5			2 -
I Rabello DEF	4			1 1
R Lezcano MID	4			-
J Lavega FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	3	5
K Serna	K Serna	K Serna	Martinelli

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Serna FWD	6	17	3	4
G Cano FWD	6	13		1
S Xavier DEF	4	5	1	1
H Hércules MID	3	9	1
L Acosta MID	3	8	1	4
Martinelli MID	2	5	2	5
A Canobbio FWD	2	12	2	5
Lima MID	2	6	1	3
Renê DEF	2	2		3
Everaldo FWD	2	9		3
T Silva DEF	1	4
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Nonato MID	1	3
Keno FWD	1	6	2	2
J Kennedy FWD	1	8	2	1
J Freytes DEF		5	1	1
F Cruz MID		4		1
Ignacio DEF		3		1
Ganso MID				2
Y Soteldo FWD				2
G Fuentes DEF		3
R. Silva de Almeida FWD		1	1	1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1941	54	142
J Freytes	A Canobbio	A Canobbio

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1941	21	102
Martinelli MID	1419	44	117
T Silva DEF	1414	10	61
S Xavier DEF	1177	38	79
Renê DEF	1144	46	118
H Hércules MID	1016	52	105
F Fábio GLK	634		7
A Canobbio FWD	627	54	142
Ignacio DEF	612	23	68
F Cruz MID	572	27	58
Guga DEF	568	30	64
K Serna FWD	537	35	138
Lima MID	494	16	64
Ganso MID	443	10	34
L Acosta MID	435	14	54
G Fuentes DEF	432	20	49
Nonato MID	386	19	41
G Cano FWD	341	6	43
Everaldo FWD	237	7	83
O Otávio MID	179	5	16
Manoel DEF	178		6
T Santos DEF	136	10	22
Keno FWD	133	9	46
Y Soteldo FWD	130	5	30
J Kennedy FWD	120		22
I Rabello DEF	119	2	8
S Moreno FWD	74	2	6
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	49	9	17
R Lezcano MID	36	1	5
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	11	5	7
J Lucas	W José	W José	S Mingo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Juba DEF	32	5	4	2 -
J Lucas MID	32	3	1	2 2
S Mingo DEF	31			6 1
W José FWD	30	11	5	3 -
N Acevedo MID	29		1	4 -
S Suay MID	28	2	3	4 1
Ademir FWD	27	1	5	7 -
Cauly MID	26	1	3	2 -
Kayky FWD	26	1	2	2 -
Ronaldo GLK	25		1	1 -
D Duarte DEF	25	1	1	4 -
M Araújo FWD	24	4	1	3 -
Gilberto DEF	22	1		6 -
E Pulga FWD	21	3	3	1 -
S Arias DEF	19			3 -
R Nestor MID	19	4		4 -
C Alexandre MID	18		1	4 -
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	18		1	-
Iago DEF	15	1		2 -
Erick MID	14	1		3 -
G Xavier DEF	12			3 -
Rezende MID	11			-
M Sanabria FWD	10	1		2 1
Kanu DEF	5			1
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	25	5	10
W José	W José	W José	S Suay

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W José FWD	11	25	5	4
L Juba DEF	5	10	4	8
M Araújo FWD	4	6	1	1
R Nestor MID	4	8		3
J Lucas MID	3	15	1	7
E Pulga FWD	3	12	3	7
S Suay MID	2	6	3	10
Ademir FWD	1	14	5	9
Cauly MID	1	5	3	2
Kayky FWD	1	6	2	3
D Duarte DEF	1	5	1	2
Gilberto DEF	1	4		1
Iago DEF	1	4
Erick MID	1	1		1
M Sanabria FWD	1	3
S Mingo DEF		4		3
N Acevedo MID		6	1	3
Ronaldo GLK			1
S Arias DEF		3
C Alexandre MID		1	1	2
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD		7	1	1
G Xavier DEF				1
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1707	55	143
S Mingo	J Lucas	J Lucas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Mingo DEF	1707	28	136
L Juba DEF	1425	46	103
D Duarte DEF	1372	20	106
N Acevedo MID	1106	50	112
S Suay MID	1039	41	114
Gilberto DEF	1024	45	93
J Lucas MID	1011	55	143
C Alexandre MID	973	27	68
S Arias DEF	774	16	45
Ronaldo GLK	665		14
G Xavier DEF	525	15	48
Ademir FWD	491	29	133
W José FWD	471	9	74
Cauly MID	422	7	34
E Pulga FWD	408	31	120
R Nestor MID	388	18	41
M Araújo FWD	374	32	83
Kayky FWD	354	23	61
Rezende MID	300	12	35
Erick MID	276	14	36
Iago DEF	230	11	25
Kanu DEF	155	2	6
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	130	6	48
M Sanabria FWD	128	5	51
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	10	2	4